NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Wow, it looks like Gerry Connolly (VA-11) is really getting a run for his money. The last time I looked at it, Republican opponent Keith Fimian is actually leading by a few hundred votes.

I still think Connolly is favored, but if he loses, the Republicans will have even more VA House seats then they did before 2008 (if Connolly loses, then the Republicans will have a 9-2 advantage!)

[Zarn]

30 seconds after Marco Rubio renewed my faith in America, Christine O'Donnell is taking a dump on my brain.

Rubio was all class tonight. Winning helps, I guess.

O'Donnell has no business being in state wide races... in any state.

If Murkowski wins and goes with the GOP (destroying Palin, as a result) and The GOP takes the US House in NJ, then I consider it a very successful night.

[Free Palestine]

Sestak is winning in PA.  Aw balls.

Oh well, I'll be happy if the Republicans at least take the House.

[Zarn]

Sestak is winning in PA.  Aw balls.

Oh well, I'll be happy if the Republicans at least take the House.

Philly and Pit are mostly in...

[cinyc]

FWIW, I had Republicans leading in 57 House seats of Sam's 139 in the last run about 10 minutes ago.  I'll post another dashboard update soon.  Data's not in in all seats, natch.

[sg0508]

PA would be a huge blow to the Republicans.  What happened?

[Lief 🗽]

Dems still holding up surprisingly well across the board in North Carolina; Schuler and Price both won, Kissell and McIntyre have strong leads. Bob Etheridge is in a dead heat though.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Joe Wilson is about 50-50 with 50% in on tv. I find that very hard to believe.

YOU LIE!

Really though, that's absolutely unbelievable.

[Frodo]

Wow, it looks like Gerry Connolly (VA-11) is really getting a run for his money. The last time I looked at it, Republican opponent Keith Fimian is actually leading by a few hundred votes.

I still think Connolly is favored, but if he loses, the Republicans will have even more VA House seats then they did before 2008 (if Connolly loses, then the Republicans will have a 9-2 advantage!)

Connelly now has a narrow lead in terms of raw votes, but I have no doubt there is going to be a recount before the dust settles on this race.  

[Zarn]

Sestak is winning in PA.  Aw balls.

Oh well, I'll be happy if the Republicans at least take the House.

Philly and Pit are mostly in...

[sg0508]

Toomey ties it up in PA.  If the inner counties are left, he may pull it off.  The Exit Polls may be off here.  Philly was 75% to Sestak.  That's the max the GOP can lose there and win PA.

[Iosif]

Lincoln county only one still out in KY-6. Chandler up by less that 1000.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Connolly's going to win. He's closed the gap in PW, he's only down by 5 there now, and almost all that's left is Fairfax.

[Insula Dei]

Joe Wilson is about 50-50 with 50% in on tv. I find that very hard to believe.

YOU LIE!

Really though, that's absolutely unbelievable.

This is perhaps my favourite result so far.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

PA marginals...

PA-3: R 54 (65% in)
PA-4: D 51 (46% in)
PA-12: D 51 (25% in)
PA-10: R 54 (59% in)
PA-11: R 54 (66% in)
PA-15: D 47 (28% in)
PA-6: R 52 (7% in)
PA-7: R 58 (27% in)
PA-8: R 52 (39% in)

Please note I don't know which areas are in yet in most cases as I've nay checked.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Wisconsin joined Illinois and Pennsylvania in the tossup/very narrow lead Republican category of a 0.5-1 point lead for the Republican in the exit poll.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Joe Wilson is about 50-50 with 50% in on tv. I find that very hard to believe.

YOU LIE!

Really though, that's absolutely unbelievable.

I will lmao if this flips.

[useful idiot]

Connelly and Fimian are about tied in VA-11 according to latest poll results, with 60% of precincts in.

Connelly (D): 48.7%
Fimian (R): 49.4%

With 70% of precincts in:

Connelly (D): 49%
Fimian (R): 49%

It wouldn't surprise me if there is going to be a recount on this one.  

OMG, Connelly now narrowly has the lead according to the Virginia State Board of Elections website.

Not a surprise. I don't know why the news networks were painting it so close so early when there was almost nothing in. Then Prince William was coming in far faster than Fairfax, so there was no doubt that it was going to eventually close up.

[Torie]

Hello all. Well it was exciting when I saw the Pubbie up 10% in IN-02 when I arrived at the gym. I was thinking maybe an 80 seat gain based on that. But by the end of my workout, it was even, and the Dem Donnelly will win by 1,000 votes or so, after I checked what was out, and how many votes were out (not many). So Nate Silver with having Donnelly up by 2% on a plus GOP 54 seat model, translates pretty well into the 60 or so seat gain that I think at least Fox is projecting. Look at the IN-01 results. Skin tight, with about 25% of the votes in. Granted, I have not checked where they were from. IN-01 was my wild guess sleeper seat.

So, without parsing more data other than what I watched on the tube, it does look like 55-65 seats to me - for the moment.

[cinyc]

Updated Dashboard:




Now, R+56 in the seats in so far.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Kratovil is getting stomped in MD-01. He's losing everywhere but Kent County.

[tokar]

Philly almost in...

83.4% reporting
Sestak 293k (82.5%)
Toomey 62k (17.6%)
Total = 355k

Est total will be over 420k.

[Insula Dei]

Arizona elects McCain.

[cinyc]

Lincoln county only one still out in KY-6. Chandler up by less that 1000.

Lincoln County is Republican-leaning statewide (slight), with 16,000 RVs.  It should tighten a bit - but I don't know if there will be enough votes to make up the 900 or so gap.

Nailbiter.

[King]

NBC isn't ready to make a projecting in Utah?!?!

Did they just forget to take an exit poll or something?