zachman
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,096
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« on: March 19, 2004, 11:26:47 PM » |
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Hughes lost the popular vote by 3.12% in 1916, but would have won the electoral vote had he had 400 more votes in Minnesota. This is more than Hayes' margin in 1876', and I think 4% is the margin in a normal two-party race, although two or three percent should win it. Anything less than two percent is subject to luck.
I suppose a situation could occur where Bush had some extreme plan to rmake NYC or LA, and had no support from those two states. I do think that polls do influence how people vote, so I major popular vote upset would be unlikely.
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