Best state House districts for Obama and McCain

[nclib]

It would also be interesting to find Obama's best white-majority state House districts.

I'll start with California:

best Obama
dist   Obama %   McCain % Location

52   90.8%   7.8% Los Angeles-Compton
48   89.1%   9.3% Los Angeles
16   87.9%   10.2% Oakland
13   87.5%   10.4% San Francisco
47   85.3%   13.4% Los Angeles

best Obama (white-majority--I've included Asians as white for California since they vote much less as a bloc than blacks and hispanics):
dist   Obama %   McCain % Location

13   87.5%   10.4% San Francisco
14   83.8%   14.1% Berkeley-Richmond-Pleasant Hill
12   79.0%   18.6% San Francisco
6   76.2%   21.9% Marin County
42   75.5%   22.9% Los Angeles (Beverly Hills)

best McCain
dist   Obama %   McCain % Location

32   35.8%   62.5% Kern Co./Bakersfield
2   38.0%   59.7% Shasta Co./Sutter Co.
34   40.6%   57.5% Tulare Co.
77   42.7%   55.7% San Diego Co.
66   43.7%   54.5% Riverside Co.

[homelycooking]

Some of Connecticut's House districts in Hartford and Bridgeport probably went close to 95% for Obama: perhaps 1 and 5.

[Nichlemn]

I'd be interested in finding the most extreme "opposite party" districts as well. The Deep South presumably has a few Democrats in districts even more Republican than Gene Taylor's. For Republicans, in Vermont there are probably a handful of long-serving Republicans in 70%+ Obama districts.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Virginia:

McCain

HD-22 (south of Lynchburg) - 67.7% McCain, 31.2% Obama
HD-01 (very southwestern tip) - 67.4% McCain, 30.9% Obama
HD-19 (rural swath between Roanoke and Lynchburg) - 66.4% McCain, 32.3% Obama
HD-55 (Hanover County - Richmond exurbs) - 64.7% McCain, 34.5% Obama
HD-04 (SWVA) - 64.1% McCain, 34.7% Obama

Obama

HD-49 (Alexandria/Arlington) - 75.2% Obama, 23.8% McCain
HD-46 (Alexandria) - 73.8% Obama, 25.2% McCain
HD-57 (Charlottesville) - 72.2% Obama, 26.5% McCain
HD-47 (Arlington) - 72.1% Obama, 26.7% McCain
HD-48 (Alexandria/Arlington) - 70.5% Obama, 28.3% McCain

Not exactly surprising. There are plenty of black-majority districts in Hampton Roads and Richmond that went 75-80% for Obama.

Edit:

I'd be interested in finding the most extreme "opposite party" districts as well. The Deep South presumably has a few Democrats in districts even more Republican than Gene Taylor's. For Republicans, in Vermont there are probably a handful of long-serving Republicans in 70%+ Obama districts.

For Virginia, Democrat Joe Johnson represents HD-04.

[Bacon King]

Just a random fun fact I know on the topic; the Chattooga County portion of GA State House district 11 voting around 66% for McCain while giving an almost identical percentage to the Democratic candidate for state house.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Minnesota:

Obama

61B (Hipster areas and poor minority neighborhoods in Minneapolis) Obama 88.51% McCain 9.43%
61A (My district, the same pretty much) Obama 87.88%, McCain 9.71%
58B (Black neighborhoods in north Minneapolis) Obama 86.07%, McCain 12.52%
65A (Minority neighborhoods near downtown St. Paul) Obama 82.80%, McCain 15.37%
62A (More hipsters and minority neighborhoods in southeast Minneapolis) Obama 81.89%, McCain 15.87%

Pretty boring actually. The best Obama districts outstate would be more interesting, but even they are all located in or around Duluth in northeast Minnesota.

