Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 22, 2013, 06:55:55 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2010 Elections
| | |-+  2010 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | | |-+  WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: WV: Rasmussen Poll: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 46%  (Read 1606 times)
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24380
United States


View Profile
« on: November 01, 2010, 10:03:05 am »
Ignore
The poll is here.

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2010, 10:04:37 am by Torie »Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27994
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2010, 10:04:42 am »
Ignore
New Poll: West Virginia Senator (Special) by Rasmussen on 2010-10-31

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27978


Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2010, 10:06:01 am »
Ignore
It would be amusing if Manchin won 52-48 in this year.
Logged
Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey
hantheguitarman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2260


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2010, 10:06:48 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Torie on November 01, 2010, 10:03:05 am
The poll is here.

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.

It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.
Logged
http://theasianconservative.blogspot.com/
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12182
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2010, 10:08:30 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Governor Han on November 01, 2010, 10:06:48 am
It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.

To be fair, that's not so much Raese's fault so much as it is the folks who were hiring for the ad, but ... yeah.
Logged
Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13927


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2010, 10:10:06 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Torie on November 01, 2010, 10:03:05 am
The poll is here.

So, I have to change my prediction on this race to Dem. Raese may still win it, but the odds are low. So assuming Rossi really wins in Washington, it appears that the GOP takeover of the Senate was stopped in the hollows of the WV hills - quite an oddity for a state that holds Obama in such low esteem.

Well, it was also stopped two months ago in the quiet state of Delaware.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24380
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2010, 10:40:39 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on November 01, 2010, 10:08:30 am
Quote from: Governor Han on November 01, 2010, 10:06:48 am
It's really Raese's fault for his hick ad controversy. He had it in the bag but fumbled it.

To be fair, that's not so much Raese's fault so much as it is the folks who were hiring for the ad, but ... yeah.

I doubt if the hick thing had much to do with it. The mansion ads and the minimum wage thing, I think are what eroded Raese at the margins. That is what Manchin's attack ads were about. Plus Manchin went heavily blue dog.
Logged
mypalfish
Full Member
***
Posts: 207


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am »
Ignore
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.
Logged
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12182
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2010, 11:32:53 am »
Ignore
Quote from: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Stop trolling.
Logged
Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24380
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2010, 11:34:31 am »
Ignore
Quote from: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.


And there you have it!  Tongue  You know, the borders of the US expand beyond WV. Just a thought.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24380
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2010, 11:35:23 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on November 01, 2010, 11:32:53 am
Quote from: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Stop trolling.

Nah, the post is almost good enough for the Comedy Goldmine actually. Smiley
Logged
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12177


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2010, 12:51:11 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

The Republicans might just win a senate race in Washington and almost win against a governor with 70% approval ratings. How would that  not be a wave? Stop embarrassing yourself.

The only state that looks odd to me is Colorado. If the Republicans are winning the generic ballot by 10 points, they should be carrying Colorado regardless of candidate. That may happen in the end but it's very, very close.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3632
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2010, 01:19:20 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: mypalfish on November 01, 2010, 11:31:19 am
As usual, the GOP bungles races late in the game and makes what should have been a great night just pretty good.

The wave is dead as soon as Manchin is declared the winner on election night.

There are no races where the GOP candidate surprises with a win due to a late surge.  Some wave...

What a bunch of overblown bunk.

Oh, Christ, we've got another sg. I'm going to have a headache for a long time if tomorrow night is anything less than perfect, I think...
Logged
In Wyoming, there are two seasons.
Winter and July.
Prez Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16138


Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -6.35

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2010, 02:10:44 pm »
Ignore
I don't know what to make of this. Obama is so unpopular in WV so I'm having a hard time believing Manchin will win.
Logged
I call that getting swindled and pimped
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53015
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2010, 02:49:53 pm »
Ignore
There are good reasons to remain at least a little bit wary of assuming much about this race until the results start coming through, but these numbers certainly seem reasonable.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
Senator Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12177


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2010, 05:00:07 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Shatov's Cap on November 01, 2010, 02:49:53 pm
There are good reasons to remain at least a little bit wary of assuming much about this race until the results start coming through, but these numbers certainly seem reasonable.

I still think this race is going to break one way. I think it will be towards the Democrat, but I wouldn't be surprised if Raese wins.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory