Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 23, 2014, 05:29:03 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46%
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46%  (Read 719 times)
mypalfish
Full Member
***
Posts: 212


View Profile
« on: October 26, 2010, 12:20:43 pm »
Ignore

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69P3OG20101026
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14170


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2010, 12:21:08 pm »
Ignore

I give up.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51939


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2010, 12:28:37 pm »
Ignore

It's a jungle out here.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
tokar
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 501
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.87, S: -6.87

P P

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2010, 02:39:06 pm »
Ignore

(August 10th poll had Toomey +10 (47-37) and Corbett +15 (49-34).)

Today's poll says Corbett +6 (49-43) as well

Sample size is 600.  400 people identify themselves as LV.
Of the LV, the split is R+1 (46-45).
Of the RV, the split is D+10 (50-40)..
LV split 46-46.
RV go for Sestak at a 4 point clip (46-42).
Independents go for Sestak 31-23.
LV go for Corbett 49-43.
RV go for Onorato 46-43.
Independents are split 33-33 for both Gov cand's.
Logged
Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29601
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2010, 03:08:12 pm »
Ignore

There is no way to read the Indy's accurately unless a separate poll of 300-500 PA indies is conducted. Otherwise with sub 10% intenrals you are talking 30-50 people tops.

Just as accurate would be to look at indies in other places and try to extrapolate some kind of trend factoring in any natural lean among those PA indies that have historically been exhibited over the years.
Logged

He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again! Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!



Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51939


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2010, 03:14:22 pm »
Ignore

Independents going for Sestak by an eight point margin? Ok, guys, thank you.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
When the leaves burn, summer ends.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38725
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2010, 03:36:50 pm »
Ignore

Smiley
Logged



As expected the wop won.

Eraserhead's Original Update: Open For Business 24/7
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51939


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2010, 03:48:53 pm »
Ignore

Smiley

You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
When the leaves burn, summer ends.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38725
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2010, 03:51:24 pm »
Ignore

Smiley

You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable.

The tracker is questionable too. It's especially dangerous to get caught up in crosstabs. I look forward to seeing further polling here.
Logged



As expected the wop won.

Eraserhead's Original Update: Open For Business 24/7
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51939


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2010, 03:53:06 pm »
Ignore

Smiley

You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable.

The tracker is questionable too. It's especially dangerous to get caught up in crosstabs. I look forward to seeing further polling here.

Sure. I think Quinnipiac had it right. It's probably a four to six point lead for Toomey.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34168
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2010, 12:39:32 am »
Ignore

Still anything possible in this race ...
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines