US House Redistricting: Maryland

[Torie]

Now you are cooking Johnny. 

What is the Obama percentage now for MD-01? 

[JohnnyLongtorso]

54-44, I didn't touch it.

[So the Heroes Fall]

I should note that if the Democrats do decide to ignore 7 Dem districts the map will end up looking far nicer than the current one.




The main reason MD-03 looks kind of weird is because Sarbanes lives so close to Ruppersberger (In Towson). The weirdness around the border with MD-05 is because of an unpopulated river precinct needed to connect to Annapolis. If Maryland didn't have those annoying areas like most states it'd look much cleaner. I drew Harris out of his district but we all know how much the Democrats would care.

MD-04 is 55% black and MD-07 is 59% black. All Democratic seats are over 60% Obama except 3 which is 58% Obama.

[jimrtex]

What happens if District of Columbia residents vote in Maryland elections like they have in the past, and Maryland (+DC) is apportioned a 9th representative?

[Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)]

What happens if District of Columbia residents vote in Maryland elections like they have in the past, and Maryland (+DC) is apportioned a 9th representative?

They get a third black-majority district based in DC and everything else pretty much stays the same.

[Vasall des Midas]

What happens if District of Columbia residents vote in Maryland elections like they have in the past, and Maryland (+DC) is apportioned a 9th representative?

They get a third black-majority district based in DC and everything else pretty much stays the same.

Also, Texas loses its 36th district, or NC gains a 14th.

[memphis]

It'd be nice to see MD adopt a prettier map. Doubt it will happen, but their current one is absolutley atrocious.

[So the Heroes Fall]

It'd be nice to see MD adopt a prettier map. Doubt it will happen, but their current one is absolutley atrocious.

See this. It'd have the same partisan breakdown as the current one.

I should note that if the Democrats do decide to ignore 7 Dem districts the map will end up looking far nicer than the current one.




The main reason MD-03 looks kind of weird is because Sarbanes lives so close to Ruppersberger (In Towson). The weirdness around the border with MD-05 is because of an unpopulated river precinct needed to connect to Annapolis. If Maryland didn't have those annoying areas like most states it'd look much cleaner. I drew Harris out of his district but we all know how much the Democrats would care.

MD-04 is 55% black and MD-07 is 59% black. All Democratic seats are over 60% Obama except 3 which is 58% Obama.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Redid my map with the 2010 numbers:

State:



Zoom:



MD-01 - 55.0% Obama
MD-02 - 59.6% Obama
MD-03 - 61.3% Obama
MD-04 - 86.1% Obama, 55.6% black VAP
MD-05 - 68.4% Obama
MD-06 - 63.6% McCain
MD-07 - 78.4% Obama, 54.3% black VAP
MD-08 - 67.0% Obama

[Padfoot]

wow,  That doesn't even look all that bad in comparison to the outgoing map.  Although Maryland has some of the worst looking districts in the country to begin with so almost anything would be an improvement.

[Verily]

Try putting Cecil County in MD-06, Hagerstown in MD-08 and more of MontCo in MD-01. You can get MD-01 up to 59% Obama or so while keeping MD-08 in the 65% Obama range.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Try putting Cecil County in MD-06, Hagerstown in MD-08 and more of MontCo in MD-01. You can get MD-01 up to 59% Obama or so while keeping MD-08 in the 65% Obama range.

It's possible, but I highly doubt the legislature is going to split up the Eastern Shore just to push MD-01 a couple more points to the Democrats.

[Verily]

Try putting Cecil County in MD-06, Hagerstown in MD-08 and more of MontCo in MD-01. You can get MD-01 up to 59% Obama or so while keeping MD-08 in the 65% Obama range.

It's possible, but I highly doubt the legislature is going to split up the Eastern Shore just to push MD-01 a couple more points to the Democrats.

Cecil County isn't really the Eastern Shore. It has more in common with Harford County, Carroll County and the rural parts of Baltimore County.

Also, what makes you think Maryland Democrats hold anything sacred, given their current map?

[Vasall des Midas]

As long as it's just Cecil, it might do.

Then again, it's not clear whether it's actually in their best interests to do it. You want that district to nominate a moderateish Eastern Shore Democrat who can breeze through the general, not some Liberal from Howard County against whom the Eastern Shore Republican outperforms generic R.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

As long as it's just Cecil, it might do.

Then again, it's not clear whether it's actually in their best interests to do it. You want that district to nominate a moderateish Eastern Shore Democrat who can breeze through the general, not some Liberal from Howard County against whom the Eastern Shore Republican outperforms generic R.

Yeah, that's the other reason for keeping the Eastern Shore together.

[Verily]

As long as it's just Cecil, it might do.

Then again, it's not clear whether it's actually in their best interests to do it. You want that district to nominate a moderateish Eastern Shore Democrat who can breeze through the general, not some Liberal from Howard County against whom the Eastern Shore Republican outperforms generic R.

Not if it's 59% Obama. Then you don't care who the Democrats nominate (within reason)--certainly no need for a moderate in such a seat. Not like Obama did well on the Eastern Shore, either.

[So the Heroes Fall]

Cecil is basically Philly/Wilmington, DE exurbs. Don't see it as part of the Eastern Shore at all.

[Vasall des Midas]

Cecil is basically Philly/Wilmington, DE exurbs. Don't see it as part of the Eastern Shore at all.

Locals tend to do, though.

[Sam Spade]

Cecil is basically Philly/Wilmington, DE exurbs. Don't see it as part of the Eastern Shore at all.

Locals tend to do, though.

Agreed.

[So the Heroes Fall]

Yeah well I bet a lot of the locals in Michele Bachmann's district think they live in a "rural" area. Actually there are plenty of people in parts of Hennepin County that think what they live in is "rural". Didn't Philip once argue he lived in a rural area when he lived in Loudoun County?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Okay, here you go, Cecil County split up (the Elkton area went about 50/50 for Obama, so I left it in MD-01):




MD-01 - 59.9% Obama
MD-05 - 65.8% Obama
MD-06 - 64.8% McCain
MD-08 - 65.6% Obama

The other four districts were untouched.

[Vasall des Midas]

Ugh, Hoyer's constituency is getting really really disgusting.

[Sibboleth]

Especially sick given his advanced age.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

There's no reason that they shouldn't go for a 7-1 map (unless they think that an 8-0 map isn't crazy). Make one district be around 65% McCain. The panhandle together with parts of the pennisula would work. The rest of the state can be safely made into 7 safe Democratic districts, with the required number being black majority.

[So the Heroes Fall]

That second district is obviously not continuous.