McCain

16B (exurbs in Sherburne County) McCain 60.77%, Obama 37.28%
34A (exurban development and old German towns in Carver County) McCain 60.19%, Obama 37.85%
19B (Emmer's seat, string of Wright county exurbs) McCain 59.35%, Obama 38.77%
18A (Old German towns and a little bit of exurban development creeping in) McCain 58.04%, Obama 39.09%
10B (A bunch of lakeside homes for rich people and fundamentalist Lutheran towns in west central Minnesota) McCain 58.03%, Obama 39.59%

Obama's best seat represented by a Republican is 9A, where the district swung unusually strongly for Obama and the incumbent was mayor of the dominant city in it for 20 years and has a very strong personal vote. Obama won 57.89% in it. McCain's best seat represented by a Democrat is 16A, which was narrowly won by a DFL with McCain taking 55.39% and is just a bunch of very conservative rural towns north of the metro. The DFL actually holds Senate seat 16 too (third most conservative in Minnesota by one measure) and district 10 too which contains the aforementioned 10B and is one of the three State Senate seats to vote for Mark Kennedy in 2006.

[bgwah]

The 43rd LD in WA (Seattle) was ~89.6 Obama and ~8.7% McCain. It is majority white.

[Smash255]

Will go through more when I have the chance but A.D 77 in NY (Bronx)  Obama won 96.2-3.6

[nclib]

From Swing State Project I found the Obama/McCain results for every PA House district. Here is the analysis and a link to all data.


Obama's best:

district   Obama   McCain
190   98.90%   0.96%
201   98.05%   1.73%
191   96.99%   2.80%
197   95.99%   3.67%
192   95.84%   3.98%

All are in Philly (191 also extends into Delaware) and are all majority black.


Obama's best among white-majority districts:

Location   district   Obama   McCain
Philly      182   83.63%   15.44%
Philly          202   83.08%   16.33% - plurality white
Philly      175   80.60%   18.37%
Reading        127   78.32%   20.30% - plurality white
Pittsburgh      23   77.12%   21.92%
Philly/DelCo    185   76.57%   22.82%
Lancaster (city)      96   74.87%   23.71%


best McCain:

dist       Obama    McCain      counties
78   26.84%   71.75%   Fulton, Bedford (pt.), Huntingdon (pt.)
86   30.99%   67.64%   Perry, Franklin (pt.)   
80   31.52%   67.24%   Blair (pt.)      
90   31.83%   67.24%   Franklin (pt.)      
69   31.05%   66.89%   Bedford (pt.), Somerset (pt.)   

[bgwah]

From Swing State Project I found the Obama/McCain results for every PA House district. Here is the analysis and a link to all data.


Obama's best:

district   Obama   McCain
190   98.90%   0.96%
201   98.05%   1.73%
191   96.99%   2.80%
197   95.99%   3.67%
192   95.84%   3.98%

All are in Philly (191 also extends into Delaware) and are all majority black.


Obama's best among white-majority districts:

Location   district   Obama   McCain
Philly      180   91.32%   8.34%
Philly      182   83.63%   15.44%
Philly          202   83.08%   16.33% - plurality white
Philly      175   80.60%   18.37%
Reading        127   78.32%   20.30% - plurality white
Pittsburgh      23   77.12%   21.92%
Philly/DelCo    185   76.57%   22.82%

best McCain:

dist       Obama    McCain      counties
78   26.84%   71.75%   Fulton, Bedford (pt.), Huntingdon (pt.)
86   30.99%   67.64%   Perry, Franklin (pt.)   
80   31.52%   67.24%   Blair (pt.)      
90   31.83%   67.24%   Franklin (pt.)      
69   31.05%   66.89%   Bedford (pt.), Somerset (pt.)   

I thought 180 was Hispanic?

[minionofmidas]

63% Hispanic, 21% Black, 13% Non-Hispanic White. Most Hispanic district in the Pennsylvania house by 26 points.
127 being the second most Hispanic district.

[nclib]

From Swing State Project I found the Obama/McCain results for every PA House district. Here is the analysis and a link to all data.


Obama's best:

district   Obama   McCain
190   98.90%   0.96%
201   98.05%   1.73%
191   96.99%   2.80%
197   95.99%   3.67%
192   95.84%   3.98%

All are in Philly (191 also extends into Delaware) and are all majority black.


