NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Brittain33]

Not that Florida isn't going to be bad for Dems, but aren't we seeing the massive R edge in early and absentees right now?

[Brittain33]

The two seats called for the Dems were two seats thought most certain to go Republican at some point in 2009. If by some small miracle Harry Reid gets reelected, that would be all three.

[Brittain33]

Early numbers have Barney Frank way behind.

Must be from the rougher precincts of Brookline.

[Brittain33]

Keating has a sizable margin in the one town in MA-10 that has reported: Eastham. That's on the Cape, which is where Perry needs to win big.

[Brittain33]

Keating has a sizable margin in the one town in MA-10 that has reported: Eastham. That's on the Cape, which is where Perry needs to win big.

I thought the seashore was the more liberal part of the Cape?

Yes, I saw Eastham went to Patrick by a nice margin which is atypical... but the race in the 10th was also supposed to be very much a geographic one because the two candidates come from opposite ends.

Keating is narrowly winning Plymouth, the part that's reported. Losing Sandwich by about the same margin he's winning Eastham.

[Brittain33]

Haha, a precinct of Brookline came in with Frank beating Bielat, 1,063-212. Bielat winning a bunch of random small exurbs with 60% is not going to overcome that. 15 more precincts in Brookline...

[Brittain33]

Bennet by 49.5-47.0, by winning Independents with a double-digit lead.

That would be encouraging, he's one of the senators I was genuinely sad about. However I'm not so enthused about exit polls considering that CO was one of the Republicans' strong points in early voting.

[Brittain33]

Keating is winning Plymouth. Coakley lost it by 28 points. I don't think the dirty cop is going to pull it out.

[Brittain33]

Bennet by 49.5-47.0, by winning Independents with a double-digit lead.

That would be encouraging, he's one of the senators I was genuinely sad about. However I'm not so enthused about exit polls considering that CO was one of the Republicans' strong points in early voting.

The confusion about exit polls and the inclusion of early votes continues...

Help me out, then.

[Brittain33]

We did lose unexpectedly lose Boucher, and almost lost Donnelly. It looks like we are going to lose Chandler thanks to Conway being a dick too.

If Chandler loses, it's standard partisan swing stuff, nothing to do with Conway.

[Brittain33]

TN-04 called for DesJarlais. Accidental congressman-for-life?

I kind of love that between TN and IN, the Republicans are just getting the seats they'd get in redistricting two years early.

[Brittain33]

Joe Wilson is about 50-50 with 50% in on tv. I find that very hard to believe.

[Brittain33]

Can Sestak hold this lead?

[Brittain33]

But NY-19 is not that heterogenious, so Hall is probably done, along with Murphy of course.

I haven't checked back on CT, but I can take some solace that your brief prediction of double digit Republican congressmen from New England didn't come to pass.

[Brittain33]

But NY-19 is not that heterogenious, so Hall is probably done, along with Murphy of course.

I haven't checked back on CT, but I can take some solace that your brief prediction of double digit Republican congressmen from New England didn't come to pass.

I didn't predict it, I laughed at it - subtely. But I have not checked NE. I know the GOP got no seats in Mass, which I expected. I have not checked CT-4 and CT-5.

Yeah, I knew it was hyperbole... am still curious if Republicans pick up anything outside NH.

[Brittain33]

How's Colorado Senate coming along? I seem to conclude that Bennet is a very slight favorite....but I'm not seeing new numbers really.

Bennet up 5 with Denver 41% in and Boulder 48% in nothing from Colorado Springs.

But quite a lot in from Douglas County, to be fair.

[Brittain33]

Dewey defeats Truman in Nevada.

Polling had him down 49-45 consistently other than the PPP poll and he was able to pull it off.

On what basis do you say Reid has won?

[Brittain33]

Actually I was wrong, and Angle is losing Washoe County by a bit, with a lot of votes in. All these are early votes, and the polls said Angle would do much better with the today votes. We shall see, but Angle is in deep trouble.

But when you consider that the early votes were about evenly split in partisan affiliation ... ?

I mentioned this somewhere else hours ago, but it would be funny if the three earliest seats we all thought were goners (CT, DE, NV) were all held by quirks of fate while several other seats fell anyway.

[Brittain33]

Dems win in IA-01, 02, and 03.

Turnout in liberal bastions in Iowa was through the roof this year per afternoon reports.

[Brittain33]

Dewey defeats Truman in Nevada.

Polling had him down 49-45 consistently other than the PPP poll and he was able to pull it off.

On what basis do you say Reid has won?

Numbers I saw said Reid had leads in Clark and Washoe County(5%). Angle would have to rack up huge margins in the rural counties to have a chance to win at this point(or so says Ralston anyway, who I'm putting my trust in)

My judgment of Ralston over the past week was that he's blowing sunshine up our asses. That said, I want to go to bed and this and Bennet are the only races I still care about.

[Brittain33]

Obama and the Tea Party are going to beat this guy like a drum and he knows it.

The Republicans have not yet found a replacement for Tom Delay in the ass-kicking department.

[Brittain33]

Solomon Ortiz = dead.  Anyone want to place bets on whether Farenthold can hold more than one term?

Redistricting just got much more interesting. A small chunk of the seats Republicans just won are going to vanish from beneath them, and it's only to the benefit of the national party that they'll be won by new Republicans in warmer states in 2012.

[Brittain33]

By only 6 points, RI-01 has elected the nation's second openly gay freshman congressman.

I *think* that's Winfield's district.  If so, LOL.

Plus Polis was re-elected.

Actually, I think every gay candidate for a major party (ie, the Democrats ) won.

Not the Republican candidate for Lt. Governor in Mass., I'm content to report. And this state being what it is, the Dems snapped up his senate seat, reducing the Republicans to 4 seats out of 40.

[Brittain33]

OK, so CNN is reporting a 51-47 Senate with 2 not called but Co, Wash, and Alaska are gray and "not called." Are they assuming AK for the GOP one way or the other?

They should, Murrcowskee said she'd caucus with Republicans and McAdams is out of the running.

[Brittain33]

So how many times will the Texas GOP's gerrymander go to court?

Depends if the AG post-2013 is Eric Holder or Joe Miller.