Uh, okay.
I'll read the details on this poll before making assumptions. It's sad this is a three-way, as I really think McAdams/Murkowski would be winning if this was a two-day. 60% of Alaskans are FF's.
Assuming this poll is accurate (which I have my questions given that this is Alaska), that's an interesting assumption you make. What do you have to base this on, other than your own wishes?
Because clearly the only people who are supporting Miller are those who have a favorable opinion of him, which is less than 40%. Murkowski is taking Democratic and Independent voters away that would normally vote McAdams. Miller would gain some from Murkowski Republicans, but I still think McAdams would have the overall edge. In a poll done by Rasmussen between the two, he was ahead by 6. His favorables were also higher then.
Also interesting, 58% have an unfavorable view of Sarah Palin.