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Author Topic: PPP: IL: Kirk +4  (Read 2301 times)
Meeker
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« on: November 01, 2010, 02:02:57 am »
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Kirk: 46
Alexi: 42

Game over.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2010, 02:05:28 am »
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Game over? We've seen a ton of polls like this. I'm still not totally convinced but... my final prediction will probably be for Kirk.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2010, 02:07:11 am »
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Game over? We've seen a ton of polls like this. I'm still not totally convinced but... my final prediction will probably be for Kirk.

If Kirk was still down in the low 40's I'd agree, but he's above 45% now. The undecideds are breaking and not in the way that we need.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2010, 02:52:52 am »
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Yeah, I'll also predict a slight Kirk win now.
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2010, 03:45:03 am »
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I wouldn't completely rule out Alexi. He's still at 32 on Intrade. That's better odds than Raese has.
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Umengus
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2010, 05:45:59 am »
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the early dem turnout seems good hence, the democrat can still win, especially in the Obama state...
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm  

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

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Whacker77
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2010, 09:52:19 am »
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It seems that over the last week or so a close race has become a four point race for Kirk.  I think Fox has the exact same number out this morning.  The Senate probably doesn't need either guy, but Alexi is a little young and I say that as a 33 year old.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2010, 09:57:30 am »
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I've said this before, but it's hilarious how this race is so close and yet has utterly failed to arouse any excitement whatsoever.
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Franzl
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2010, 10:00:17 am »
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Smiley
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2010, 10:11:06 am »
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Fingers crossed that once Kirk scores the win here he'll go back to being his usual moderate self.
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Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.

I think it is very possible that Vladimir Putin could be the Antichrist.  That is nothing more than an educated guess on my part.
Franzl
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2010, 10:12:23 am »
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Fingers crossed that once Kirk scores the win here he'll go back to being his usual moderate self.

That's what I'm banking on.....but either way, even if not.....he'd be a better Senator than the G-man.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2010, 10:21:22 am »
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Fingers crossed that once Kirk scores the win here he'll go back to being his usual moderate self.

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muon2
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2010, 10:41:43 pm »
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the early dem turnout seems good hence, the democrat can still win, especially in the Obama state...

Actually it's not very good compared to previous years. Dems have posted a 3-1 advantage in the past but this year is more like 3-2. Turnout will be critical, low numbers compared to 2006 will favor Kirk.
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2016 PVI map of the Electoral College, with each state's size proportional to its vote in the EC. Grey states are even (PVI 0 or 1), pale states are lean-likely (PVI 2 through 5), dark states are solid (PVI 6 or more).
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