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Author Topic: WA: Public Policy Polling: Rossi (R) surges ahead in final poll  (Read 5042 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 01, 2010, 03:22:39 am »
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New Poll: Washington Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-31

Summary: D: 48%, R: 50%, I: 0%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2010, 03:25:24 am »
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Hmm, 3/4 say they have already voted and Rossi leads by 5 among them.

Probably change this to a Rossi win in my predicition.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2010, 03:36:49 am »
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This must mean that they have Reid up by a solid margin in Nevada. That or Jensen is just being a total prick with his tweets.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2010, 03:40:05 am »
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PPP doesn't always have the most favorable results for Democrats. See also the poll with Feingold down 9.
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2010, 03:48:29 am »
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This must mean that they have Reid up by a solid margin in Nevada. That or Jensen is just being a total prick with his tweets.

He could be up (and hopefully is), but if you are referring to the retain the Senate tweet it could mean 50-50 with Biden being the tiebreaker they still have control.  That tweet could have been about West Virginia and California being out of reach.
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Guderian
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2010, 05:34:24 am »
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Since Boxer is almost certainly winning, Taliban Patty biting the dust is the only acceptable consolation prize.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2010, 05:46:10 am »
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Taliban Patty

LOL. Explain plz.
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Guderian
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2010, 05:48:06 am »
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It's the nickname derived from her belief that Talibans and Bin Laden built daycare centers for kids in Afghanistan.
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Franzl
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2010, 06:18:26 am »
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I will put Murray just as vulnerable as Russ Feingold now.

That would be a stupid thing to do...unsurprisingly.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2010, 07:35:07 am »
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Sad
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2010, 08:10:05 am »
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Smiley  It is, however, only one poll and I'm not too happy with PPP this year.
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J. J.

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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2010, 08:19:59 am »
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She does lead 51-45 with those who haven't voted yet, so I think that's where her win is at. Two points isn't insurmountable with that sort of margin with people who haven't vote yet.
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2010, 08:47:29 am »
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Ah, so it really is game over then. I presume Joe Lieberman is already drafting a press conference speech for Wednesday morning about his intention to switch parties.
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2010, 09:12:07 am »
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FWIW, Fox actually has Murray with a narrow lead, so who knows?
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StatesRights
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2010, 09:18:33 am »
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Well, at least we know who bgwah voted for. Smiley
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Whacker77
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2010, 09:50:00 am »
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This race is a falt out tie.  I say that because the polls are close, but, more importantly, half of the polls favor Murray and half of the polls favor Rossi.  For Rossi's sake, I would hate to see him defeated in another brutally close recount.  I guess King County won't be relasing their vote totals until the rest of the state is 100% in!
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auburntiger
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2010, 10:05:59 am »
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Fingers are crossed for a GOP pickup. I've changed it on my prediction map. It would be nice to have a victory in the west coast for a change.
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Meeker
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2010, 11:29:29 am »
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I think we're going to lose this.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2010, 01:05:50 pm »
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I think we're going to lose this.

Murray has a 2 point lead with the Fox news poll. And this poll doesn't include cell phone voters.  Don't say that. 
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SPC
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2010, 01:08:42 pm »
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I say that Rossi wins by ~30,000.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2010, 01:09:37 pm »
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One poll shows a Murray lead of 4% before the election and it's "too close to call" or something, but when Rossi's up by 2 in one poll Democrats are like "Oh my fkn GOD!  SHE IS SO SCREWED!"  


Snap out of it.  Murray's not screwed. It's going to be a close race, either candidate could win.  
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2010, 01:15:11 pm »
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...motherf'er. It's PPP, too - post-Kos PPP.

Maybe this race won't disappoint me after all.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2010, 02:13:53 pm »
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I say that Rossi wins by ~30,000.

Rossi wins, initially anyway, by about 100 votes less than the net change in King County after the "recount".... Smiley

But seriously.....

Race is damn close, I have Murray barely holding on, but it's a 52/48 thing... tossing a coin is at least as accurate as I can be on this one.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2010, 02:16:27 pm by The Vorlon »Logged

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oakvale
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2010, 02:16:17 pm »
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It's weird that PPP is showing Rossi ahead and Rasmussen is showing Murray ahead, considering it's usually the other way around.
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bgwah
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2010, 02:20:35 pm »
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Ahh, run for higher ground Patty!!!



On a more serious note, I don't believe PPP polled WA much (if at all?) in previous elections, so I don't know what their track record is here. These numbers are still quite unsettling, though. If this thing is close, we won't know who won for a while.
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