FL-22/SSN/VSS/Susquehanna: West (R) leads Rep. Klein (D)

[Tender Branson]

The Sunshine State News Poll, which surveyed 800 likely voters between Oct. 17-19, has a margin of error of +/- 3.46 percent.

http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/allen-west-winning-wild-cd-22-race-over-ron-klein-poll-shows

[ajc0918]

This is surprising, West has more CoH I believe than Klein does too.

GO WEST!

[minionofmidas]

Why is that surprising?
I'm actually mildly surprised that race is still a tossup - as it has been since before i started tuning in. From the district's profile you'd sort of expect it to be a "lean R but deal not quite closed" race a la Grayson's.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Why is that surprising?
I'm actually mildly surprised that race is still a tossup - as it has been since before i started tuning in. From the district's profile you'd sort of expect it to be a "lean R but deal not quite closed" race a la Grayson's.

Maybe because if West is elected, he is going to make Steve King and Michelle Bachmann look sane by comparison.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Why is that surprising?
I'm actually mildly surprised that race is still a tossup - as it has been since before i started tuning in. From the district's profile you'd sort of expect it to be a "lean R but deal not quite closed" race a la Grayson's.

It's a ridiculously-polarized district. 52-48 for Gore, Kerry, and Obama.

[minionofmidas]

Why is that surprising?
I'm actually mildly surprised that race is still a tossup - as it has been since before i started tuning in. From the district's profile you'd sort of expect it to be a "lean R but deal not quite closed" race a la Grayson's.

It's a ridiculously-polarized district. 52-48 for Gore, Kerry, and Obama.

Okay, that's even more ridiculous than I would have thought. Though it kind of makes sense. Still suburban territory that used to be R in congressional races.

[Brittain33]

Why is that surprising?
I'm actually mildly surprised that race is still a tossup - as it has been since before i started tuning in. From the district's profile you'd sort of expect it to be a "lean R but deal not quite closed" race a la Grayson's.

It's a ridiculously-polarized district. 52-48 for Gore, Kerry, and Obama.

That's consistent with elderly ethnic New Yorkers voting heavily for Lieberman, swinging slightly to Bush over anger at 9/11, and then swinging even more against Obama. All relative to the national performance. It would be interesting to compare to NY-9.

But we do know how elderly people are inclined to vote this year.

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, I hope this isn't true. West is a crazy person.

[minionofmidas]

Wow, I hope this isn't true. West is a crazy person.

I endorse the crazy person in your signature.

[Rowan]

Wow, I hope this isn't true. West is a crazy person.

I endorse the crazy person in your signature.

Which one?

[minionofmidas]

The one in the middle. The rent is too damn high.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The one in the middle. The rent is too damn high.

Indeed. Indeed.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Wasn't West somehow involved with a biker gang or something like that? 

[Meeker]

Wasn't West somehow involved with a biker gang or something like that? 

And they're still doing security at his campaign events. It's real Third World, paramilitary stuff.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I just can't see West winning.  He's too right-wing for the district, he has ties to a biker gang, there's his interrogation incident, and I suspect there might be a "Bradley effect" in the district.

[DrScholl]

Anything is possible, so it's possible that a Bradley Effect is in play here. If he does get elected, he's going to put on a show and that might relegate him to one term.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Anything is possible, so it's possible that a Bradley Effect is in play here. If he does get elected, he's going to put on a show and that might relegate him to one term.

Agreed. Unless they find a way in redistricting to make his district waaaaay more Republican than it currently is, he will be a bona fide one-termer.

[Dgov]

Wasn't West somehow involved with a biker gang or something like that? 

If by "Biker gang" you mean A Vietnam Veterans organization, you're correct.  Klein's actually dealt with them too, which is why this smear is even more hilarious.

And I think you're underestimating West.   He can probably hold this district in most elections assuming he wins this year.

[Torie]

Wasn't West somehow involved with a biker gang or something like that? 

If by "Biker gang" you mean A Vietnam Veterans organization, you're correct.  Klein's actually dealt with them too, which is why this smear is even more hilarious.

And I think you're underestimating West.   He can probably hold this district in most elections assuming he wins this year.

If elected, West will probably run against Nelson for the Senate, and then maybe for national office if he wins that. If he can stay disciplined, he is a potential superstar - along with Rubio.

[Mr.Phips]

Wasn't West somehow involved with a biker gang or something like that? 

If by "Biker gang" you mean A Vietnam Veterans organization, you're correct.  Klein's actually dealt with them too, which is why this smear is even more hilarious.

And I think you're underestimating West.   He can probably hold this district in most elections assuming he wins this year.

I really doubt that he can hold here in 2012.  He has Andrea Seastrand and Dave Funderburk written all over him.