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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Congressional Elections
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SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
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Topic: SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV (Read 13010 times)
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 855
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #50 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:36:44 pm »
538.com has that seat as 70% chance of D winning 51-47. So if this is R then is is a wave bigger than 538.com predicts
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 05:33:37 pm
R+8 in IN-08 with 4% in.
Logged
Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
Guderian
YaBB God
Posts: 575
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #51 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:37:42 pm »
Looks like a really good night for Indiana GOP. State House will flip almost certainly with these results too.
Logged
Vepres
YaBB God
Posts: 8146
Political Matrix
E: 6.26, S: -7.39
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #52 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:38:15 pm »
Quote from: belgiansocialist on November 02, 2010, 05:36:18 pm
So that could mean 3 pick-ups in Indiana alone.... damn
I wouldn't trust leaked exit polls. They have an agenda.
Logged
LOL, Failure
Quote from: Vepres on October 31, 2010, 02:21:38 pm
Alright, if Republicans gain less than 75 seats, I'll prominently display my failure in my signature.
Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
YaBB God
Posts: 1796
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #53 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:38:43 pm »
None of the Democratic areas are in yet in IN-02. Literally Obama lost almost everything that is in except Vigo.
Logged
redcommander
YaBB God
Posts: 3844
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #54 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:38:56 pm »
I'm glad Walorski is leading hopefully it holds.
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Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 6561
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #55 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:39:05 pm »
Quote from: Guderian on November 02, 2010, 05:37:42 pm
Looks like a really good night for Indiana GOP. State House will flip almost certainly with these results too.
Constitutional marriage amendment! Are you pumped?
Logged
President Marokai
Marokai Blue
YaBB God
Posts: 16155
Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #56 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:39:10 pm »
Quote from: Vepres on November 02, 2010, 05:38:15 pm
Quote from: belgiansocialist on November 02, 2010, 05:36:18 pm
So that could mean 3 pick-ups in Indiana alone.... damn
I wouldn't trust leaked exit polls. They have an agenda.
I've made it a policy of mine to never trust exit polls of any sort.
Logged
Quote from: 後援会 on August 26, 2012, 12:29:57 am
I do not want my children to be integrated into a pro-homosexual discourse
GMantis
Dessie Potter
YaBB God
Posts: 4995
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #57 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:39:30 pm »
Quote from: Platypus city limits on November 02, 2010, 05:30:34 pm
Fox just called IN-02 for Walorski (R).
I think this doesn't indicate a call, but just a lead. They are still at 0 seats for both parties.
Logged
Lіef
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27387
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #58 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:39:36 pm »
Quote from: jaichind on November 02, 2010, 05:36:44 pm
538.com has that seat as 70% chance of D winning 51-47. So if this is R then is is a wave bigger than 538.com predicts
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 05:33:37 pm
R+8 in IN-08 with 4% in.
You're mixing up IN-08 and IN-02; 538 has a Rep win percentage of 94% by 12 points in IN-08.
Logged
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
Posts: 20915
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #59 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:41:33 pm »
Their key is "In Play", or GOP/Democrat. I think that's a call (and for Fox, they have no problem calling early)
Logged
Lіef
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27387
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #60 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:41:33 pm »
FOX ISN'T CALLING THESE RACES; THEY'RE SAYING WHO IS CURRENTLY LEADING
thanks
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Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
YaBB God
Posts: 4378
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #61 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:43:19 pm »
Who actually cares about FOX either way?
Logged
Quote from: Superique on October 18, 2012, 10:19:25 pm
Who is Richard Garrison Porter?
All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
Posts: 36348
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #62 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:43:34 pm »
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 02, 2010, 05:36:03 pm
Drudge: Exits
Paul +11
Kirk +6
NV Tied
No thoughts on these?
Logged
Quote from: BushKenya on June 04, 2013, 08:07:16 pm
I went to the drink fountain with the intention of getting a diet drink, but I accidentally hit the Dr Pepper lever. I didn't realize it until the cup was full.
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
Posts: 8085
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #63 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:43:51 pm »
Anyone got a live update, no refresh required map please?
Logged
Lіef
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27387
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #64 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:44:16 pm »
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 02, 2010, 05:43:34 pm
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 02, 2010, 05:36:03 pm
Drudge: Exits
Paul +11
Kirk +6
NV Tied
No thoughts on these?
How often are the Drudge exits correct?
Logged
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
Posts: 1095
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #65 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:44:22 pm »
If NV was tied on election day that's good for Reid since polls had him winning the early vote.
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Guderian
YaBB God
Posts: 575
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #66 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:45:35 pm »
Bigger majority in the end, Coats or Paul? My guess is Paul and that speaks a lot about Coats.
Logged
Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
YaBB God
Posts: 4378
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #67 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:45:51 pm »
If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??
Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?
Logged
Quote from: Superique on October 18, 2012, 10:19:25 pm
Who is Richard Garrison Porter?
Platypus
hughento
YaBB God
Posts: 20915
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #68 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:47:04 pm »
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 05:41:33 pm
FOX ISN'T CALLING THESE RACES; THEY'RE SAYING WHO IS CURRENTLY LEADING
thanks
except that they aren't. They're saying who they believe has a lead that puts the seat out of in play. Their colouration is independent of the numbers.
They might not be formally calling, but they're going as close as they can without doing so.
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
Posts: 6376
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #69 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:47:51 pm »
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 05:44:16 pm
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 02, 2010, 05:43:34 pm
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 02, 2010, 05:36:03 pm
Drudge: Exits
Paul +11
Kirk +6
NV Tied
No thoughts on these?
How often are the
Drudge
exits correct?
Virtually never.
Logged
PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
YaBB God
Posts: 30331
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #70 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:48:02 pm »
I don't know what to make of this so early, but it ain't looking good thus far. But nobody expected IN or KY to be close.
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Vote Xahar/Hashemite
For Mustafinism-Komovism
Against Misogyny
cinyc
YaBB God
Posts: 7097
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #71 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:48:10 pm »
Quote from: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on November 02, 2010, 05:44:22 pm
If NV was tied on election day that's good for Reid since polls had him winning the early vote.
Exits likely include both early and election day vote. They have in the past.
Logged
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
Addicted to Politics
YaBB God
Posts: 1095
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #72 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:48:28 pm »
Quote from: belgiansocialist on November 02, 2010, 05:45:51 pm
If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??
Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?
Republicans are going to pick up IN-08 easily.
I think it would have been a tossup if Ellsworth had stayed in.
Anyways:
Huffington Post Exit Polls:
Blumenthal +8
Boxer +8
Kirk + 6
Johnson +5
Bennet +2
Murray +6
Toomey +4
Manchin +7
Reid even
Logged
rob in cal
YaBB God
Posts: 587
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #73 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:48:47 pm »
About half of the total votes in Ellsworth Coats are from Vigo county, which is in Ellsworth old district and is fairly Democratic, so I'm guessing Ellsworth overall percentage is going down from here.
Logged
Lіef
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 27387
Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV
«
Reply #74 on:
November 02, 2010, 05:49:14 pm »
Quote from: belgiansocialist on November 02, 2010, 05:45:51 pm
If Ellsworth wouln't have ran, would he have held on to IN-08??
Or are Democrats hanging on to it either way?
It looks like he's winning it in the Senate race...
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