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Author Topic: NV-03: Mason-Dixon sez Titus a dead duck...  (Read 1450 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: October 30, 2010, 10:38:54 am »
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http://www.8newsnow.com/story/13411920/8-news-now-review-journal-poll-shows-tight-races

Topline Numbers
Heck 53%
Titus 43%
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Da-Jon
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2010, 10:40:25 am »
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Her and Harry Reid are gone, she voted for HCR.
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Torie
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2010, 11:04:35 am »
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This is interesting, because Titus has been holding on until now pretty well. My sense of matters is that the Dems are still bleeding, and bleeding rather heavily.
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L'exquisite Douleur
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2010, 11:06:48 am »
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It really does not matter who wins there, whoever loses will just pick up the new seat in 2012. 2 GOP seats and 2 Dems is basically written in stone.
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muon2
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2010, 09:31:39 pm »
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It really does not matter who wins there, whoever loses will just pick up the new seat in 2012. 2 GOP seats and 2 Dems is basically written in stone.

I'm not so sure. It's possible to pack enough D's in CD-1 to make 3 R-leaning districts. However, as long as the Dems have at least one chamber they should be able to hold for a more equal map.

With four districts, NV may get close to a Hispanic-majority district in Clark Co, and cores of existing districts are to be respected under state law. That may pose a challenge to creating a second truly D-leaning district. A swing district is more likely.
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2016 PVI map of the Electoral College, with each state's size proportional to its vote in the EC. Grey states are even (PVI 0 or 1), pale states are lean-likely (PVI 2 through 5), dark states are solid (PVI 6 or more).
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