CO: Survey USA: Rumors about Hick's demise are exaggerated
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 12:39:44 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2010 Elections
  2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  CO: Survey USA: Rumors about Hick's demise are exaggerated
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CO: Survey USA: Rumors about Hick's demise are exaggerated  (Read 2137 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 24, 2010, 12:35:05 AM »

New Poll: Colorado Governor by Survey USA on 2010-10-22

Summary: D: 49%, R: 9%, I: 39%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2010, 12:35:21 AM »

Smiley
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2010, 12:44:59 AM »

I hope they're right! Hick winning a solid victory and Maes falling below 10% would be the best possible outcome.
Logged
feeblepizza
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,910
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2010, 12:52:22 AM »

No!
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,135
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2010, 03:00:13 AM »

     Has anyone suggested that Hickenlooper's demise was imminent? I seem to have missed it. Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2010, 03:15:19 AM »

     Has anyone suggested that Hickenlooper's demise was imminent? I seem to have missed it. Tongue

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=126519.0
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,135
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2010, 03:29:27 AM »

     In my neck of the woods, leading by one percent is not interpreted as being on the verge of demise.
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2010, 05:15:22 AM »

There are no rumours about his 'demise'. But some people have just been jumping to conclusions from looking at recent poll numbers.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2010, 07:04:31 AM »

Hickenlooper leads by 49-41 among Independents and Tancredo 65-20 among Republicans.

Letīs wait what PPP says about this race, but I donīt really see how Tancredo can win this.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,522
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2010, 08:22:35 AM »

Independent candidates usually overpoll.  That would suggest that Tancredo needs a substantial lead in polling to be favored.  It's probably not that close but it won't be a 50-25-25 blowout anymore.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,403
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2010, 08:27:48 AM »

phew, if true.
Logged
Dgov
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2010, 08:50:15 AM »

Independent candidates usually overpoll.  That would suggest that Tancredo needs a substantial lead in polling to be favored.  It's probably not that close but it won't be a 50-25-25 blowout anymore.
It's more that clear 3rd-wheel candidates over-poll.  Odds are that Tancredo will pick up some more Maes voters on election day.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2010, 09:55:45 AM »

Maes below 10% and Hickenlooper still winning is hilarious and great.
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,135
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2010, 03:37:22 PM »

Independent candidates usually overpoll.  That would suggest that Tancredo needs a substantial lead in polling to be favored.  It's probably not that close but it won't be a 50-25-25 blowout anymore.

     Independent candidates overpoll because people tend to shift to major-party candidates for fear of throwing their vote away. There's no basis for thinking that an independent candidate who is actually running well (& far better than the major-party candidate they are drawing support from) will overpoll.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2010, 03:55:34 PM »

PPP says that they have Maes down to 5% in their poll, which makes me nervous about how well Tancredo is doing.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,624
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2010, 04:02:20 PM »

PPP says that they have Maes down to 5% in their poll, which makes me nervous about how well Tancredo is doing.

Hard to see how Maes can go any lower. And don't forget that almost a quarter of the votes have already been cast.
Logged
Vepres
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,032
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2010, 04:14:18 PM »

Called it!

BTW, I don't know why you're all panicking, not a single poll has shown Tancredo ahead, ever.

I knew my state was too smart for this Grin
Logged
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,211
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2010, 04:19:22 PM »

Wow, Hicks would still have a good shot, even without the GOP split. 
Logged
Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2010, 05:19:19 PM »

Called it!

BTW, I don't know why you're all panicking, not a single poll has shown Tancredo ahead, ever.

I knew my state was too smart for this Grin
Who will you vote for?
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,714
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2010, 10:41:31 PM »

He can't, though I think he said he'd probably vote for the Libertarian.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 14 queries.