PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

[Lief 🗽]

Posted in the other pre-election thread, but here's a map of the poll closing times courtesy SSP:

http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/3307/sspmap2010b.gif

Is Chandler's district or any of the competitive Indiana districts wholly in the 6pm closing zone? It'd be nice to get full results for those early.

[Lief 🗽]

Posted in the other pre-election thread, but here's a map of the poll closing times courtesy SSP:

http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/3307/sspmap2010b.gif

Is Chandler's district or any of the competitive Indiana districts wholly in the 6pm closing zone? It'd be nice to get full results for those early.

Chandler's district is, yes. IN-9 is as well.

Neat! Chandler's margin of victory probably won't tell us a lot (though if he loses it will obviously be a bloodbath of 19th century proportions) since Kentucky is strange, but IN-09 could be a good bellwether.

[Lief 🗽]

Turnout North Philadelphia, J. J. 's Division.

At 1:45 PM, there were 94 voters voting.  This represents about 18% of the total registered voters.  Project turnout is 38-40 of the total registered voters.

In 2005, the number was 171 and in 2008 it was 214 (that was about 38%).  

In 2006, I only noted the percentage, about 15%.  I think that it was around 65-75 voters as there were fewer registered.

In short, there is a slight increase in voters from the last gubernatorial election, but still well below the presidential numbers.

Didn't the Democrats do pretty well at that last gubernatorial election?

[Lief 🗽]

Here's an anecdotal turnout hearsay article about high turnout in urban areas, to cheer up Democrats: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/02/high-voter-turnout-urban-areas_n_777640.html

[Lief 🗽]

Chris Matthews always says ridiculous things based on the feelings in random parts of his body.

I'm a little disappointed we haven't seen more spurious "leaked exit polls" by now...

[Lief 🗽]

Rendell on Hardball: AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN PHILLY THROUGH THE ROOF, HIGHER THAN 2006, THEY "GET IT" THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT; SESTAK HAS A REAL CHANCE

Rendell's interviews on Hardball are pretty much my favorite part of MSNBC.

[Lief 🗽]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/02/light-turnout-in-nevada/

Turnout very light in Nevada so far.

Also, heard on twitter that turnout in University of Michigan is light, moderate turnout in Ann Arbor.

Well, PPP said that Reid led with early voters and Angle with voters yet to vote, so low turnout in Nevada seems good. Also about 2/3 of the people who will vote had already voted before the polls even opened today, so it's understandable that actual turnout is light.

[Lief 🗽]

69% turnout projected in the city of Seattle. Some good news for Patty Murray.

How do they predict turnout when everyone mails in their ballots and many won't even arrive today?

[Lief 🗽]

FIRST POLLS CLOSE IN 10 MINUTES

[Lief 🗽]

[Lief 🗽]

sooooooo excitingggggg

[Lief 🗽]

ABC's exit data suggest GOP lead of 51.5-46% in national House ballot.

ideology of voters:

conservatives 41%
moderates 39%
liberals 20%

God I hope this is real