CTguy
Jr. Member
Posts: 742
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« on: March 19, 2004, 03:40:18 PM » |
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No, I don't think over a .5% win would be safe.
Look how the electoral college was reapportioned based on 2000's population numbers. Bush would win the electoral vote by 278-260 or something... not the slimmest of margins, based on the census figures for 2000 when Al Gore won the popular vote by more than half a million.
This means even when they democrats win by half a million, the republicans have an 18 point electoral advantage.
The electoral college seems to heavily benefit smaller, more rural states... which unquestionably benefits republicans.
I think this time you could see the democrats win the popular vote by as many as 2 million votes and still lose the electoral college vote.
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