NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

so what is the latest GOP net gains in the House?

[RI]

so what is the latest GOP net gains in the House?

NYTimes has it at +60 with 10 still out, of which the Republicans currently lead in four. I've heard one of those could flip to the Dems though.

[Guderian]

TX-27 Republican lead of 799
NY-25 Republican lead of 659
IL-08 Republican lead of 553

Those three will be recounted but are expected to hold from what I'm hearing. CA-20 Republican lead is supposed to disappear when they count provos. KY-06, VA-11 and CA-11 will be recounted with Dems in lead, and are all expected to hold although CA-11 is just 121 votes so who knows. WA-02 is a mystery with 29% uncounted.

Also, that thug Bob Etheridge is screaming recount in NC-02, race that was called Republican by the media. It's a 1600 votes lead and should hold.

[Eraserhead]

Buck wasn't really an awful candidate. He had a few issues, for sure, but he put out a more respectable presentation than most of the other teabaggers.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

So the Tear Party won what? Paul? Buck looks to be in trouble. Angle, O'Donnell lost. Rubio won, but he's not really been a crazy tea partier.

Toomey?

Toomey is a Club for Growther.

Before Angle was a Tea Party candidate, she was a C4G candidate as well.

[tpfkaw]

TBH I'm not sure why C4G initially decided to enter Nevada - Lowden should have earned a passing grade on all the issues they care about and even then Tarkanian was the most obvious "more conservative" candidate.

[Hash]

Did Joe Miller win Wasilla?

[5280]

CO will never be like MA, you have all the surrounding neighbor states which are dark/bright red in politics. It will always be a competitive state unless you get people from the coasts keep moving here.  The fact the REPs won CO-3 and CO-4 proves my point.

[RI]

Did Joe Miller win Wasilla?

Yes, both precincts.

[Eraserhead]

Part of the problem for the CO GOP was that Obama still had somewhat decent approvals among people who voted in CO. 48%-51% as compared to 45%-54% nationally.

[cinyc]

Did Joe Miller win Wasilla?

Yes, both precincts.

With over 50% of the vote.

In fact, Miller won every precinct in Mat-Su borough except City of Palmer No. 1 and Talkeetna, which tend to skew more Democratic than the rest of the borough.  "Write-in" won Palmer No. 1.  McAdams won hippie Talkeetna.

[Ogre Mage]

Nov. 4th update on the WA-SEN numbers:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2013349339_murrays_lead_widens_on_new_vot.html

[RI]

Nov. 4th update on the WA-SEN numbers:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2013349339_murrays_lead_widens_on_new_vot.html

It's over, but it's been that way for a bit now.

[homelycooking]

Is Himes' seat in doubt again after the CT mess?

Unless Debicella won a couple of miserably poor black and Hispanic neighborhoods in Bridgeport, no.

[Meeker]

Given what's come in thus far, Murray is going to finish the day above 51%.

Nearly 45% of remaining ballots are from King County, which Murray won 67-33 today.

Time for Rossi to concede.

[nhmagic]

Earlier I said there were about 30000 ballots left in Pima County.  Actually the amount of ballots left is somewhere around 47,000 (about 32000 early voting ballots and 15000 provisional ballots).  Thats why they arent calling AZ7 or 8 yet.  They have until November 12th to count all of those ballots.  Most of these votes will come from the more populous area of Pima county which is AZ8.  Also, even though Pima and early ballots ran better for Giffords on election night, it could be that she already got the bulk of what she was going to get.

Current Totals:
AZ7
Grijalva: 49.39% / McClung: 44.94%, McClung Deficit 5980 votes
AZ8
Giffords: 48.58% / Kelly: 47.41%, Kelly Deficit 3055

Probably not doable for McClung, but definitely still doable for Kelly.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

The Seattle Times has officially called the race for Murray!  



http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2013349573_senate05m.html

[Ronnie]

Anyone else surprised that Ayotte broke 60% and carried every one of NH's counties?  I certainly didn't see that coming.

[Lief 🗽]

Given what's come in thus far, Murray is going to finish the day above 51%.

Nearly 45% of remaining ballots are from King County, which Murray won 67-33 today.

Time for Rossi to concede.

lolrossi

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Notes on Virginia:

VA-01 - Nothing exciting here. Ball won the very northwestern and southeastern tips of the district (PW County and Hampton), narrowly carried Williamsburg, and lost everywhere else.
VA-02 - This is what happens when you spend two years pretending not to be a Democrat. Rigell even beat Nye in Norfolk.
VA-03 - I was wondering if Chuck Smith was going to break the record for a Republican running against Bobby Scott (31% in 2004, when one-term African-American Del. Winsome Sears ran against him). No dice, he's at 27%.
VA-04 - Surprisingly weak showing by Forbes; He only got 60% in 2008, but that was with Obama narrowly carrying the district and against a joke opponent. I was expecting him to get near 70% this time. I'm guessing the Republicans take Petersburg out of the district in redistricting.
VA-05 - Perriello fought valiantly, and came within 4% of Hurt. Not bad, considering he had been written off by every pundit pretty much since he was elected.
VA-06 - Nothing to see here.
VA-07 - Funnily enough, this was Cantor's slimmest margin since he was elected, though it's partially due to the fact that a third party teabagger took 6.5%.
VA-08 - Yeah, Arlington, Alexandria and Falls Church are never going to dip below 60% for a Democrat.
VA-09 - Poor Rick Boucher. I could see this coming from the results of 2008 and 2009, but I still thought he could pull off one more term.
VA-10 - Wolf is entrenched. Barnett did surprisingly well in Manassas Park; not sure what to make of that, except that turnout was low there.
VA-11 - In the battle of Fairfax vs. Prince William, Fairfax wins. Connolly will probably get a safe seat in redistricting in order to shore up VA-10 once Wolf retires.

[Lief 🗽]

Anyone else surprised that Ayotte broke 60% and carried every one of NH's counties?  I certainly didn't see that coming.

Yeah, though of all the states where such a thing would happen, NH is close to the top of the list. They swing often and hard.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

AP called AZ-07 for Grijalva.

[Meeker]

The Seattle Times has officially called the race for Murray!  



http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2013349573_senate05m.html

The AP has as well.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Rossi has conceded.

[Ogre Mage]

The Seattle Times has officially called the race for Murray!  



http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2013349573_senate05m.html

The AP has as well.

Dino Rossi has conceded:

http://www.publicola.net/2010/11/04/rossi-concedes/

With Boxer, Murray, Wyden, Brown and Kitzhaber's victories, the Democrats now control all the U.S. Senate seats and governorships on the west coast.