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| | |-+  2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead
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Author Topic: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead  (Read 1928 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 31, 2010, 01:36:49 am »
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New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-30

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2010, 01:40:57 am »
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That suxx ... Sad
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President Duke
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2010, 01:42:18 am »
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Very interesting. I don't know what to make of it.
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2010, 01:45:19 am »
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If Foley wins then CT-04 and CT-05 surely will flip Republican.
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IDS Attorney General PiT
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2010, 01:50:14 am »
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     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2010, 01:51:59 am »
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Out of PPP, too?

This one might really suck for the Democrats.
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2010, 02:02:06 am »
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     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.

Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner.   And hiking taxes.

McMahon has gone positive in the past week or so.  Blumenthal and the DSCC have been hammering her for using lobbyists to protect her business interests.  The DSCC's not on in New York, but Blumenthal is.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2010, 02:11:54 am »
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Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh.
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cinyc
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2010, 02:15:00 am »
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Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh.

If it were solely wave-induced, McMahon would be surging, too.  She's not.  This is TV ad-induced - Malloy's favorables are way down.
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Dgov
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2010, 02:40:14 am »
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Well part of it is that he's basically erased Malloy's lead with young voters, and only trails by 5 with them
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albaleman
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2010, 11:58:47 am »
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Out of PPP, too?

This one might really suck for the Democrats.

This whole election really sucks for us Democrats.
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The Kingfish
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2010, 12:08:10 pm »
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The dreaded last-minute swing....
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2010, 12:14:12 pm »
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Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2010, 12:24:40 pm »
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Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up.

52% Moderate: 52-44 Malloy
28% Conservative: 82-14 Foley
21% Liberal: 81-16 Malloy

27.04+3.92+17.01 = 47.97 Malloy
22.88+22.96+3.36 = 49.20 Foley

It`s probably due to rounding ...
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Former Moderate
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2010, 12:49:49 pm »
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     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.

Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner.   And hiking taxes.

For those interested in the story: http://www.ctnow.com/news/hc-curleys-diner-1029-20101028,0,429705.story?track=rss
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2010, 07:45:53 am »
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Foley is +3 in Quinnipiac. The guy's probably going to win now.
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2010, 09:52:32 am »
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That just puts even more pressure on Democrats to hold CT-4 and CT-5, because Democrats are almost certainly going to fall short of a veto-proof majority in the CT State House.
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2010, 02:48:34 pm »
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Amazing, it does look like Foley is going to win this. Guy really came out of nowhere over the last few days. Whoever came up with his attack ad strategy is going to get more job offers now.
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