PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

[Joe Biden 2020]

The first polls close in 5 minutes...

[The Vorlon]

About four out of 10 voters said they support the tea party movement, and they overwhelmingly voted Republican.

[Lief 🗽]

sooooooo excitingggggg

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

The chatter seems to be rather kind on the democrats.

It's mostly Democrats who have been doing the chattering so no surprise there.

[Mr. Morden]

ABC has just done a massive data dump for their national exit poll info:

http://abcnews.go.com/politics/2010_elections/National?ep=house

[Phony Moderate]

sooooooo excitingggggg

[Insula Dei]

About four out of 10 voters said they support the tea party movement, and they overwhelmingly voted Republican.

Stop scaring me, dude.

[Torie]

From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

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The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott.

Was he saying everything in Florida or everything in the country?

From the context, it is clear that everything means everything in Florida.

Nothing Rendell says has any informational content. He has been saying things have been great for the Dems all along, and no story verifies his big black turnout hype. I mean, really, it is like relying on Biden to tell you how things are going to turn out in elections.

[Mr. Morden]

ABC's exit data suggest GOP lead of 51.5-46% in national House ballot.

ideology of voters:

conservatives 41%
moderates 39%
liberals 20%

[Lief 🗽]

ABC's exit data suggest GOP lead of 51.5-46% in national House ballot.

ideology of voters:

conservatives 41%
moderates 39%
liberals 20%

God I hope this is real

[Alcon]

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

MSNBC just said that Phila was doing about the same as 2006 (which was my conclusion).

They think it helps Sestack.  I think he needs more than 2006 to win this one.

I think Brady said they need 400,000 votes out of Philadelphia this year. They received about 360,000 in 2006.

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

I heard things are very good for us.

Fast Eddie just confirmed my Phila numbers, but his estimate is 36-38% overall turnout in Phila (a bit lower than mine).

It is a bit better than 2006, but well off even 2004.  It is up maybe 2-3%.  

Well, of course it's well off "even 2004."  That will be true everywhere.  Philadelphia turnout was only 7% higher in 2008 than 2004.

AP Generic Exit Poll ballot is approximately R+5.5

[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll's Obama approval rating:

approve 45%
disapprove 54%

[Guderian]

If that exit is true it's 45-55 seats seems realistic.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Just on Drudge:

EXIT POLLS:

Wisconsin: Johnson (R) defeats Feingold (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R) defeats Potter (D)
Arkansas: Boozman (R) defeats Lincoln (D)
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats Fisher (D)

[cinyc]

Democrats are getting slaughtered among the $200,000+ crowd.  That's different.

[Phony Moderate]

A national lead of about 52%-46% for the Republicans, if the exit polls are correct.

[Oakvale]

Why on earth are we bothering paying attention to exit polls?

(Not that the above results don't look plausible, but exit polls are useless).

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

A national lead of about 52%-46% for the Republicans, if the exit polls are correct.

Great news for Democrats, if true, but if I recall, early exits showed a much tighter race in 2008 nationwide as well. That wasn't true.

[Eraserhead]

Just on Drudge:

EXIT POLLS:

Wisconsin: Johnson (R) defeats Feingold (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R) defeats Potter (D)
Arkansas: Boozman (R) defeats Lincoln (D)
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats Fisher (D)

Russ.

The other three... yeah... nothing to see there.

[Silent Hunter]

Some highlights from early figures:
Obama approval at 45%, 54% disapprove
Economy most important issue for 62% of voters

[Dave from Michigan]

eating dinner,  sausage and eggs.

come on results!

[Dave from Michigan]

I don't like that the time on this site is an hour behind me.

[Alcon]

I don't like that the time on this site is an hour behind me.

you can change that in your settings.

[J. J.]

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

MSNBC just said that Phila was doing about the same as 2006 (which was my conclusion).

They think it helps Sestack.  I think he needs more than 2006 to win this one.

I think Brady said they need 400,000 votes out of Philadelphia this year. They received about 360,000 in 2006.

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

I heard things are very good for us.

Fast Eddie just confirmed my Phila numbers, but his estimate is 36-38% overall turnout in Phila (a bit lower than mine).

It is a bit better than 2006, but well off even 2004.  It is up maybe 2-3%.  

Well, of course it's well off "even 2004."  That will be true everywhere.  Philadelphia turnout was only 7% higher in 2008 than 2004.

AP Generic Exit Poll ballot is approximately R+5.5

Well, I'm looking at primarily African American voters and seeing if there was an increase above expectation (slight, but not a lot).

I'm not too sure it will be too much off 2004 in some of the other regions.  I'm trying to see it just better here, even across the state, or better elsewhere.

[Dave from Michigan]

I don't like that the time on this site is an hour behind me.

you can change that in your settings.

ahh cool didn't know that thanks