Obama's best among white-majority districts:

Location   district   Obama   McCain
Philly      180   91.32%   8.34%
Philly      182   83.63%   15.44%
Philly          202   83.08%   16.33% - plurality white
Philly      175   80.60%   18.37%
Reading        127   78.32%   20.30% - plurality white
Pittsburgh      23   77.12%   21.92%
Philly/DelCo    185   76.57%   22.82%

best McCain:

dist       Obama    McCain      counties
78   26.84%   71.75%   Fulton, Bedford (pt.), Huntingdon (pt.)
86   30.99%   67.64%   Perry, Franklin (pt.)   
80   31.52%   67.24%   Blair (pt.)      
90   31.83%   67.24%   Franklin (pt.)      
69   31.05%   66.89%   Bedford (pt.), Somerset (pt.)   

I thought 180 was Hispanic?

Uhh...I somehow missed that. I'll correct it. Now Obama's best white-majority districts are:

Location   district   Obama   McCain
Philly      182   83.63%   15.44%
Philly         202   83.08%   16.33% - plurality white
Philly      175   80.60%   18.37%
Reading        127   78.32%   20.30% - plurality white
Pittsburgh      23   77.12%   21.92%
Philly/DelCo    185   76.57%   22.82%
Lancaster (city)      96   74.87%   23.71%

Quite surprised about the Lancaster (city). Didn't realize it was that Democratic.

[memphis]

Just about any black area is going to be nearly unanimous Obama. There are countless throughout the country.

[JoeyJoeJoe]

HD 85 in Texas went 71.8% McCain and still elects a Dem.  HD 69 and HD 3 gave him 70.2%.  Every Texas House member page contains an election analysis.

[Nichlemn]

HD 85 in Texas went 71.8% McCain and still elects a Dem.  HD 69 and HD 3 gave him 70.2%.  Every Texas House member page contains an election analysis.

Though he got defeated by over 20 points this time, I'm surprised that he was only elected in 2006. Usually, those guys have been around for over 20 years.

[Sam Spade]

HD 85 in Texas went 71.8% McCain and still elects a Dem.  HD 69 and HD 3 gave him 70.2%.  Every Texas House member page contains an election analysis.

Though he got defeated by over 20 points this time, I'm surprised that he was only elected in 2006. Usually, those guys have been around for over 20 years.

Pete Laney's old HD.  A relic of a by-gone age that is now officially gone.

[RBH]

Hawaii State House

Obama's Five Best

HD13: 82.55/15.57 (Dem incumbent unopposed)
HD3: 80.85/18.08 (Dem incumbent won 85/15)
HD9: 80.64/17.95 (Dem incumbent won 83/17)
HD2: 79.65/19.02 (Dem incumbent unopposed)
HD1: 79.42/18.76 (Dem incumbent won 71/29)

Obama's Five Worst

HD40: 62.21/36.48 (reelected a Democratic Rep 69/31 in 2008)
HD43: 63.16/35.84 (went 73/27 for the Rep incumbent in 2008)
HD32: 65.27/33.73 (Lynn Finnegan (R) unopposed, went 56/44 Rep in 2010)
HD50: 65.70/32.81 (Cynthia Thielen (R) unopposed)
HD46: 65.88/32.20 (re-elected the Dem. Rep in 2008 56/44, went Rep 57/43 in 2010)

The other 4 Republican seats (as of 2010) went

HD11: 69.57/28.57 (went Rep in 2010, re-elected the Dem by a 57/43 margin in 2008)
HD17: 67.22/31.65 (re-elected the Rep 57/43 in 2008)
HD19: 70.42/28.19 (re-elected the Rep 59/41 in 2008)
HD27: 71.85/26.56 (re-elected the Rep 54/46 in 2008)

Plus a Rep incumbent lost in 2008 while her district was going 67/31 Obama.

So Corinne Ching may represent the most pro-Obama district of any state House Republican. Plus Neil Abercrombie won her district by 15 points.