CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-30

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

That suxx ...

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Very interesting. I don't know what to make of it.

[Guderian]

If Foley wins then CT-04 and CT-05 surely will flip Republican.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.

[SvenssonRS]

Out of PPP, too?

This one might really suck for the Democrats.

[cinyc]

     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.

Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner.   And hiking taxes.

McMahon has gone positive in the past week or so.  Blumenthal and the DSCC have been hammering her for using lobbyists to protect her business interests.  The DSCC's not on in New York, but Blumenthal is.

[Eraserhead]

Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh.

[cinyc]

Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh.

If it were solely wave-induced, McMahon would be surging, too.  She's not.  This is TV ad-induced - Malloy's favorables are way down.

[Dgov]

Well part of it is that he's basically erased Malloy's lead with young voters, and only trails by 5 with them

[albaleman]

Out of PPP, too?

This one might really suck for the Democrats.

This whole election really sucks for us Democrats.

[Phony Moderate]

The dreaded last-minute swing....

[Verily]

Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up.

[Tender Branson]

Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up.

52% Moderate: 52-44 Malloy
28% Conservative: 82-14 Foley
21% Liberal: 81-16 Malloy

27.04+3.92+17.01 = 47.97 Malloy
22.88+22.96+3.36 = 49.20 Foley

It`s probably due to rounding ...

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

     Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.

Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner.   And hiking taxes.

For those interested in the story: http://www.ctnow.com/news/hc-curleys-diner-1029-20101028,0,429705.story?track=rss

[Eraserhead]

Foley is +3 in Quinnipiac. The guy's probably going to win now.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

That just puts even more pressure on Democrats to hold CT-4 and CT-5, because Democrats are almost certainly going to fall short of a veto-proof majority in the CT State House.

[Guderian]

Amazing, it does look like Foley is going to win this. Guy really came out of nowhere over the last few days. Whoever came up with his attack ad strategy is going to get more job offers now.