WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46%

[Torie]

The poll is here. Someone else can put it in the data base.

[Psychic Octopus]

So, it appears that my hunch was correct, and that Raese was too extreme for West Virginia after all. Manchin will need to watch himself though, or he may be portrayed as Obama's "lapdog." Still, with popularity like that, he's hard to beat. Capito really must be kicking herself that she didn't try and run, though.

[DrScholl]

Good, this is one that would have been very disappointing to lose. I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese.

[Torie]

The minimum wage thing hurt (just why Raese brought that up, escapes me, since the Dems are careful to keep the minimum wage low enough, that it really has a very marginal economic distortative effect), and the Florida mansion ads. But I remain unsure about this race. WV really hates Obama. I wonder if Ras will have another poll.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So, it appears that my hunch was correct, and that Raese was too extreme for West Virginia after all. Manchin will need to watch himself though, or he may be portrayed as Obama's "lapdog." Still, with popularity like that, he's hard to beat. Capito really must be kicking herself that she didn't try and run, though.

Since when did Raese have anything to do with this race?

[Beet]

If Manchin wins he'll be such a blue dog, I wonder if he'll even vote with the Dems 50% of the time.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

New Poll: West Virginia Senator (Special) by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-31

Summary: D: 51%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Kaine for Senate '18]

The poll is entered.

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese.

Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one.

[Kevin]

I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese.

Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one.

It isn't over yet,

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese.

Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one.

It isn't over yet,

It will be in 2 days, and not much will change between that time.

[Eraserhead]

If Manchin wins he'll be such a blue dog, I wonder if he'll even vote with the Dems 50% of the time.

Oh please. He'll be more conservative than Byrd was in his later years but he's not gonna be Ben Nelson or anything. If he wins now, he probably has the seat for life anyway.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

I would still trade this seat for Wisconsin.  Hell, even Pennsylvania.

[Eraserhead]

I would still trade this seat for Wisconsin.  Hell, even Pennsylvania.

Who wouldn't

[tpfkaw]

2008 exit polls:

48D-34R-19I

This poll:

55D-34R-11I

I call BS.

[DrScholl]

The party ID numbers don't mean much, since most in West Virginia are registered Democrats, but vote very conservative. The sample is always going to be very high on Democrats, even if all of them aren't support the Democratic candidate.

[Ronnie]

Hm, this is unfortunate.  I guess it's finally time to switch my prediction on this one.

[mypalfish]

A simple fact...there is no wave coming if the GOP loses this seat.  And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA.

And Gallup should be embarrassed with their ridiculous generic ballot result.

[tpfkaw]

mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions.  A bit of a masochist, perhaps?

[Ronnie]

  And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA.

I honestly don't see any connection whatsoever...please expound.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions.  A bit of a masochist, perhaps?

Are you familiar with the history of the fish?

[tpfkaw]

mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions.  A bit of a masochist, perhaps?

Are you familiar with the history of the fish?

"I will now accept my accolades"

[Eraserhead]

A simple fact...there is no wave coming if the GOP loses this seat.  And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA.

And Gallup should be embarrassed with their ridiculous generic ballot result.

lol

[Umengus]

fish needs a therapy...

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen has Manchin +4 today.