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Author Topic: election prediction contest  (Read 1238 times)
shua
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« on: October 31, 2010, 12:29:39 pm »
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http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/10/pick-em.php

Quote
Think you've got a handle on what's going to happen Tuesday? Democratic polling firm Anzalone Liszt wants you to prove it.

The Alabama-based group is running an internet pool, along with D.C.-based Stratalys, giving participants the chance to pick winners in 18 Senate races, 23 House races and 27 governorships.

More inspiration: First prize is $1,000.

http://stratalys.com/sss/deploy.php?s10153

I bet someone on this board can win this!
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A-Bob
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2010, 01:58:57 pm »
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Thanks for the link
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2010, 01:42:31 pm »
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House 2010: GOP:253 +74 DEM:182 -74
Senate 2010:GOP:49 +08 DEM:46 -11 Indys: 2 nc Toss-up:3
Governor 2010: GOP:29 +5 DEM:13 -13 Indy: 1 +1 Toss-up:7

The Senate is 50/46/2  R/D/I!  Toss-up:2 CA+WA+WV
Senate pick-ups for the GOP: AR CO IL IN ND NV PA  WI!

Governor picks for the GOP: IL IA KS  ME MI NM OH OK  PA TN WI WY
but the Dems would pick: CA HI 
and RI would go Independent
CO CT FL MA MN OR VT are toss-ups

And here is my weekly house forecast.
The Democrats will gain LA_02 and DE_AL, but then these seats flip to the GOP for a gain of  74 seats:
AL: 2       AR: 1, 2     AZ: 1, 5, 8
CA: 11,20,47    CO: 3, 4,7   CT:5
FL: 2, 8, 22, 24    GA: 2,8   ID:1
IA:        IL: 11, 14, 17    IN: 8,9 
KS: 3       KY: 3
LA: 3      MO:4
MD:        MI:  7, 8,9    MS: 1,4
NC: 8       ND: 1       NH: 
NM:  1,2      NV: 3       NJ: 3
NY: 1,4, 13,19,20,29
OH: 1, 6, 15, 16, 17,18              OR:
PA: 3,6,7,10,12
SC: 5       SD: 1
TN: 4, 6, 8    TX: 17, 23,27
VA: 2, 5,9
WA:2, 3,6    WI: 3, 7, 8    WV: 1,3
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I was anti-Obama before it was cool
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