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2010 Elections
2010 House Election Polls
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The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
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Topic: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either (Read 2059 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
on:
October 27, 2010, 07:24:08 am »
http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-4/125975-district-by-district
CO-03
Scott Tipton (R) - 47
John Salazar (D) - 43
FL-02
Steve Southerland (R) - 50
Allen Boyd (D) - 38
GA-08
Austin Scott (R) - 50
Jim Marshall (D) - 37
IN-09
Baron Hill (D) - 46
Todd Young (R) - 44
IA-03
Leonard Boswell (D) - 49
Brad Zaun (R) - 37
ND-AL
Earl Pomeroy (D) - 45
Rick Berg (R) - 44
PA-11
Lou Barletta (R) - 48
Paul Kanjorski (D) - 43
SC-05
Mick Mulvaney (R) - 49
John Spratt (D) - 39
SD-AL
Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) - 45
Kristi Noem (R) - 42
TX-17
Bill Flores (R) - 52
Chet Edwards (D) - 40
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All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
Posts: 36282
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #1 on:
October 27, 2010, 08:10:37 am »
This is going to be a disaster in the House.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
Posts: 6700
Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #2 on:
October 27, 2010, 08:41:35 am »
IA-03 surprises me.
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Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27079
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #3 on:
October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 am »
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.
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Proud Member of the International Posters' Union
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 12181
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #4 on:
October 27, 2010, 08:45:33 am »
Quote from: Where's Hamilton? on October 27, 2010, 08:41:35 am
IA-03 surprises me.
Lousy GOP candidate.
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Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
Senator X
jdb
YaBB God
Posts: 6074
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #5 on:
October 27, 2010, 12:10:41 pm »
Quote from: Lief on October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 am
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.
I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district). I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner
I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance). Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
«
Last Edit: October 27, 2010, 12:12:28 pm by Mr. X
»
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
Posts: 1095
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #6 on:
October 27, 2010, 12:21:09 pm »
Quote from: Mr. X on October 27, 2010, 12:10:41 pm
Quote from: Lief on October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 am
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.
I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district). I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner
I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance). Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
The reason Herseth-Sandlin winning is important is for her to replace Tim Johnson in the Senate. That is her purpose in life.
«
Last Edit: October 27, 2010, 12:34:28 pm by I wish I wish upon a Star
»
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Senator X
jdb
YaBB God
Posts: 6074
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #7 on:
October 27, 2010, 12:36:33 pm »
Quote from: I wish I wish upon a Star on October 27, 2010, 12:21:09 pm
Quote from: Mr. X on October 27, 2010, 12:10:41 pm
Quote from: Lief on October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 am
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.
I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district). I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner
I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance). Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
The reason Herseth-Sandlin winning is important is for her to replace Tim Johnson in the Senate. That is her purpose in life.
Fair enough
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Fmr. Emperor PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
Posts: 21521
Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: -4.35
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #8 on:
October 27, 2010, 01:07:44 pm »
ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=103836.0
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8408
Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #9 on:
October 27, 2010, 01:09:26 pm »
Quote from: Emperor PiT on October 27, 2010, 01:07:44 pm
ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.
I'm surprised Earl Pomery is ahead too.
Both Pomeroy and H-Sandlin are going against heavy GOP coattails in the Dakotas.
I'd give H-Sandlin better odds than Pomeroy.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
Posts: 1095
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #10 on:
October 27, 2010, 01:22:50 pm »
Quote from: Emperor PiT on October 27, 2010, 01:07:44 pm
ND-AL & SD-AL surprise me. Those polls are showing the GOP doing worse than other recent polling of the races.
The only polls I ever see of those races are Rasmussen so it's nice to get more polls of these districts.
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Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27079
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -6.54
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #11 on:
October 27, 2010, 01:23:49 pm »
Quote from: Mr. X on October 27, 2010, 12:10:41 pm
Quote from: Lief on October 27, 2010, 08:42:52 am
Eh, I won't really miss most of those people. The good guys (Boswell, Pomeroy, I guess Herseth-Sandlin) also seem to be hanging in there.
I'm glad that Boswell, Hill, and Pomeroy leading (especially Hill), but I'm really sad to see that Spratt is trailing (he's a really good Congressman and a real Democrat, despite his district). I had been hoping that Spratt still had a chance, but (at least according to this poll) he seems to be a goner
I'm hoping the SC-5 result is an outlier and that Spratt narrowly wins (perhaps someone better acquainted with the district could inform me as to whether Spratt still has a chance). Herseth-Sandlin is one of the more annoying blue-dogs and I feel rather apathetic about her fate this November (although I'd rather keep the seat than lose it, obviously).
Yeah, I didn't see Spratt's numbers. That sucks.
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Proud Member of the International Posters' Union
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #12 on:
October 27, 2010, 02:49:19 pm »
My hope is that Spratt wins by about three votes. More likely is that he loses, obviously.
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'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
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brittain33
YaBB God
Posts: 11981
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #13 on:
October 27, 2010, 03:13:33 pm »
Well, he wasn't going to stay in Washington forever, anyway.
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wormyguy
YaBB God
Posts: 7808
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: -7.65
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #14 on:
October 27, 2010, 03:24:12 pm »
2010 will be the final nail in the coffin in the very slow funeral of the (rural) Southern Democrat.
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rob in cal
YaBB God
Posts: 587
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #15 on:
October 27, 2010, 05:03:21 pm »
The scary thing for Democrats about the demise of rural white southern Democrats is that those seats are so much tougher to win back. Its one thing to lose a California 11, or a suburban Philly or outer Chicago area seat, those can be taken back in a solid Democrat year, but losing some of these southern seats is like losing forts deep in enemy territory.
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Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #16 on:
October 27, 2010, 05:08:57 pm »
Quote from: rob in cal on October 27, 2010, 05:03:21 pm
The scary thing for Democrats about the demise of rural white southern Democrats is that those seats are so much tougher to win back. Its one thing to lose a California 11, or a suburban Philly or outer Chicago area seat, those can be taken back in a solid Democrat year, but losing some of these southern seats is like losing forts deep in enemy territory.
Indeed, many won't be going Democratic again until there is another 2006.
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LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
timmer123
Full Member
Posts: 140
Re: The Hill: Longer-term Dems not doing much better either
«
Reply #17 on:
October 29, 2010, 10:05:27 pm »
Herseth Sandlin and Pomeroy will both lose.
You can cry about it later...
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