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| | | |-+  PPP: Romney leads CA, CO, CT, NH; Huckabee leads IL, PA
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Author Topic: PPP: Romney leads CA, CO, CT, NH; Huckabee leads IL, PA  (Read 3276 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 09, 2010, 12:48:03 pm »
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link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CACOCTILNHPA_1109.pdf

CA
Romney 25
Palin 18
Gingrich 15
Huckabee 15
Pence 3
everyone else at 2 or less

CO
Romney 22
Gingrich 17
Palin 17
Huckabee 14
Pawlenty 6
Pence 3
everyone else at 2 or less

CT
Romney 28
Huckabee 15
Gingrich 14
Palin 11
Pawlenty 5
Pence 5
Daniels 4
Thune 2

IL
Huckabee 18
Gingrich 17
Palin 14
Romney 12
Pawlenty 7
Daniels 6
everyone else at 2 or less

NH
Romney 40
Huckabee 13
Gingrich 10
Palin 10
Pawlenty 4
Pence 3
everyone else at 1 or less

PA
Huckabee 23
Palin 16
Romney 16
Gingrich 15
everyone else at 2 or less
(Santorum not polled)
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2010, 12:55:30 pm »
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he's in the 20's in the most populous states - i.e. Romney is a dead man walking.  as soon as the conservative wing of the party picks its candidate, Romney will be losing by 25 points in those states.

there really is no use polling beyond NH until the results of IA are known. 

But, I think if you give me a list of who's running, I can name you the winner of IA.
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2010, 12:57:20 pm »
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It will be interesting to see where Huckabee's support would go to if he didn't run. Obviously his endorsement would become very valuable, but I would think that Palin would be the next candidate for a lot of his supporters.
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2010, 01:00:06 pm »
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It will be interesting to see where Huckabee's support would go to if he didn't run. Obviously his endorsement would become very valuable, but I would think that Palin would be the next candidate for a lot of his supporters.

if they're not already in Palin's camp, they aint gonna be
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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2010, 01:00:42 pm »
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Blue - Huck
Red - Giant Douche
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Lol at those who think Barrow will lose.
Are they trying to fit in as many junk polls before Tuesday as possible?
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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2010, 01:06:05 pm »
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Interesting that Thune's been trading 2nd or almost 2nd on intrade and only scored 2% in CT and nowhere else.  A long Romney vs Huckabee race would be interesting and I think competitive if not as entertaining as Romney vs Palin.
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2010, 01:56:32 pm »
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Santorum not polled in Pennsylvania? Disgusting.
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Never any doubt.
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2010, 02:53:38 pm »
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Interesting that Thune's been trading 2nd or almost 2nd on intrade and only scored 2% in CT and nowhere else.

I just didn't bother listing everyone who got 1 or 2% in every state.  Only reason I bothered mentioning it in CT, is because there was no one else with 2% or less there anyway.  Here are Thune's #s in each of these states:

CA 1%
CO 2%
CT 2%
IL 2%
NH 1%
PA 1%
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« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2010, 03:02:06 pm »
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Interesting that Thune's been trading 2nd or almost 2nd on intrade and only scored 2% in CT and nowhere else.  A long Romney vs Huckabee race would be interesting and I think competitive if not as entertaining as Romney vs Palin.

IA is the key for Thune, not CT.  If he wins IA, then name recognition is no longer going to be a problem.  Very few had heard of Jimmy Carter prior to his victory in Iowa.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: November 09, 2010, 03:06:18 pm »
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Incidentally, the Des Moines Register had Huckabee at 4% in Iowa in May 2007 (tied with Tom Tancredo), and he ended up winning the state.  So yeah, there's a long way to go.
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« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2010, 06:35:39 pm »
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I'm sorta surprised the conservatives are rocking Romney in IL even as they split the vote. Too bad we can't have polling without huckabee since everyone knows he isn't running.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: November 09, 2010, 06:36:56 pm »
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This poll also includes the following general election matchups between Obama and Mr. Generic Republican:


CA
Obama 51
generic Republican 44

CO
generic Republican 50
Obama 45

CT
Obama 50
generic Republican 42

IL
Obama 49
generic Republican 45

NH
generic Republican 54
Obama 40

PA
generic Republican 52
Obama 42

On the GOP primary crosstabs, there wasn't much of interest in the way of trends that held up across all six states.  Except that Palin does better with conservative than moderate GOP primary voters in all six states, and Gingrich does better with male than female GOP primary voters in all six states.
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« Reply #12 on: November 09, 2010, 06:39:49 pm »
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Illinois?

Great!
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« Reply #13 on: November 09, 2010, 06:42:49 pm »
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This poll also includes the following general election matchups between Obama and Mr. Generic Republican:


CA
Obama 51
generic Republican 44

CO
generic Republican 50
Obama 45

CT
Obama 50
generic Republican 42

IL
Obama 49
generic Republican 45

NH
generic Republican 54
Obama 40

PA
generic Republican 52
Obama 42


Who's "generic Republican"? Never heard of them.
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« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2010, 07:04:55 pm »
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Who's "generic Republican"? Never heard of them.

He's really a Great candidate.  We keep trying to get him to run, but we can never quite seem to get him to. Smiley
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Clay
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« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2010, 08:53:06 pm »
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Republicans can't win with Romney.  The sooner they realize that, the better off they'll be.
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« Reply #16 on: November 09, 2010, 08:54:12 pm »
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Who's "generic Republican"? Never heard of them.

He's really a Great candidate.  We keep trying to get him to run, but we can never quite seem to get him to. Smiley

John Thune?
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A-Bob
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« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2010, 12:27:13 am »
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I knew Daniels would eat into Romeny's base, but Thune makes it all the better!

I would suspect Daniels to preform that well in IL, but why is Thune polling "high" there?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #18 on: November 10, 2010, 12:41:22 am »
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I would suspect Daniels to preform that well in IL, but why is Thune polling "high" there?

What?  Thune is at 2% in Illinois.  That's statistically indistinguishable from zero support!
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2010, 12:52:15 am »
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Let's face it, Romney is the only one of the major contenders of any substance and who is made of Presidential material.

He has the royal jelly so to speak.
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« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2010, 01:13:41 am »
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Does anyone doubt the GOP of today would be against abolishing slavery if it still existed?  The new costs of ending slavery would stifle businesses!  I'm not kidding.
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« Reply #21 on: November 10, 2010, 01:27:28 am »
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Does anyone doubt the GOP of today would be against abolishing slavery if it still existed?  The new costs of ending slavery would stifle businesses!  I'm not kidding.

Yes, I doubt it. 
 
In fact, Republicans would be the first to abolish slavery.  After all, the Republicans are the party of freedom.

The only reason the Democrat Party would abolish slavery is so they could pander to them to obtain a reliable voting block they could then take for granted.
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Gov. Pudding Brains
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« Reply #22 on: November 10, 2010, 07:14:21 am »
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Amusing.
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Clay
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« Reply #23 on: November 10, 2010, 08:45:43 am »
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Does anyone doubt the GOP of today would be against abolishing slavery if it still existed?  The new costs of ending slavery would stifle businesses!  I'm not kidding.

Seriously?Huh?
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A-Bob
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« Reply #24 on: November 10, 2010, 08:46:31 am »
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I would suspect Daniels to preform that well in IL, but why is Thune polling "high" there?

What?  Thune is at 2% in Illinois.  That's statistically indistinguishable from zero support!


Sorry, I meant Pawlenty
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