NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Lief 🗽]

The west really came through for us this election. Kind of. I'd like to thank our Hispanic immigrant comrades for their valiant efforts to stem the Republican tide.

[Lief 🗽]

My oh my, what is Joe Miller going to do with his curtains? And why is Sarah Palin so ineffective in Alaska?

Has Joe Miller made a concession speech yet? I'd love to see that Stasi-loving asshole admit defeat.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

My oh my, what is Joe Miller going to do with his curtains? And why is Sarah Palin so ineffective in Alaska?

Has Joe Miller made a concession speech yet? I'd love to see that Stasi-loving asshole admit defeat.

Nope: http://www.adn.com/2010/11/02/1532963/senate-drama-could-just-be-beginning.html

Remember, there's all those mail-in ballots still to be counted, like in 2008. Then there's the process of counting write-ins. This could take weeks.

[riceowl]

My oh my, what is Joe Miller going to do with his curtains? And why is Sarah Palin so ineffective in Alaska?

Has Joe Miller made a concession speech yet? I'd love to see that Stasi-loving asshole admit defeat.

that won't be happening for a while:

"...Robert Campbell, Mr. Miller’s campaign manager said: “We’re pretty confident Senator Murkowski’s going to get some of the write-in votes. It’s also possible Spiderman will get some, too.” "

[rob in cal]

And Lief, don't worry, even if you had a GOP congress and President, they still wouldn't try to do much to change what I call the "Brazilification" of the US.  To paraphrase one Democrat official from the early 2000's in Texas "our voters are still on their way here from Mexico".  I don't think, however, that you will see much of a chance of even more immigration beyond the already high levels already allowed in getting through the new house.  In the case of the western senate seats, one could truly argue that immigrants and their descendants are "doing the work (voting Democrat) that white middle class Americans are too  lazy to do".

[Antonio the Sixth]

Ok, so it seems it comes down to three. Here is what the NYT projects :


Colorado

88% reporting

Bennet leads by 7556 votes (0.46%)

Most of the votes yet to be counted come from Arapahoe (11% rep) and Boulder (72%) counties, both of which have Bennet ahead.


Washington

62% reporting

Murray leads by 14005 votes (0.98%)

Most of the votes yet to be counted come from King (55%, Murray ahead), Yakima (47%, Rossi ahead), Okanogan (50%, Rossi), Skagit (56%, Rossi), Clallam (56%, Rossi), Douglas (56%, Rossi), Franklin (55%, Rossi), Stevens (51%, Rossi), Spokane (42%, Rossi) and Whitman (53%, Rossi) counties.


Alaska

99% reporting

Write-Ins lead by 13588 (6.8%). It is likely to estimate than a sufficient share of them are for Murkowski.

As usual, no borough results in Alaska.


I think we can safely project that Bennet will win the Colorado race, same for Murkowski. Washington still looks pretty uncertain, but an almost 1% lead should be pretty hard for Rossi to overcome.
When would you think those 3 races will be called ?

[Sam Spade]

Btw, if you're wondering why NY-25 hasn't been called, it's because the areas out should be very friendly to Buerkle.  I doubt it's enough to overcome a 2000-vote lead, but who knows...

[dmmidmi]

I'm guessing that Colorado will be called later today. Washington may be called on Friday. Murkowski may be projected the winner in the next day or so, but due to the inevitable lawsuits that both Miller and Murkowski are almost certainly gearing up for, Alaska probably won't be settled for another month--maybe even longer.

Edit at 11:41am-ish: Michael Bennet will keep his seat. http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_16511547

[Oakvale]

Really glad to see that Bennet, one of the better Senators, pulled through.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming. Normally I'd take solace in that the seat would likely flip back but who knows what redistricting will do. We've probably lost the chance to redistrict out Bachmann too but if we lose a seat Cravaak likely will be it.

Well on the bright side Hanabusa appears to have won by a solid margin.

[Free Palestine]

How many Murkowski votes are going to be invalid?  Hopefully enough to get Miller elected.

[Sam Spade]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming. Normally I'd take solace in that the seat would likely flip back but who knows what redistricting will do. We've probably lost the chance to redistrict out Bachmann too but if we lose a seat Cravaak likely will be it.

Well on the bright side Hanabusa appears to have won by a solid margin.

I was really surprised that Cravaack pulled 40% in St. Louis.  Should I be?

[they don't love you like i love you]

With that margin Murkowski has probably won it.

[Vepres]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming.

It sort of fits in with the general results. Powerful chairman in the House representing relatively rural districts getting knocked out.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming. Normally I'd take solace in that the seat would likely flip back but who knows what redistricting will do. We've probably lost the chance to redistrict out Bachmann too but if we lose a seat Cravaak likely will be it.

Well on the bright side Hanabusa appears to have won by a solid margin.

I was really surprised that Cravaack pulled 40% in St. Louis.  Should I be?

Yeah. That's really flukeish. I wouldn't expect it to continue in future elections but as said who knows what the district will look like. I wonder what happens if they draw Cravaack and Peterson in, Peterson would win but he might lose the primary. Then again he might want to retire now with all of his fellow Blue Dogs wiped out.

Of course I've also heard it's now looking more likely Minnesota might not lose a seat.

[GMantis]

CNN calls GA-02 for Bishop.

[Skill and Chance]

So what's going on in VA specifically with the Connolly vs. Fimian race?  There's still two precincts in Fairfax County which haven't reported results.
https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2010/EB24720D-F5C6-4880-8DC5-12AE4D0C3772/Unofficial/6_l_CFF52707-FD82-4EFE-985A-D8C12A97EF10_s.shtml

Only one precinct, actually -- the other is for provisional votes, of which there will less than 10. The one precinct remaining is one that Fimian won in 2008, so this is probably going to a recount (though if Connolly is ahead going into it, he'll win; recounts barely move numbers in Virginia).

Scratch that, there *are* two precincts out, and both of them were easily won by Connolly in 2008. He's got it.

It looks like this district will now be more or less permanently in Democratic hands, especially after they give him more blue NOVA territory in redistricting to shore up the downstate GOP winners.  Of course this is offset by the 9th, which will now be permanently Republican.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yes, the West did really pull through for us because it's part of our new base. 

The new Democratic firewall. (yea I still include Pennsylvania, sue me)

[Sam Spade]

You also included NH, but whatever...

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Yes, the West did really pull through for us because it's part of our new base. 

The new Democratic firewall. (yea I still include Pennsylvania, sue me)

North Carolina re-elected most of its Dem incumbents.

[Sam Spade]

On Washington, Murray should have the edge, but it is far too early to make predictions without knowing the content of what's out.

In general, Rossi is underperforming slightly his 2004 numbers in the west and overperforming slightly in the east.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

I think the problem with Oberstar was age and how long he had been in office. That's one of the seats they should win back in 2012 if the environment is even slightly better.

[Sam Spade]

Yes, the West did really pull through for us because it's part of our new base. 

The new Democratic firewall. (yea I still include Pennsylvania, sue me)

North Carolina re-elected most of its Dem incumbents.

Unfortunately, the gerrymander presently in effect is going to face some increased scrutiny with the GOP controlling the legislature.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Wow, Bennet just doubled his lead : now at 0.9%.

[Iosif]

Alvin Greene got more vote for US Senate than Sharon Angle.