WA-02/SurveyUSA: Larsen (D) leads by 4

[Tender Branson]

50% Rick Larsen (D)
46% John Koster (R)

Those who have already voted (38%):

49% John Koster (R)
48% Rick Larsen (D)

Filtering: 700 registered voters from Washington's 2nd Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/19/10 through 10/21/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 643 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=99d70670-3a39-433f-afb7-5abc6b1afb67

[Tender Branson]

Is John Koster the same John Koster that challenged Larsen in 2000 ?

[minionofmidas]

Yes. He's also currently on the Snohomish County Council.

[Meeker]

This is going to be a close one.

[Rowan]

643 of 700 registered voters are likely voters?

[cinyc]

643 of 700 registered voters are likely voters?

Voters vote-by-mail in Washington.  It's possible.

Plus, you're always going to get a better number than who actually show up at the polls.  Those who aren't going to vote probably disproportionately don't answer calls from pollsters, either.