CNN poll: Huckabee 21% Romney 20% Palin 14% Gingrich 12% Paul 7%

[Mr. Morden]

CNN national GOP primary poll:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/11/03/rel15d.pdf

Huckabee 21%
Romney 20%
Palin 14%
Gingrich 12%
Paul 7%
Barbour 3%
Pawlenty 3%
Pence 3%
Santorum 2%

general election matchups:

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

Romney 50%
Obama 45%

Obama 52%
Palin 44%

Obama 49%
Gingrich 47%

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads the GOP primary among various demographic subgroups (some of these samples will be small, so take with a grain of salt):

men: Romney
women: Huckabee
under 50: Huckabee
50-64: Huckabee
65+: Romney
income <$50k: Huckabee
income >$50k: Romney
no college: Huckabee
attended college: Romney
suburban: Huckabee
rural: Huckabee
support Tea Party: Huckabee

[State Comptroller Atkins]

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

wut

[Fmr. Emperor PiT]

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

wut

     Huckabee has been flying under the radar, so his favorables are high. He would quickly go down in a general election campaign, though; the guy is an oppo researcher's wet dream.

[Guderian]

I don't know, Huckabee already ran for President and did well in primaries - lot of his baggage is already out there. Sure, his social conservatism can get out of the national mainstream, but he comes off as a nice guy. According to WH leaks, Obama's brain trust wants Palin and fears Huckster with Romney somewhere in the middle, of the three name recognition frontrunners. 

[feeblepizza]

Looks like some bad news for Barack. Too bad the only sensible candidates who are going to run are receiving under 10% of the vote.

[sparkey]

support Tea Party: Huckabee

He was "tea party before there was such a thing" after all. It's not like he's an authoritarian-leaning social con or anything. Well, except that he is.

[A-Bob]

Gingrich seems to be liked by the younger folk. Could be a major swing for him and be the make or break

[wormyguy]

Gingrich?  Younger folk?

Does not compute.

[You kip if you want to...]

Election's 2 years away folks... If election 2010 had happened on November 5th 2008, I wonder how that would've gone.

[Mr. Morden]

Gingrich seems to be liked by the younger folk.

Uh.....if by "younger folks", you mean "under 50 years old", and by "liked" you mean "in 3rd place and at 14% rather than 4th place and 12%", then yes.

[A-Bob]

Gingrich seems to be liked by the younger folk.

Uh.....if by "younger folks", you mean "under 50 years old", and by "liked" you mean "in 3rd place and at 14% rather than 4th place and 12%", then yes.

His approvals are higher with them. That's what I'm looking at

[Mr. Morden]

Gingrich seems to be liked by the younger folk.

Uh.....if by "younger folks", you mean "under 50 years old", and by "liked" you mean "in 3rd place and at 14% rather than 4th place and 12%", then yes.

His approvals are higher with them. That's what I'm looking at

OK, yes, his favorability/unfavorability # is 41%/35% in the 35-49 age group, as opposed to 32%/40% overall.  That's something, but I wouldn't necessarily hang my hat on that.

Incidentially, overall favorability/unfavorability in this poll:

Gingrich 32%/40%
Huckabee 42%/26%
Palin 40%/49%
Romney 36%/29%

Among Republicans only:

Gingrich 64%/17%
Huckabee 65%/14%
Palin 73%/18%
Romney 57%/16%

[Secretary Polnut]

Gingrich?  Younger folk?

Does not compute.

They're too young to remember the 90s'.

[5280/East California]

I believe the polls, somewhat

[Assistant to the Regional Manager Cathcon]

support Tea Party: Huckabee

He was "tea party before there was such a thing" after all. It's not like he's an authoritarian-leaning social con or anything. Well, except that he is.

He's not even as socially conservative as he makes himself out to be, with being softer and crime and illegal immigration than most Conservatives would like.

[MasterJedi]

For me:

1. Gingrich
2. Thune
3. Huckabee

[You kip if you want to...]

If polls at this point mattered, we'd be talking about Senators-elect Jack Conway, Robin Carnahan, Paul Hodes and Charlie Crist (R, not I), not to mention, Russ Feingold would've just been re-elected with about 55-60% of the vote.

Personally, I think Palin will be a late entry and win the nomination. That was her tactics with her primary endorsements this year, maybe she thinks it'll work for her own campaign. Once we've had the Gubernatorials in November 2011, we'll be able to take a good guess at how things will shape up and even then...

[Tender Branson]

TIME poll from Jan. 1995:

Dole vs. Clinton: 50-39

Clinton vs. Gingrich: 51-31

http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=gL9scSG3K_gC&dat=19950130&printsec=frontpage

(page 6)

[Grad Students are the Worst]

I don't know, Huckabee already ran for President and did well in primaries - lot of his baggage is already out there.

I sincerely doubt that the vast majority of Dem/Independent/GOP non-primary voters remember Huckabee other than "amiable guy who lost."  I think Huckabee is also in a bad position, in that he has some liberal/moderate positions, but they're basically the opposite of token -- sincere and electorally disadvantageous.

[King]

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

Romney 50%
Obama 45%

Obama 52%
Palin 44%

Obama 49%
Gingrich 47%

Polls continue to confirm what the GOP can't deliver thanks to teabaggery: a non-threatening candidate like Romney or Huckster can just ride the tide into office with ease.

People they will actually nominate like Palin and Gingrich? 4 more years! 4 more years!

[Reaganfan]

1994 to 1996 was an eternity. 2010 to 2012 will come in the blink of an eye.

["'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry 2016!]

1994 to 1996 was an eternity. 2010 to 2012 will come in the blink of an eye.

So you're saying the incoming GOP majority will have the ability to speed up time?

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

Romney 50%
Obama 45%

Obama 52%
Palin 44%

Obama 49%
Gingrich 47%

Polls continue to confirm what the GOP can't deliver thanks to teabaggery: a non-threatening candidate like Romney or Huckster can just ride the tide into office with ease.

People they will actually nominate like Palin and Gingrich? 4 more years! 4 more years!

Gingrich a Tea Partier? That's a strange way of looking at things. I mean, isn't Gingrich one of those "establishment politicians" that tea partiers don't like? They're more into "outsiders"/dark horses (except Palin) who don't have a long political career (and who haven't already served in the federal government).

[King]

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

Romney 50%
Obama 45%

Obama 52%
Palin 44%

Obama 49%
Gingrich 47%

Polls continue to confirm what the GOP can't deliver thanks to teabaggery: a non-threatening candidate like Romney or Huckster can just ride the tide into office with ease.

People they will actually nominate like Palin and Gingrich? 4 more years! 4 more years!

Gingrich a Tea Partier? That's a strange way of looking at things. I mean, isn't Gingrich one of those "establishment politicians" that tea partiers don't like? They're more into "outsiders"/dark horses (except Palin) who don't have a long political career (and who haven't already served in the federal government).

Gingrich has been out of the system long enough that people associate him as a true conservative outsider.

I think it's generally believed by conservatives that Dennis Hastert screwed them over on Contract with America not Newt Gingrich.