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| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
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Author Topic: SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV  (Read 13961 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #50 on: November 02, 2010, 05:36:44 pm »
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538.com has that seat as 70% chance of D winning 51-47.  So if this is R then is is a wave bigger than 538.com predicts

R+8 in IN-08 with 4% in.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
Guderian
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« Reply #51 on: November 02, 2010, 05:37:42 pm »
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Looks like a really good night for Indiana GOP. State House will flip almost certainly with these results too.
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Vepres
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« Reply #52 on: November 02, 2010, 05:38:15 pm »
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So that could mean 3 pick-ups in Indiana alone.... damn

I wouldn't trust leaked exit polls. They have an agenda.
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LOL, Failure

Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
Dan the Roman
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« Reply #53 on: November 02, 2010, 05:38:43 pm »
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None of the Democratic areas are in yet in IN-02. Literally Obama lost almost everything that is in except Vigo.
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redcommander
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« Reply #54 on: November 02, 2010, 05:38:56 pm »
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I'm glad Walorski is leading hopefully it holds.
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Holmes
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« Reply #55 on: November 02, 2010, 05:39:05 pm »
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Looks like a really good night for Indiana GOP. State House will flip almost certainly with these results too.

Constitutional marriage amendment! Are you pumped?
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Marokai Besieged
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« Reply #56 on: November 02, 2010, 05:39:10 pm »
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So that could mean 3 pick-ups in Indiana alone.... damn

I wouldn't trust leaked exit polls. They have an agenda.

I've made it a policy of mine to never trust exit polls of any sort.
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GMantis
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« Reply #57 on: November 02, 2010, 05:39:30 pm »
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Fox just called IN-02 for Walorski (R).
I think this doesn't indicate a call, but just a lead. They are still at 0 seats for both parties.

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Herman Cain's Gold Chain
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« Reply #58 on: November 02, 2010, 05:39:36 pm »
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538.com has that seat as 70% chance of D winning 51-47.  So if this is R then is is a wave bigger than 538.com predicts

R+8 in IN-08 with 4% in.

You're mixing up IN-08 and IN-02; 538 has a Rep win percentage of 94% by 12 points in IN-08.
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Platypus
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« Reply #59 on: November 02, 2010, 05:41:33 pm »
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Their key is "In Play", or GOP/Democrat. I think that's a call (and for Fox, they have no problem calling early)
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Herman Cain's Gold Chain
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« Reply #60 on: November 02, 2010, 05:41:33 pm »
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FOX ISN'T CALLING THESE RACES; THEY'RE SAYING WHO IS CURRENTLY LEADING

thanks
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #61 on: November 02, 2010, 05:43:19 pm »
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Who actually cares about FOX either way?
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« Reply #62 on: November 02, 2010, 05:43:34 pm »
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Drudge: Exits

Paul +11

Kirk +6

NV Tied

No thoughts on these?
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She was like "How did you get my number?  I don't handle this issue.  You have to call the South Bryant Campus for that.  I'll transfer you, but I don't handle it."  She said it in a slightly condescending tone.  I didn't tell her that Grumps gave me the number.  I just told her I looked it up.
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change08
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« Reply #63 on: November 02, 2010, 05:43:51 pm »
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Anyone got a live update, no refresh required map please?
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« Reply #64 on: November 02, 2010, 05:44:16 pm »
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Drudge: Exits

Paul +11

Kirk +6

NV Tied

No thoughts on these?

How often are the Drudge exits correct?
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #65 on: November 02, 2010, 05:44:22 pm »
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If NV was tied on election day that's good for Reid since polls had him winning the early vote.
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Guderian
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« Reply #66 on: November 02, 2010, 05:45:35 pm »
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Bigger majority in the end, Coats or Paul? My guess is Paul and that speaks a lot about Coats.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #67 on: November 02, 2010, 05:45:51 pm »
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If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??

Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?
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Platypus
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« Reply #68 on: November 02, 2010, 05:47:04 pm »
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FOX ISN'T CALLING THESE RACES; THEY'RE SAYING WHO IS CURRENTLY LEADING

thanks

except that they aren't. They're saying who they believe has a lead that puts the seat out of in play. Their colouration is independent of the numbers.

They might not be formally calling, but they're going as close as they can without doing so.
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oakvale
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« Reply #69 on: November 02, 2010, 05:47:51 pm »
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Drudge: Exits

Paul +11

Kirk +6

NV Tied

No thoughts on these?

How often are the Drudge exits correct?

Virtually never.
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Seriously, go die in a ditch, anti-semitic scumbag.
PASOK Leader Hashemite
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« Reply #70 on: November 02, 2010, 05:48:02 pm »
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I don't know what to make of this so early, but it ain't looking good thus far. But nobody expected IN or KY to be close.
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cinyc
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« Reply #71 on: November 02, 2010, 05:48:10 pm »
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If NV was tied on election day that's good for Reid since polls had him winning the early vote.

Exits likely include both early and election day vote.  They have in the past.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #72 on: November 02, 2010, 05:48:28 pm »
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If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??

Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?
Republicans are going to pick up IN-08 easily.

I think it would have been a tossup if Ellsworth had stayed in.

Anyways:
Huffington Post Exit Polls:
Blumenthal +8
Boxer +8
Kirk + 6
Johnson +5
Bennet +2
Murray +6
Toomey +4
Manchin +7
Reid even
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rob in cal
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« Reply #73 on: November 02, 2010, 05:48:47 pm »
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About half of the total votes in Ellsworth Coats are from Vigo county, which is in Ellsworth old district and is fairly Democratic, so I'm guessing Ellsworth overall percentage is going down from here.
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Herman Cain's Gold Chain
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« Reply #74 on: November 02, 2010, 05:49:14 pm »
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If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??

Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?

It looks like he's winning it in the Senate race...
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(Part of the 2012 Election Throwback Series)
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