2011 State Elections in Germany

[DL]

Is it possible to have a red-red-green coalition where the leader of the SPD becomes premier even though the Left party has slightly more seats because the Green party wants an SPD premier and the SPD and Greens together have more votes and seats than the Left party does?

[Franzl]

Is it possible to have a red-red-green coalition where the leader of the SPD becomes premier even though the Left party has slightly more seats because the Green party wants an SPD premier and the SPD and Greens together have more votes and seats than the Left party does?

Theoretically, but I have trouble imagining it.

[Tender Branson]

Is it possible to have a red-red-green coalition where the leader of the SPD becomes premier even though the Left party has slightly more seats because the Green party wants an SPD premier and the SPD and Greens together have more votes and seats than the Left party does?

No, reading the news reports it is almost clear that CDU-SPD will continue ...

The CDU and SPD front runners don't have a problem with each other.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Is it possible to have a red-red-green coalition where the leader of the SPD becomes premier even though the Left party has slightly more seats because the Green party wants an SPD premier and the SPD and Greens together have more votes and seats than the Left party does?

Theoretically, but I have trouble imagining it.

Didn't happen in Thuringia.

[Franzl]

The CDU and SPD front runners don't have a problem with each other.

Well considering that the CDU in Sachsen-Anhalt is basically a Social Democrat party....not surprising.

[Middle-aged Europe]

ARD projection

CDU 33.1%
Left 23.4%
SPD 21.3%
Greens 6.9%
NPD 4.6%
FDP 3.7%

[Tender Branson]

I thought the Greens could have done slightly better, more like 8% or so.

But I guess the 3% from 2006 was the weakest result for any Green state party, right ?

So, the doubling is OK ...

[You kip if you want to...]

Is it possible to have a red-red-green coalition where the leader of the SPD becomes premier even though the Left party has slightly more seats because the Green party wants an SPD premier and the SPD and Greens together have more votes and seats than the Left party does?

Presumably, The Left would be very volitile in such a coalition.

[Franzl]

I thought the Greens could have done slightly better, more like 8% or so.

But I guess the 3% from 2006 was the weakest result for any Green state party, right ?

So, the doubling is OK ...

It wouldn't have surprised me to see the Greens at 8%, actually. The anti-atomic idiots, I'm sure, were quite strongly motivated to vote.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Too bad, a "broad left" (SPD-Linke-Greens) coalition would have been great.

[Hans-im-Glück]

No surprise. A boring result in a boring State.

btw, the result for the Greens is very good. It is the best ever in Saxony-Anhalt. We will see the NPD come over the 5%. Normally the numbers of the Nazi will be better in the evening.

[Franzl]

We will see the NPD come over the 5%. Normally the numbers of the Nazi will be better in the evening.

Hope you're wrong.

[DL]

It seems like in all the eastern states - the presence of such a large Left Party only means CDU/SPD or SPD/CDU grand coalitions in power in perpetuity!!

[Antonio the Sixth]

We will see the NPD come over the 5%. Normally the numbers of the Nazi will be better in the evening.

Hope you're wrong.

[Middle-aged Europe]

It seems like in all the eastern states - the presence of such a large Left Party only means CDU/SPD or SPD/CDU grand coalitions in power in perpetuity!!

Only in states where the SPD are losers... so Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, and Thuringia.

[Franzl]

NPD up to 4.7 according to ZDF.

[Hans-im-Glück]

ARD 19:19

CDU  33.1
LEFT  23.6
SPD  21.5
GREEN  6.4
FDP  3.8
NPD  4.8
Others  6.8

[Hans-im-Glück]

ARD 19:33

CDU  32.9
LEFT  23.7
SPD  21.5
GREEN  6.8
FDP  3.9
NPD  4.7
Others  6.5

[Hans-im-Glück]

ZDF 19:32

CDU  32.6
LEFT  23.7
SPD  21.5
GREEN  6.7
FDP  3.8
NPD  4.8
FREE VOTERS  3.1
Others  3.8

[Hans-im-Glück]

We must wait for the final result to know the NPD is over 5%.

[Franzl]

We must wait for the final result to know the NPD is over 5%.

ARD apparently had them at 4.8 and has come down to 4.7 again. I think it's unlikely that the NPD reaches the 5% point anymore.

[Hans-im-Glück]

We must wait for the final result to know the NPD is over 5%.

ARD apparently had them at 4.8 and has come down to 4.7 again. I think it's unlikely that the NPD reaches the 5% point anymore.

That's Saxony-Anhalt. There is all possible.

[DL]

At this stage, are the networks just adjusting their exit poll numbers or are they getting real results from across the state and adjusting the projections accordingly?

[Franzl]

We must wait for the final result to know the NPD is over 5%.

ARD apparently had them at 4.8 and has come down to 4.7 again. I think it's unlikely that the NPD reaches the 5% point anymore.

That's Saxony-Anhalt. There is all possible.

True.

Ostzone halt

[Franzl]

At this stage, are the networks just adjusting their exit poll numbers or are they getting real results from across the state and adjusting the projections accordingly?

The latter.