PREDICTIONS THREAD (GUBERNATORIAL/IN-STATE RACES) (user search)
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Author Topic: PREDICTIONS THREAD (GUBERNATORIAL/IN-STATE RACES)  (Read 4411 times)
Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,492
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« on: November 01, 2010, 09:01:36 AM »
« edited: November 01, 2010, 11:27:33 AM by Eraserhead »

And here... we... go.

ERASERHEAD'S FINAL GUBERNATORIAL PREDICTIONS

Maine (GOP PICKUP)

LePage (R) 43%
Cutler (I) 29%
Mitchell (D) 28%

New Hampshire (DEM HOLD)

Lynch (D) 53%
Stephen (R) 46%
Babiarz (L) 1%

Vermont (DEM PICKUP)

Shumlin (D) 52%
Dubie (R) 46%
Others 2%

This one is tricky. I wish that there had been more polling done on it.

Massachusetts (DEM HOLD)

Patrick (D) 47%
Baker (R) 46%
Cahill (I) 5%
Stein (G) 1%

A bit concerned about this one actually. Still wondering exactly how the Cahill collapse will shake out.

Connecticut (GOP HOLD)

Foley (R) 50%
Malloy (D) 49%
Marsh (I) 1%

I'm gonna trust PPP and Quinnipac. Foley has all the momentum. I hope I'm wrong though.

Rhode Island (IND PICKUP)

Chafee (I) 37%
Caprio (D) 32%
Robitallie (R) 31%

lol @ Caprio. He would have won this.

New York (DEM HOLD)

Cuomo (D) 56%
Paladino (R) 36%
McMillen (RI2DH) 3%
Hawkins (G) 2%
Redlich (L) 1%
Barron (F) 0.5%
Davis (A-P) 0.5%

Bonus Round:

Attorney General (DEM HOLD)

Schneiderman (D) 51%
Donovan (R) 49%

Comptroller (DEM HOLD)

DiNapoli (D) 53%
Wilson (R) 47%

Pennsylvania (GOP PICKUP)

Corbett (R) 55%
Onorato (D) 45%

Maryland (DEM HOLD)

O'Malley (D) 54%
Ehrlich (R) 44%
Others 2%

Ohio (GOP PICKUP)

Kasich (R) 50%
Strickland (D) 48%
Others 2%

An important one to watch. It'll be close.

Michigan (GOP PICKUP)

Snyder (R) 58%
Bernero (D) 40%
Others 2%

Epic fail.

Wisconsin (GOP PICKUP)

Walker (R) 54%
Barrett (D) 45%
Others 1%

Minnesota (DEM PICKUP)

Dayton (D) 46%
Emmer (R) 42%
Horner (I) 11%
Hakeem (G) 1%

Iowa (GOP PICKUP)

Republican Landslide. Don't care.

Illinois (GOP PICKUP)

Brady (R) 48%
Quinn (D) 47%
Whitney (G) 4%
Green (L) 1%

Anther one that I think may end up a lot close than expected.


Arkansas (DEM HOLD)

Democratic Landslide. Don't care.

Tennessee (GOP PICKUP)

See Iowa.

Alabama (GOP HOLD)

See Iowa again.

South Carolina (GOP HOLD)

Haley (R) 55%
Sheheen (D) 45%
Reeves (G) 0%

It looks like she'll underperform.

Florida (GOP HOLD/PICKUP?)

Scott (R) 50%
Sink (D) 49.5%
Others .5%

Texas (GOP HOLD)

Perry (R) 54%
White (D) 44%
Others  2%

Colorado (DEM HOLD)

Hickenlooper (D) 49%
Tancredo (AC) 42%
Maes (R) 8%
Brown (L) 1%

New Mexico (GOP PICKUP)

Martinez 54%
Denish 46%

Arizona (GOP HOLD)

Brewer 54%
Goddard 44%
Others 2%

California (DEM PICKUP)

Brown 52%
Whitman 46%
Others 2%

I am Governor Jerry Brown, my aura smiles and never frowns.

Oregon (DEM HOLD?)

Huh

Not gonna bother.

Hawaii and Alaska races look closer than they should be. Hawaii will be a Dem Pickup and Alaska will be a GOP Hold. Also Nevada, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, Idaho and Utah are all going Republican but they're all too boring to discuss beyond that.
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