Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 02, 2014, 02:01:43 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  WV: Manchin (D) Internal - I'm up by 5
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: WV: Manchin (D) Internal - I'm up by 5  (Read 1208 times)
cinyc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7943


View Profile
« on: October 22, 2010, 04:03:28 pm »
Ignore

Global Strategy Group for Manchin (D):

Manchin (D)     48%
Raese (R)        43%
Johnson (Mtn)   2%
Becker (Const)  1%
Undecided         7%

Oct 17-20; 804 LV
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9466
Czech Republic


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2010, 04:07:15 pm »
Ignore

Global Strategy Group for Manchin (D):

Manchin (D)     48%
Raese (R)        43%
Johnson (Mtn)   2%
Becker (Const)  1%
Undecided         7%

Oct 17-20; 804 LV

Is this the same Jesse Johnson who ran as the Mountain Party candidate against Manchin for governor in 2004 and 2008?

This must be some perennial candidate....
Logged

Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3603
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2010, 04:11:31 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
Logged

In Wyoming, there are two seasons.
Winter and July.
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6546
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2010, 04:24:37 pm »
Ignore

Pure toss-up. If West virginians send that strange man called raese to washington over superpopular gov. joe manchin, I'll always call them IDIOTS
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
OC
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9816
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2010, 05:30:52 pm »
Ignore

Good news.
Logged
Roma Caput Mundi
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1227
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.52

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2010, 05:45:33 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51732


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2010, 05:52:43 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink
Logged

Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 36870


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2010, 05:59:17 pm »
Ignore

Pure toss-up. If West virginians send that strange man called raese to washington over superpopular gov. joe manchin, I'll always call them IDIOTS


An confirmed carpetbagger living in a Florida.

Some kind like Nebraska 1996 Senate race, when an uberpopular Governor, reelected by a widest margin in a GOP wave year of 1994, Ben Nelson, lost unexpectedly to Chuck Hagel.

Not that we can compare Hagel to Rease...
Logged
Bacon King
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15824
United States Minor Outlying Islands


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2010, 06:13:06 pm »
Ignore

Of course the internals that a campaign decides to release say exactly what the campaign wants. Here, it's trying to say, "hey Republicans we're beating you so don't get excited or anything" while also saying, "hey Democrats it's still pretty close so you still have to donate money and volunteer for us and show up to vote!!"
Logged

BK without all the crazy drugs just wouldn't be BK.
I, for one, fully support the increasing gifification of the Atlas.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9115
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2010, 06:14:16 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink

Would've been if independent polling hadn't confirmed it.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51732


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2010, 06:15:40 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink

Would've been if independent polling hadn't confirmed it.

An independent poll has confirmed that he's down by two and another shows him down by more.  Wink
Logged

Sibboleth
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56446
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2010, 06:23:10 pm »
Ignore

Of course the internals that a campaign decides to release say exactly what the campaign wants. Here, it's trying to say, "hey Republicans we're beating you so don't get excited or anything" while also saying, "hey Democrats it's still pretty close so you still have to donate money and volunteer for us and show up to vote!!"

Exactly. This tells us almost nothing.
Logged

"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9115
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2010, 06:23:21 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink

Would've been if independent polling hadn't confirmed it.

An independent poll has confirmed that he's down by two and another shows him down by more.  Wink

And another shows him ahead and another shows a tied race.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Zarn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: -5.91

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2010, 06:34:45 pm »
Ignore

Pure toss-up. If West virginians send that strange man called raese to washington over superpopular gov. joe manchin, I'll always call them IDIOTS


If anything, such a move is genius. They want a Republican, and they get to keep their gov.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13449


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2010, 06:35:19 pm »
Ignore

I think this one is going to break one way or the other on election day. Also there is a strong possibility polling won't catch on to it.
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3383
United States



View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2010, 06:37:54 pm »
Ignore

Seeing as Raese wants to abolish the minimum wage and probably doesn't live in the state most of the time, I hardly see anything genius about voting for such a person. Those reasons are why I think Manchin will pull this off.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51732


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2010, 06:44:56 pm »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink

Would've been if independent polling hadn't confirmed it.

An independent poll has confirmed that he's down by two and another shows him down by more.  Wink

And another shows him ahead and another shows a tied race.

Ok, great but I'm not talking about all of the polls in the race. You want to quibble over polls; I just wanted to point out that there is a "terrible" internal in another race and it's being ignored.  Tongue

By the way, that one poll that showed Sestak ahead was dismissed by Sestak's campaign because it oversampled Democrats.  Wink
Logged

Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9115
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2010, 06:53:21 pm »
Ignore

Seeing as Raese wants to abolish the minimum wage and probably doesn't live in the state most of the time, I hardly see anything genius about voting for such a person. Those reasons are why I think Manchin will pull this off.

If these voters were geniuses, they wouldn''t have been living in West Virginia.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Lunar
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30616
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2010, 06:56:02 pm »
Ignore

My gut is still quite optimistic about this one.
Logged

this is real
Roma Caput Mundi
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1227
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.52

View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2010, 02:57:45 am »
Ignore

That's pretty terrible, for an internal.
I'd replace terrible with average...a terrible internal is one showing a 1 point lead,or even showing your candidate behind.

So Sestak's internal from Wednesday showing him two points down was terrible, right?  Wink
I understand you are very into the Toomey-Sestak race,but there is absolutely no reason to talk about it in EVERY SIGNLE TOPIC Wink
« Last Edit: October 23, 2010, 08:05:54 am by italian-boy »Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines