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Author Topic: America in 2050: The 2020's Part I  (Read 4055 times)
SirNick
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« on: October 24, 2010, 08:24:07 pm »
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America in 2050

The first few updates will each accommodate one decade until the 2052 election for President of the United States, where the timeline will slow down to look at that election cycle.  If this seems one sided or very partisan at first, its because I have extensive plans on where this will end up and you'll figure out why I'm laying out everything like this after it happens.

I would also like to give credit where credit is due, this was originally Progressive's idea which he handed over to me after he decided not to pursue it.

2010

Democratic President Barack Obama entered the second half of his first with a resounding call for change of his administration’s policies having lost the House of Representatives to the Republican Party in a landslide – losing 50 seats bringing their numbers down to 205 with the Republicans having 230 seats.

 Representative John Boehner of Ohio was elected as Speaker of the House after an intense battle with more conservative members of the Republican Party. Some had supported Eric Cantor, the new Majority Leader, for Speaker and felt he would stand up against the “socialist” policies of President Obama while Boehner was seen as more of a compromising figure in juxtaposition.


In a fluke of history, Democrats maintain control over many seats that were considered to be very vulnerable. Ron Johnson loses to Senator Russ Feingold in Wisconsin, Louisiana Senator David Vitter is ousted by less than 100 votes, West Virginia Governor Joe Manchin takes down John Raese and in Illinois Alexi Giannoulias beats Mark Kirk by the skin of his teeth. In Pennsylvania Joe Sestak triumphs over Pat Toomey. Barbara Boxer and Patty Murray soundly defeat their opponents in their respective states, however; Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid loses to Sharon Angle. All of these races, excluding Boxer & Murray, were decided by under a 2% margin.


The Democrats hold 56 seats in the Senate while the Republicans hold 45. Senator Chuck Schumer of New York is elected Majority Leader soundly defeating Dick Durbin of Illinois, in a blow to President Obama who openly backed Durbin, and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is ousted as Senate Minority Leader, being replaced by Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina.
The President’s State of the Union Address recognizes that change has not come fast enough. Obama promises to make the next year of his administration about jobs and cutting the deficit. Obama announces that the Department of Justice will not appeal the Courts decision on “Don’t ask, don’t tell.” Obama says that immigration and education reform will be high on his agenda for this year.


The rest of the year, is spent by the media watching the House and Senate bicker over what to put in the new Jobs Bill that President Obama proposed to Congress. The Republican leadership in the Senate and the Democratic leadership in the Senate have agreed on a package but the conference committee cannot make enough changes to satisfy both sides of the aisle. The already low approval of Congress, hits rock bottom.


The bill eventually passes by 225 -210 in Congress in June but Congressional Republicans are unhappy with the concessions made in the bill. In fact many compare the negotiations of this to similarities of the health care bill.


In late summer 2011 Speaker John Boehner, after much hesitation –aka the prior part of the year – allows the repeal of ObamaCare to come to the floor. The vote fails miserably with 335 Representatives voting against the repeal of the health care package – all Republican members. President Obama condemns the vote saying that whoever voted for the repeal is voting in favor of discrimination by insurance companies.


By late summer 2011, President Obama’s approval is a steady 45%. The media considers Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, George Pataki, Rick Santorum, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Gary Johnson, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, Haley Barbour,  Mike Pence and John Bolton as actively campaigning for the Republican nomination for President. No one has yet to challenge President Obama for the Democratic nomination.


Senator John Thune, who was widely expected to run, has made no inclination that he will jump in the race as of summer 2011.


In late 2011 United States forces begin to leave Afghanistan and the remainder of our troops in Iraq are brought home. Iraq’s government is still unstable but they are doing a decent job of keeping the terrorists at bay, however; Afghanistan is not viewed positively nor is it viewed overly negatively –people are just glad that our troops are coming home. 43% of Americans approve of the job President Obama did in Afghanistan with 35% disapproving.
Former President Jimmy Carter passes away in September 2011.


By December 2011 unemployment has decreased to 9% nationally. President Obama’s approval is now averaging at 47%. In hypothetical matchup he ties most major Republicans while beating Santorum, Bolton, Pence and Johnson. Obama loses 50-48 to a generic Republican.


January 2012

The deficit is on track to being reduced although many Republicans still cry out that as health care reform takes effect the deficit will boom, however; the Obama Administration has done a decent job in keeping spending down the past year (or some give credit to the Republican House) and the deficit is being reduced although not as quickly as Republicans would like.
Sarah Palin wins the first caucus in Iowa with Mitch Daniels coming in second followed by Mitt Romney in a disappointing third. Following this Santorum, Johnson and Pawlenty drop out.

Santorum endorses Palin, Pawlenty goes for Romney and Johnson doesn’t endorse anyone. In New Hampshire, Mitt Romney finishes first with Sarah Palin in second then George Pataki in third. Mike Pence drops out and endorses Mitch Daniels. In South Caorlina, Sarah Palin pulls off a win beating out Barbour, who came in second, followed by Mitch Daniels then Mitt Romney. In the aftermath, George Pataki and Newt Gingrich drop out of the race leaving it down to Mitch Daniels, Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney and Haley Barbour.

In Nevada Sarah Palin pulls off another win with Mitt Romney coming in second followed by Mitch Daniels in third. Haley Barbour and Mitch Daniels drop out of the race after this primary.
After a long and hard fought battle, Sarah Palin wins the Republican nomination and selects Congressman Michael Pence as her running mate. Jon Stewart calls it the “PeePee Ticket”


As the November 2012 election looms, President Obama begins to tackle immigration reform against the wishes of Congressional Democrats. Sarah Palin takes a more “hard-right” Jan Brewer-esque stance while President Obama goes back and looks as the plan Senator John McCain had introduced before he started running for President in 2007 calling it a “bipartisan plan written by a maverick.”


On the day of the November 2012 election, immigration reform is still in Congress, President Obama’s approval is around 50% and unemployment is at 8.3% Turnout for Democrats is high on Election Day, with Republican support being lower than usual. Moderates also turn out to vote in large numbers.




President Barack Obama – Vice President Joe Biden – 403 Electoral Votes, 55% Popular Vote

Governor Sarah Palin –Congressman Michael Pence –135 Electoral Votes – 42% Popular Vote

Other Candidates – 3%

Democrats in Congress gain 10 seats bringing them closer to a majority at 215 and Republicans with 220. Democrats lose two incumbents in the Senate, Joe Lieberman (the Democrat wins) and Ben Nelson (Republican takeover). Republicans take retiring Senator Diane Feinstein’s seat and defeat Debbie Stabenow in Michigan. It is worth mentioning that Senator Scott Brown is reelected by a healthy margin. Ultimately the Democrats hold their ground at 55-45.

Conservative Republicans and Tea Party activists vow to continue their fight against the Obama Administration.

Representative Anthony Weiner, who unseated Senator Kirsten Gillibrand in the Democratic primary calling her a "failed pick of a failed Governor" and "the most dependent mind in Washington" wins his seat in the United States Senate.
« Last Edit: November 15, 2010, 06:25:43 pm by sirnick »Logged
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2010, 08:34:28 pm »
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Sad about Obama re-election, but Republicans'll make their comeback in 2016, right? Wink
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2010, 08:49:25 pm »
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If this seems one sided or very partisan at first . . .

I'd say that's about right so far.

Still reading.
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"...the media helped tip the scales. I didn't think the coverage in 2008 was especially fair..."

- Jake Tapper, Senior White House Correspondent for ABC News

"The media is very susceptible to doing what the Obama campaign wants."

 - Mark Halperin, author of 2008's 'Game Change.'
SirNick
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2010, 08:59:03 pm »
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If this seems one sided or very partisan at first . . .

I'd say that's about right so far.

Still reading.

I'm interested to hear what Republicans on this forum will think once it hits the point where it slows down. I think you'll be surprised.
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SirNick
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2010, 11:29:20 pm »
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These are longer than I expected. The level of detail will drop for the 2020's since I'll be making up people for the most part.


2013

Senator John McCain passes away right before President Obama’s second inauguration – President Obama during his speech allows a moment of silence for the late Senator John McCain.

Also in President Obama’s inaugural speech he vows that this Congress will pass through comprehensive Immigration reform which was stalled since the previous summer due to the election. The President also plans to tackle on Social Security which reform has been out off for too long. Social Security has been in the red for some time now but Congress has not acted on it.

President Obama, true to his word, inputs a bipartisan immigration reform proposal that is very progressive and offers a path to citizenship for illegal immigrations. The bill would make punishment harsher for anyone caught entering the country illegally after the passage of the bill. All illegal immigrants within the country would have 60 days to register at a certain government agency to be eligible for the “path to citizenship” program. They must also pass a rigorous background check to be eligible although leniency will be considered if they have children in the country or if their children are American citizens.

President Obama says that this is “the only sound solution to our problems here. We cannot condone people entering the country illegally but it is impossible to round up and deport over 13 million people…”

As the bill is debated in Congress, President Obama in early March is faced with an international crisis. Israel destroys, via airstrike, two of Iran’s nuclear reactors and a missile test site after reports came in that Iran planned to test a nuclear bomb.

The Arab Community is hesitant to condemn Israel’s actions, having found the reports to be credible, and a three week air war between the two countries begins. President Obama orders the United States Airforce to take out “strategic military and civilian targets in order to hinder Iran’s nuclear capabilities and to defend the sovereignty of Iran.” After three weeks of bombings, Iran’s Ayatollah capitulates and agrees to full access for UN Inspectors and to comply with UN demands. The Arab Community in the region is irritated and some are calling for the destruction of Israel and America but this is not seen by a majority of the leaders of the Arab Community or by the people of Arab countries. Luckily, this has not caused a complex regional war.

President Obama’s approval goes up during this time to around 58%

Simultaneously, the government has become increasingly unstable in Iraq with different factions fighting over how to respond to this crisis.

By the end of the year President Obama’s approval has dipped to around 53% and he enters 2014 with the same approval.

The Obama Administration passes some education reform but not the overhaul the President had imagined. The Tea Party becomes more active again, having been relatively quiet since the election, as major provisions of the health care law go into effect. Rallies emerge across the country calling once again for the repeal of the law. Former Presidential Nominee Sarah Palin keeps her head low but initially Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky stands up and becomes the defacto leader of this movement along with Senator Sharron Angle of Nevada and other prominent conservatives.

By the end of the year Obama’s approval of around 48%. Republicans hit President Obama for not being more compromising with Social Security reform.

November 2014

Midterm Elections:

House of Representatives:

Democratic Party: 185 (-30)
Republican Party:  250 (+30)

Senate:

Democratic Party: 50 (-5)
Republican Party: 50 (+5)

Noteworthy:

Alaska Senator Mark Begich loses reelection.
Tom Harkin of Iowa retires. Seat goes Republican.
Carl Levin of Michigan retires. Seat stays Democratic.
Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey retires. Seat stays Democratic.
Tim Johnson of South Dakota retires. Seat goes Republican.

Pat Roberts of Kansas retires. Seat stays Republican.
Mitch McConnell of Kentucky retires. Seat stays Republican.
Thad Cochran of Mississippi retires. Seat stays Republican.
Max Baucus of Montana retires. Seat goes Republican.
Mary Landrieu of Louisiana retires. Seat goes Republican.

2015

The year starts off with a hard push for Social Security reform by the President, which did not go well the previous year.  Tea Party supporters are very vocal and active about, generally, scrapping the whole system and pushing Republicans not to compromise. This will become an increasingly long and drawn out battle.

This issue drags on through the end of the year, but in the meantime the 2016 election battle begins. The Tea Party, as they were in 2012, is very active and forming more coherent and consistent policy options which do tend to be more on the radical side including the elimination of Social Security and many government programs. There is also a strong emphasis on American family values.

By the end of the year, Democrats Senator Jim Webb of Virginia, Mayor Rahmn Emanuel of Chicago, Illinois,  Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York, Secretary of Health & Human Services Kathleen Sebelius, Senator Kay Hagan of North Carolina, former Ambassador to the UN Susan Rice, and Senator Alexi Giannoulias, Governor Gabrielle Giffords of New Mexico, are actively pursuing the Democratic nomination for President. Vice President Joe Biden and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton both have said that they will not seek the nomination. (8 Candidates FYI).

President Obama states that he will not be endorsing any of the candidates until one has secured the nomination.

On the Republican side, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida –who has been endorsed by Senator Rand Paul the defacto leader of the Tea Party movement –along with Governor Scott Brown of Massachusetts, Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey, Governor Nikki Haley of South Carolina, Senator John Thune of South Dakota, former Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman of Utah,   Governor Bob McDonnell of Virginia, Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee, Governor Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, and House Majority Leader Congressman Eric Cantor are all seeking the Republican nomination for President. (10 Candidates FYI)

By December 2015 the Republicans and Democrats in Congress have come to a compromise which comes up to vote the day after the Iowa Caucus debates. All the Republican candidates are asked “As you know, it looks like a compromise fix to Social Security is going to go through tomorrow. Everyone has been counted for and it seems like between both parties the supporters of this bill have 60 votes…” the moderator continues and then comes to each candidate and asks them if they would vote for the bill. Governor Haley, Senator Thune, Senator Rubio Representative Blackburn, Representative Cantor and Governor Christie all say no that they would not although Christie says he would be open to other types of reform, just not this. Governor Brown, Governor McDonnell, Governor Huntsman and Governor Jindal all say they would vote for this bill.

The next day, the bill fails to go to the floor of the United States Senate due to a filibuster and a lone anonymous Senator placing a hold on the bill.

John Thune, makes the 24-hour news cycle two days before the Iowa Caucus when he is quoted saying, “when I’m President, no one is going to pull this stuff with me. They pull this stuff we’re just going to scrap the whole system. Lets see who wants to compromise then.”
John Thune (19.2%) comes out the winner, only by a very slim margin, in the Iowa Caucus followed by Governor Nikki Haley (19.1%) of South Carolina then Governor Bob McDonnell (13.4%) of Virginia, then Governor Scott Brown (13.1%), Governor Chris Christie (9%) of New Jersey, Governor Bobby Jindal (8.6%), Senator Marco Rubio (8.2%) of Florida, Representative Eric Cantor (7.2) of Virginia and Governor Jon Huntsman of Utah (2.2%)…

Marsha Blackburn had dropped out a few days prior. After the Iowa Caucus, Jon Huntsman, Eric Cantor and Marco Rubio all drop out. Huntsman endorses McDonnell, Cantor and Rubio endorse Thune.

On the Democratic side, Senator Kay Hagan (23.5%) of North Carolina wins a surprise victory over the rest of the split field of candidates. Andrew Cuomo (16.3%) comes in second followed by Kathleen Sebelius (14.2%), Rahm Emanuel (14.1%), Gabrielle Giffords (10.1%), Jim Webb (9.8%), Alexi Giannoulias (9.2%), Susan Rice (2.8%)

Susan Rice and Alexi Giannoulias immediately drop out endorsing Rahm Emanuel. Jim Webb originally says he will stay in but drops out due to the advice of his supporters the next day endorsing Andrew Cuomo.

The second contest, in New Hampshire, turns out to be quite fun also.

Governor Scott Brown wins the Republican New Hampshire primary followed by Chris Christie in second then a very close John Thune in third. Nikki Haley brings in the back of the pack coming in fourth followed by McDonnell and Jindal.

Bob McDonnell drops out endorsing Nikki Haley while Bobby Jindal drops out and endorses Senator John Thune.

On the Democratic side, Andrew Cuomo sweeps New Hampshire. Rahm Emanuel barely beats out Kay Hagan for second. Fourth places goes to Sebelius followed by Giffords.
Giffords drops out after New Hampshire, as does Sebelius, both endorsing Kay Hagan.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2010, 06:46:58 am by sirnick »Logged
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2010, 07:30:17 am »
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NOOOOO!! Bobby Jindal or Marco Rubio were the ones supposed to get the nomination!
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SirNick
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2010, 09:15:10 am »
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Mini-update while I'm at work before class...

Republicans Scott Brown, Chris Christie and John Thune all opt out of campaigning in South Carolina, where Governor Haley wins her home state by a large margin. John Thune wins Nevada, with Haley coming in second, after which Chris Christie drops out due to fundraising problems and endorses Senator Thune.  There will be a 3 way race going into the first round of in-bloc voting.

On the Democratic side, Kay Hagan, Andrew Cuomo and Rahm Emanuel all stump in South Carolina which Kay Hagan wins by a healthy margin. Hagan goes on to win Nevada with Cuomo coming in second as Rahm Eamnuel drops out of the race, endorsing Andrew Cuomo.

National polls show head-to-head races as tight with many voters undecided.
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2010, 05:59:09 pm »
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Vitter is ousted? Borderline ridiculous there. Tongue I disagree on most of the senate races, but the timeline is well-written, so please continue. I hope Haley wins the Republican nomination.
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2010, 06:50:03 pm »
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Vitter is ousted? Borderline ridiculous there. Tongue I disagree on most of the senate races, but the timeline is well-written, so please continue. I hope Haley wins the Republican nomination.

I really dislike Vitter.
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2010, 10:04:29 pm »
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Got caught up in Rally to Restore Sanity, midterms and the election. Update coming soon.
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2010, 05:17:00 pm »
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The next round of voting goes heavily for Andrew Cuomo who wins New York, California and Florida.  Kay Hagan begins to drop in the polls after making a bad botched joke about the way Cuomo talks and ultimately drops out when Cuomo wins her home state of North Carolina, making Cuomo the presumptive nominee for the Democratic Party.

On the Republican side  Nikki Haley and John Thune battle it out state-by-state but the Republican electorate seems uneasy to nominate an Indian-American female as its nominee. Ultimately after winning Texas late in the primary season, Nikki Haley drops out of the race.

June Head to Head Poll Aggregate:

Andrew Cuomo: 45%
John Thune: 43%
Undecided: 17%

During the first six months of President Obama’s last year as President after what was already mentioned, he attempts to get through more Social Security reforms but Congress refuses to compromise. Many people feel he has lost his credibility with Congress. His approval rating is in the low 40’s by June 2016.

Governor Andrew Cuomo announces that Governor John Kitzhaber of Oregon will be his running mate.

Senator John Thune selects Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey as his running mate.
Map with tossups:

Cuomo/Kitzhaber: 197
Thune/Christie: 224
Tossups:  117

The Thune campaign takes a page out of President Obama’s playbook and brings the playing field to traditionally Democratic states.

Senator Thune pushes that Governor Cuomo is a favorite of President Obama, having pushed David Paterson out of the race for Governor, and ties him to the characterization of elitism, however; Cuomo is still doing well in the polls and the election on election night is a tossup by anyones measure until an economic report showing a lower than expected growth of GDP comes out which dips Cuomo’s ratings for a few days.



Senator John Thune – Governor Chris Christie – 295 Electoral Votes – 50.3% Popular Vote
Governor Andrew Cuomo – Governor John Kitzhaber – 243 Electoral Votes – 49.0% Popular Vote


House of Representatives:


Democratic Party: 182 (-3)
Republican Party:  253 (+3)


Senate:
Democratic Party: 48 (-2)
Republican Party: 52 (+2)


President-elect Thune is able to carry enough weight down ballot to move the Senate into Republican control.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2010, 06:30:14 pm by sirnick »Logged
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2010, 06:20:35 pm »
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Quote
Senator John Thune – Governor Chris Christie – 295 Electoral Votes – 51.3% Popular Vote
Governor Andrew Cuomo – Governor John Kitzhaber – 243 Electoral Votes – 49.0% Popular Vote

Not happening. 100.3%???


Anyways, excellent TL
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
SirNick
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2010, 06:30:31 pm »
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Quote
Senator John Thune – Governor Chris Christie – 295 Electoral Votes – 51.3% Popular Vote
Governor Andrew Cuomo – Governor John Kitzhaber – 243 Electoral Votes – 49.0% Popular Vote

Not happening. 100.3%???


Anyways, excellent TL

Thanks, fixed.
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2010, 06:41:00 pm »
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Go Thune!
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2010, 06:50:10 pm »
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Interesting predictions
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Paul/Cruz 2016!
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2010, 07:17:16 pm »
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If you're looking for politicians to use in the 2050's, I suggest looking at the children of politicans and celebrities, as well as city councilmen and state senators. In one timeline I have on my computer (piece of crap, now that I think about it), I had an LA city councilman become the Democratic nominee in 2024 or something like that.
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SirNick
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2010, 09:40:17 pm »
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If you're looking for politicians to use in the 2050's, I suggest looking at the children of politicans and celebrities, as well as city councilmen and state senators. In one timeline I have on my computer (piece of crap, now that I think about it), I had an LA city councilman become the Democratic nominee in 2024 or something like that.

The 2020 Presidential election is going to be where you start to see a lot fewer names and some new ones...I'm really setting this up for the 2048 race for President. After the 2020 election you'll see more of those. Good advice though!


Also, these aren't my "predictions" about anything. Its just a story line I developed :p
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SirNick
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2010, 06:42:17 pm »
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2017

President John Thune upon his oath of office vows to reform Social Security in office and says he will not run for a second term if he is unable to do that, however; his first year is christened by the passage of comprehensive Social Security reform through both Houses of Congress in December 2017. 25 Republicans in the Senate, including Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 10 Democrats vote against the bill. In the House 200 Republicans vote in favor of the bill along with 93 Democrats who join them in the passage of this historic legislation. President Thune’s approval ratings remain in the 60-70% range through his first year in office with no major international crises on the horizon.

2018

North Korea’s government falls into disarray after internal disputes. President Thune authorizes US troops in South Korea to enter North Korea with South Korean troops to “disable” North Korea during this time of peril. Due to internal conflict within Russia, Russia’s President condemns the US entry into North Korea but stops at that. China begins to mobilize its own army. President Thune addresses the nation saying that it is in China’s and America’s security to bring stability to the Korean peninsula and he invites the Chinese into helping bring reality to the idea of a vision of a united Korea. Thune also addresses the need to secure any weapons of mass destruction in North Korea while it is in turmoil.
China condemns the “invasion” as US Imperialism and continues to mobilize until wayward North Korean forces get into gunfire with Chinese troops on the border killing some Chinese soldiers. After this incident, the Chinese begin to quiet down and work with the United States more.

Midterms 2018:

House of Representatives:
Democratic Party: 182 (No Change)
Republican Party:  252 (-1)
Independent: 1

Independent Eric Matthews is elected to Congress representing Rhode Island.
Senate:

Democratic Party: 49 (+1)
Republican Party: 51 (-1)

2019

President Thune’s approval rating is still very high but Democrats, who were pleased that he was governing from the center, are starting to erode as well as independents but at a slower pace. Thune’s approval is at 58% in January 2019.

Throughout 2019, President Thune is called “the great compromiser” by many pundits and journalists, having gotten passed Social Security and having passed comprehensive tort law reform as well as drug policy reform, no legalization of marijuana but a restructuring of statutes formally allowing the states to decide on their own.

Unfortunately for President Thune his base of support is getting increasingly angry. Senator Rand Paul has become a local opposition leader to Thune’s policies saying that he is a RINO and has not stopped government from growing bigger. Paul is generally joined by Senators Rubio, Angle and Blackburn amongst others.

By the end of 2019, President Thune’s approval has dropped to the low 50’s mainly due to dissatisfaction by conservatives and conservative leaning independents. 
Right before the filing deadline, Senator Marco Rubio announces that he will challenge Thune in the Republican primary calling him “the exact opposite of what our country needs. He ran as a conservative but he deceived the American people. He should be running in the Democratic primary.”

Senator Anthony Weiner of New York and Senator Martin Heinrich of New Mexico announce that they will run for President. In head-to-head match ups President Thune trounces both of them beating Weiner 57-23 and Heinrich 60-17. 

Thune also trounces Rubio in the Republican nomination 70-10 with 20% undecided
.
2020

Due to a new primary system, this is the last year that Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina will be the first primaries. In the 2024 primaries the first three states will be randomly selected and the rest will vote in-bloc by region or microregion.  Both parties will have it as a proportional system with a 15% vote threshold. If no one receives 15% of the vote, delegates are free to vote for whomever. All delegates are free to switch their votes after the second round of voting at the convention. This will not take effect until 2024 and both parties have agreed to it.

