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| | | |-+  AK: Hays Research: Miller drops to third place, Murkowski leads McAdams by 5
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Author Topic: AK: Hays Research: Miller drops to third place, Murkowski leads McAdams by 5  (Read 2527 times)
oakvale
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« on: October 28, 2010, 07:47:51 am »
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http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/10/28/miller_plummets_in_alaska.html

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A new Hays Research poll in Alaska shows Scott McAdams (D) surging ahead of Joe Miller (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 29% to 23%, allowing the unnamed write-in candidate -- most of which are presumably for Sen. Lisa Murkowski -- to lead the contest with 34%, with undecided voters still at 13%.

"With a 68% disapproval rating, and Miller's trend line looking like the flight of the Hindenberg even before the latest scandal hit the news, the chances of him actually pulling it off and winning this election are slim."

This is certainly an interesting race.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2010, 07:52:38 am »
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After factoring in the write-in penalty, McAdams might actually be leading this race.  How did the survey treat Murkowski?  Was there no prompting whatsoever?
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oakvale
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2010, 07:54:21 am »
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“If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the candidates were Joe Miller, Scott McAdams, Frederick Haase, Tim Carter, Ted Gianoutsos, or another candidate you have to write in, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided?

Seems like a decent way to ask the question.
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Roma Caput Mundi
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2010, 07:57:24 am »
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AHAHAHAHHAAH...I would just love to see Boxer or Murray lose and then McAdams win to make it GOP+9.
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2010, 08:01:06 am »
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Not to be, um, skeptical ... but I definitely want to see another poll here.
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2010, 08:02:47 am »
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“If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the candidates were Joe Miller, Scott McAdams, Frederick Haase, Tim Carter, Ted Gianoutsos, or another candidate you have to write in, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided?

Seems like a decent way to ask the question.

They treated the question of "how do you poll Murkowski" well, but I disagree that it's a well-constructed poll question in general. They failed to attach party designations to the names, and that's a glaring omission.

On edit: It appears that this is not the first time their polling has shown Miller in third.
« Last Edit: October 28, 2010, 08:05:25 am by Mr. Moderate »Logged

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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2010, 08:22:46 am »
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ROFL
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2010, 08:34:15 am »
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If this flips Dem, this will officially be the most hilarious election cycle this century.Tongue
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2010, 08:37:04 am »
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What is Hays Research's history and do they usually poll for one party or another?
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2010, 08:41:02 am »
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I've seen some pretty absurd polls, but this one takes the cake!
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oakvale
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2010, 08:43:31 am »
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I've seen some pretty absurd polls, but this one takes the cake!

I don't think so, really. Miller has ran one of the worst campaigns since Martha Coakley, and is, uh, a flawed candidate, to put it lightly.
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2010, 08:50:50 am »
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Miller is terribly flawed, but if Murkowski throws this race away due to her own vanity she should be punished.  I like what happened to William Wallace.
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2010, 08:55:29 am »
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Not to be, um, skeptical ... but I definitely want to see another poll here.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2010, 08:57:02 am »
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What is Hays Research's history and do they usually poll for one party or another?

Go check 2008 Presidential elections polling board
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2010, 08:57:44 am »
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Now this is very interesting.
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Carlos Danger
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2010, 08:59:35 am »
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What is Hays Research's history and do they usually poll for one party or another?

Go check 2008 Presidential elections polling board

They had McCain and Obama statistically tied in Alaska on November 2nd.

LOLOLOLOL.

Why they hell is this even in the database?
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mypalfish
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2010, 09:47:10 am »
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Looks like it's a poll of adults, not even registered voters.
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2010, 10:30:13 am »
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This might turn out to be the Hawaii presidential race of 2004, real close to flipping to the other party. I really, really hope McAdams can win this.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2010, 10:39:17 am »
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I could go ask six people on the street how they feel about the race and it would be about as legitimate as this "poll."
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Meeker
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2010, 11:40:41 am »
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The poll obviously has a lot of... issues... but I wouldn't be too surprised if Miller started nosediving. Even Alaskans can only take so much crazy. Hopefully someone else polls here before Tuesday.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2010, 11:54:44 am »
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Lolno. Just lolno.
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IDS Attorney General PiT
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« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2010, 12:16:33 pm »
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Looks like it's a poll of adults, not even registered voters.

     A poll of adults for an election in five days? Now that's pointless.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2010, 01:04:49 pm »
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Here“s the release:

http://www.haysresearch.com/page2/page30/page30.html

They did 4 seperate polls with 500 Likely Voters each and Miller is going down rapidely and McAdams up sharply.
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Roma Caput Mundi
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« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2010, 02:12:28 pm »
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LMAO @ Miller's disapprovals.
He's just a senate candidate and he is in >60% range.
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Dgov
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« Reply #24 on: October 28, 2010, 02:18:49 pm »
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LMAO @ Miller's approvals.
He's just a senate candidate and he is in >60% range.

Wow.  And people are taking this poll seriously?
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