PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

[The Vorlon]

Rendell on Hardball: AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN PHILLY THROUGH THE ROOF, HIGHER THAN 2006, THEY "GET IT" THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT; SESTAK HAS A REAL CHANCE

Rendell's interviews on Hardball are pretty much my favorite part of MSNBC.

Just like they saved Specter in the Primary...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm wary of these pre-exit polls. In 2008, they showed Obama slightly ahead in Virginia and a tie in some more swing states, yet it turned out to be about as bad as polls predicted.

And don't forget 2004!

[Eraserhead]

From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott.

[Beet]

Oh, sh it.

[tpfkaw]

I've got five reporting methods ready to go for tonight, CNN TV, CNN.com, NY Times, Politico, and my local NBC affiiate (kfor.com) for the Oklahoma results.

What race in Oklahoma could possibly be that interesting?

[tpfkaw]

From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott.

Was he saying everything in Florida or everything in the country?

[Sam Spade]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/02/light-turnout-in-nevada/

Turnout very light in Nevada so far.

Also, heard on twitter that turnout in University of Michigan is light, moderate turnout in Ann Arbor.

Of course turnout is light in NV, they all voted early.

[Insula Dei]

From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott.

Plus it's a republican that's speaking....

[Lief 🗽]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/02/light-turnout-in-nevada/

Turnout very light in Nevada so far.

Also, heard on twitter that turnout in University of Michigan is light, moderate turnout in Ann Arbor.

Well, PPP said that Reid led with early voters and Angle with voters yet to vote, so low turnout in Nevada seems good. Also about 2/3 of the people who will vote had already voted before the polls even opened today, so it's understandable that actual turnout is light.

[bgwah]

69% turnout projected in the city of Seattle. Some good news for Patty Murray.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I've got five reporting methods ready to go for tonight, CNN TV, CNN.com, NY Times, Politico, and my local NBC affiiate (kfor.com) for the Oklahoma results.

What race in Oklahoma could possibly be that interesting?

OK-Gov, Lt. Gov, Other State Offices, OK-2, OK-5, and SQ 744.  I'm not worried about which candidate will win, necessarily, but the margin.  Plus, Oklahoma is my home state so I am naturally interested.

[Lief 🗽]

69% turnout projected in the city of Seattle. Some good news for Patty Murray.

How do they predict turnout when everyone mails in their ballots and many won't even arrive today?

[Insula Dei]

The chatter seems to be rather kind on the democrats.

[Lief 🗽]

FIRST POLLS CLOSE IN 10 MINUTES

[bgwah]

69% turnout projected in the city of Seattle. Some good news for Patty Murray.

How do they predict turnout when everyone mails in their ballots and many won't even arrive today?

I don't know. I just report!

[Mr. Morden]

WaPo on interpreting the exits so far:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/02/AR2010110202540.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Insula Dei]

Wow, I've never been this excited about an election before? and I'm not even that involved.

[cinyc]

I've got five reporting methods ready to go for tonight, CNN TV, CNN.com, NY Times, Politico, and my local NBC affiiate (kfor.com) for the Oklahoma results.

What race in Oklahoma could possibly be that interesting?

OK-02 is on Sam's watch list.  And OK-Gov will be interesting.

[You kip if you want to...]

The chatter seems to be rather kind on the democrats.

False sense of security.

[bgwah]

Is there a time line anywhere of when the polls close in each state?

[Dave from Michigan]

hopefully we have some good house races in Michigan. I think MI 7 is most likely to switch followed by MI 1, then MI9. I'm not sure if any will go republican. Hopefully all 3 do but if they do republicans are probably looking at 80+ seats.

[Insula Dei]

The chatter seems to be rather kind on the democrats.

False sense of security.

Don't take these last moments of childlike joy away, man. It's not like the rest of the evening is going to be a party all the way.

[Lief 🗽]

[Joe Biden 2020]

Is there a time line anywhere of when the polls close in each state?

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G10/closing.phtml?format=gc

[J. J.]

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

MSNBC just said that Phila was doing about the same as 2006 (which was my conclusion).

They think it helps Sestack.  I think he needs more than 2006 to win this one.

I think Brady said they need 400,000 votes out of Philadelphia this year. They received about 360,000 in 2006.

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

I heard things are very good for us.

Fast Eddie just confirmed my Phila numbers, but his estimate is 36-38% overall turnout in Phila (a bit lower than mine).

It is a bit better than 2006, but well off even 2004.  It is up maybe 2-3%.