PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

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The setup seems decent enough to me.

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I need to see the third parties in the New York gubernatorial race. I really do.

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Good to see. ^^^

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Good to see. ^^^

Just because there is good weather doesn't mean Democrat turnout will go up. Actually this might help Cao at least since it looks like Louisiana will have some showers.

Okay. Thanks for that!

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Apparently, one place where the weather forecast is lousy is Alaska.  Not sure if that'll affect turnout or not.

Isn't it generally pretty lousy up there?

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When will those shady exit polls start leaking on places like mydd and the National Review's blog? 4 PM eastern time or so?

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Are any black people voting today?

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Strickland surviving would be very big for us. I'm not getting my hopes up for that though.

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Rendell and Casey are walking around and telling random black people in Philly to vote, apparently.

http://blogs.mcall.com/penn_ave/2010/11/rendell-to-philly-voters-gop-trying-to-screw-the-president.html

The bit at the end about people seeming to be more firmly behind Sestak than Onorato is interesting (not exactly surprising though).

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Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

Uh... ? That'd be pretty decent for Sestak, no? Democrats tend to come out at night...

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Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

Uh... ? That'd be pretty decent for Sestak, no? Democrats tend to come out at night...

But don't old people come out mid-day?

Ugh. Not holding out too much hope for this race.

I'd be pretty surprised if Sestak won. I want him to at least keep it close though. This could be a decent sign...

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Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

Uh... ? That'd be pretty decent for Sestak, no? Democrats tend to come out at night...

No, Republicans usually do.

And realize that this poll was only for 7-10 AM. These are usually the best hours for the Dems.

We must be in touch with very different kinds of Democrats then!

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Well, the same "exit poll" has Corbett crushing Onorato for what that's worth.

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Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

Uh... ? That'd be pretty decent for Sestak, no? Democrats tend to come out at night...

No, Republicans usually do.

And realize that this poll was only for 7-10 AM. These are usually the best hours for the Dems.

We must be in touch with very different kinds of Democrats then!

you should probably ask either President Kerry or mypalfish about the accuracy of exit polling.

I'm well aware of the history, Wargotz. We have to talk about something for now though.

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We're already getting worked up over something that probably means almost nothing. It must be election day! Good times.

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Yeah, that exit poll better not be from PA 15 because Toomey is supposed to have strong numbers out of the region.

Not to worry Phil. PA-15 was 2% more Dem than the state as a whole for Obama (the man really on the ballot everywhere) in 2008, with Obama getting a 12% margin, versus 10% for the state (I just looked it up on LEIPS, cuz I am a premium member )). Plus exit polls tend to have a bit of a Dem bias (just why a Pubbie would go to a polling place if it could at all be avoided, escapes me ).  

But that's Toomey's old district.

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Chris Matthews predicting a win for Raese and Tancredo... LOL.

Yeah, I saw that. I'm looking forward to his reactions to the actual results.

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It's basically an entire panel of Beets on Hardball.

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Chris Matthews always says ridiculous things based on the feelings in random parts of his body.

I'm a little disappointed we haven't seen more spurious "leaked exit polls" by now...

We've got exit polls on CNN right now.

What do they say?

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From CNN Exit Poll:

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And they're supposed to win +70 seats with even worse favorables than the Democrats?

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Rendell says African-American turnout is big in Philadelphia and will be much stronger than it was in 2006.

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Rendell on Hardball: AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN PHILLY THROUGH THE ROOF, HIGHER THAN 2006, THEY "GET IT" THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT; SESTAK HAS A REAL CHANCE

Rendell's interviews on Hardball are pretty much my favorite part of MSNBC.

You could tell he was pretty much writing off Onorato though. lol.

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From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

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The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott.

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Just on Drudge:

EXIT POLLS:

Wisconsin: Johnson (R) defeats Feingold (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R) defeats Potter (D)
Arkansas: Boozman (R) defeats Lincoln (D)
Ohio: Portman (R) defeats Fisher (D)

Russ.

The other three... yeah... nothing to see there.