The Iowa Caucuses role around and Heinrich wins the Democratic caucus there while Rubio is defeated by Thune 73% to 27% which was a much higher showing than polls had previously predicted –presumably to low voter turnout. The people who showed up to vote, according to pundits, were more likely to be very conservative and angry with the direction of the Thune Administration.

In New Hampshire, Weiner trumps Heinrich while Thune once again trumps Rubio, this time 90-10.

Rubio stays in the race until South Carolina where he loses 83-17 to the President after which he drops out but refuses to endorse the President. Thune’s approval after this slips a little down to the mid to low 50’s. His disapproval rating remains very low.
In South Carolina, Weiner wins an upset victory and then cruises onto the nomination becoming the first Jewish Presidential nominee for a major party. Weiner quickly selects Senator Gabrielle Giffords of Arizona as his running mate.

Head To Head Matchup:
Thune/Christie: 55
Weiner/Giffords: 30

The campaign goes on with most pundits thinking that Thune will cruise easily to a second term until the Bureau of Labor Statistics declares that the economy very well could be heading into a recession. Moderate Republicans in the Senate, and many Democrats propose a stimulus package –although the details vary from party to party –and President Thune endorses the idea of a stimulus but says “the kinks need to be worked out. We’ve seen whats happened with a bad stimulus package like in 2009.”

Senator Rand Paul announces, as a result, that he will challenge President Thune as a third party under the Tea Party name. He immediately files with the Federal Election Commission.
By summer 2020, Rand Paul has selected Senator Sharon Angle as his running mate and has raised a substantial amount of money mainly, indirectly, from foreign sources thanks to the 2010 ruling of Citizens United.

Also, by the summer, a moderate stimulus bill is passed which includes tax cuts to small businesses.

Summer 2020 Polling:
Thune/Christie: 40%
Weiner/Giffords: 34%
Paul/Angle: 12%
Undecided: 14%

By the last quarter of 2020, its official that the economy is in the first recession since the “Great Recession” that started in the Bush Administration and lasted throughout some of the Obama Administration.

Simultaneously, the “conflict” in North Korea is going well for US and South Korean forces but the economic problems of the day dominate the headlines. John Thune’s campaign team struggles to cope with being hit from the right and left simultaneously. Thune’s campaign made Rand out to be a radical but he comes off very well spoken in the debates which hurts Thune’s credibility. Weiner comes off as passionate to say the least.

November 2020


Senator Anthony Weiner – Senator Gabrielle Giffords – 403 Electoral Votes 43.2% Popular Vote
President John Thune – Vice President Chris Christie – 135 Electoral Votes – 43.4% Popular Vote
Senator Rand Paul – Senator Sharon Angle – 0 Electoral Votes – 13.4% Popular Vote


For the fourth time in history, the candidate with the most Electoral Votes is not the winner of the Popular Vote, however; unlike in 2000, President Thune concedes gracefully.

This is also the first time members of the Tea Party are elected to Congress. Quite a few Republicans switch their allegiance including Rand Paul.

House of Representatives:

Democratic Party: 190 (+8)
Republican Party:  214 (-39)
Tea Party:  31 (+31)

Senate:

Democratic Party: 48 (No Change)
Republican Party: 38 (-14)
Tea Party: 14 (+14)

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feeblepizza
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2010, 11:22:29 pm »
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President Wiener ftw
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hawkeye59
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« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2010, 10:37:31 am »
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President Wiener ftw
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My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair.  So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world.- Jack Layton (1950-2011)
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2010, 09:10:01 pm »
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Sad Thune lost re-election. hopefully, Weiner's term won't go so hot, and he'll be back. I think that Rand Paul will be viewed by the Republicans how the Democrats viewed Ralph Nader after 2000, only worse because he actually has formed a break away from the Republican Party.
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« Reply #21 on: November 15, 2010, 06:25:13 pm »
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2021
Senator Anthony Weiner is sworn in as the 46th President of the United States.

44th – Barack H. Obama, Democratic Party, January 20th 2009 – January 20th 2017

45th – John R. Thune, Republican Party, January 20th 2017 –January 20th 2021
46th – Anthony D. Weiner, Democratic Party, January 20th 2021 – Present

In President Weiner’s (lol) Inauguration Speech he surprises many pundits by criticizing aspects of the system that got him elected such as the lack of a majority of the popular vote, undisclosed expenditures including both corporate and unions. Weiner outlines himself as a progressive.

Weiner starts off with an approval rating of 78%.

Weiner says that he will also embrace monthly meetings with the opposition, like they do in the British parliament, but these meetings will be closed to the public.
The Democrats in the Senate form the “Majority Caucus” with 10 Republicans. The Republican-Tea Caucus form the majority in the House and elect a Speaker.



Weiner at a town hall meeting early in his Presidency

Weiner’s first legislation to get passed by the new Congress is a large infrastructure improvement package –this is vehemently opposed by the Tea Party but most moderate Republicans support it.

Simultaneously, the new Congress approves legislation formally approving the use of the military on the Korean peninsula. The conflict on the Korean peninsula seems to be nearing its close, US and South Korean forces have rooted the North Korean military stronghold, and unlike in Iraq in 2003, the North Koreans are greeting the US/South Korean forces with some support.

Weiner finishes out his first year in Congress with some legislative accomplishments including the infrastructure package, withdrawal of US troops from North Korea back into South Korea, making South Korea the occupying force there, as well as clearing some minor hurdles on the path to campaign finance reform, however; GDP is growing at a dismal rate – unemployment is at 5.4% and remains steady while inflation has risen from 2% to 4% over the past 4 years.

Puerto Rico in November 2021 votes in the affirmative to become a state. Congress sets up several criteria for Puerto Rico to enter the Union which is expected to happen by next year’s midterm elections.

There is also some chatter about solving the "DC" issue in the next legislative session.

2022

Former President John Thune is asked if he will challenge Weiner for the Presidency to which he replies “I haven’t decided yet.”


Former Vice President Chris Christie is asked the same question to which he replies “If my former boss is going to run, then I’m going to sit this one out.”

Right before the State of the Union, the slightly liberal Supreme Court overturns Citizens United and going back to the precedent set in McDonnell v. FEC in a 6-3 decision.

Democrats in Congress soon after send a bill to the President, which he signs, tightening the rules for campaign contributions –however, the President openly contemplates a Federal mandate for public financing of elections by the States. President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Sarah Palin were the last two nominees for President to waive public financing. Since then, John Thune, Anthony Weiner and Andrew Cuomo have all accepted public financing for the general election.

International Affairs Update


It is worth noting, that the situation in Israel and Palestine has detiorated greatly since the first Jewish-American President took office. Weiner is not blamed for the problem but the Palestinians have been largely refusing to work with the US envoy(s) that were sent as representatives.

 Iran has been relatively quiet for Iran since the bombings by Obama Administration and Israeli forces. There has been increasing upheaval in the past few years against the Ayatollah and the government in place there.

It is also worth noting that during the Thune Administration, India and Brazil were granted permanent seats on the UN Security Council while Germany, Japan and much of the Muslim world still lobby for seats on the council.

 In the beginning of the Weiner Administration, Nigeria is given a permanent non-veto seat on the Security Council in order to represent Muslim & African countries.
China’s growth has slowed but most pundits think its economy will surpass that of the United States within the next year or so. It was expected to during the Thune Administration but due to a slowdown in growth, it didn't happen.

Cuba is still a dictatorship thanks to countries like Venezuela which has also become a far left dictatorship under some protégé of Hugo Chavez. Venezuela has become increasingly hostile towards Columbia in recent years but many believe they won’t actually due anything due to increased US naval and air force presence in the Caribbean.

The European Union has also become much more federalized.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #22 on: November 18, 2010, 05:45:52 pm »
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Thune/Christie in 28!!!! Cheesy
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hawkeye59
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« Reply #23 on: January 31, 2011, 09:03:22 pm »
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bump. Great timeline.
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My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair.  So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world.- Jack Layton (1950-2011)
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« Reply #24 on: January 31, 2011, 09:08:33 pm »
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Really, how does a guy with the last name "Weiner" win the Presidency?
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