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Author Topic: MT-PPP: Sen. Tester (D) leads a few Republicans, trails a few others  (Read 4174 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 16, 2010, 03:06:56 pm »
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Jon Tester (D) vs. Marc Racicot (R): 42-49
Jon Tester (D) vs. Denny Rehberg (R): 46-48

Jon Tester (D) vs. Steve Daines (R): 48-37
Jon Tester (D) vs. Neil Livingstone (R): 46-35

...

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jon Tester's job performance?

50-40

...

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Max Baucus’ job performance?

38-53

...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MT_1116ND.pdf
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2010, 03:08:50 pm »
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He's running better against Rehberg than against Racicot? He's more popular than Baucus? What?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2010, 03:12:44 pm »
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LOL at Baucus. I guess palling around with DC lobbyists doesn't play that well at Missoula or Bozeman.

But hey, no problem. Maybe next time he will call his friends, Grassley and Enzi, to campaign for him and vouch for his bipartisanship.
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« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2010, 03:22:53 pm »
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He's running better against Rehberg than against Racicot? He's more popular than Baucus? What?

Didn't Baucus spend most of last year making a complete tit out of himself? In public?
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« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2010, 03:29:27 pm »
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He's running better against Rehberg than against Racicot? He's more popular than Baucus? What?

Didn't Baucus spend most of last year making a complete tit out of himself? In public?

Yeah but he's Max Baucus in Montana.

Looks like I haven't learned the lesson I've been reminding others of...
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Torie
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« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2010, 04:16:22 pm »
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He's running better against Rehberg than against Racicot? He's more popular than Baucus? What?

Didn't Baucus spend most of last year making a complete tit out of himself? In public?

Totally. I think the guy may be getting senile - I'm serious.
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« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2010, 04:35:37 pm »
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Not bad.
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« Reply #7 on: November 16, 2010, 04:48:15 pm »
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Needs more Kelleher.
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« Reply #8 on: November 16, 2010, 04:54:26 pm »
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What about a rematch against Conrad Montana  Burns.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: November 16, 2010, 04:57:29 pm »
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What about a rematch against Conrad Montana  Burns.

I think the Louvre has a policy that bars mummies from seeking political office.
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« Reply #10 on: November 16, 2010, 05:10:39 pm »
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Looks like Tester is going to be vulnerable no matter what Republican challenges him. He's a member of the freshman class of 2006 right?  You'd think with a 50/40 approval rating, he wouldn't be trailing anyone by 42-49%.

I actually don't think this performance is half bad for him.  I thought he might be in Blanche Lincoln territory right now.
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« Reply #11 on: November 16, 2010, 05:22:34 pm »
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Stronger than I would have imagined.
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« Reply #12 on: November 16, 2010, 05:29:35 pm »
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On the subject of Tester, does anyone else find he looks 20 years younger than he is?
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: November 16, 2010, 05:44:46 pm »
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The healthcare debate brought Baucus' numbers down. If he were up this year then he'd be in Blanche Lincoln territory.

Rehberg would be a fool to give up his safe House seat. Unless Rehberg or Racicot runs, Tester doesn't have much to worry about.
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« Reply #14 on: November 16, 2010, 06:51:04 pm »
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I wonder if Rehburg wouldn't just wait until 2014 and Baucus to get a chance at a Senate seat. Not that he wouldn't have a good chance in 2012, but still.

Then again, Baucus might retire and that might bring about a matchup with Schweitzer.
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« Reply #15 on: November 16, 2010, 06:53:13 pm »
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Rehberg has always struck me as a guy who's just kind of there; he's never had to run a tough race in his life (he was appointed Lt. Governor, and even for his first term in the House the Democrats put a nobody up), so he might not want to risk going up against a strong opponent. He could always just wait until 2014, since Baucus looks like an easier target at this point (plus Baucus might just retire).
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #16 on: November 16, 2010, 06:54:27 pm »
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I personally think Rehberg will run; he's well-liked statewide, has been re-elected overwhelmingly, and is facing a weak-ish incumbent. He runs now, instead of waiting until 2014.

If Schwietzer runs in 2014 instead of running for president in 2016, then the senate seat is his, barring new developments that happen over the course of the next four years.
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Extremely Crazy Eternal Senator Yankee
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« Reply #17 on: November 16, 2010, 07:55:42 pm »
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Marc Racicot is of course the best option but he doesn't want to be in the Senate.


Tester is in a stronger position then I expected, I still think the GOP will end up targetting this seat though.
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« Reply #18 on: November 16, 2010, 08:01:57 pm »
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This is pretty good news for Tester given that this is pretty much the lowest point for Democrats. 
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« Reply #19 on: November 16, 2010, 08:07:16 pm »
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This is pretty good news for Tester given that this is pretty much the lowest point for Democrats. 

A lot of differences between the two, but at this point, Coleman was ahead in the polls by like 18 points.
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« Reply #20 on: November 16, 2010, 08:13:23 pm »
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Carnahan was ahead by about as much as those GOPers in January 2009.
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Dgov
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« Reply #21 on: November 16, 2010, 11:27:15 pm »
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Don't forget this is a registered voter poll, so the Republicans would probably do about 5 points better than this in an actual election
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« Reply #22 on: November 17, 2010, 02:34:49 am »
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Baucus will pull through when its time for re-election.  He's got that Reid teflon.  Tester seems popular enough to stay around.

Also, the Montana GOP is a joke and will likely fumble at the opportunity. 
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #23 on: November 17, 2010, 08:21:57 am »
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Don't forget this is a registered voter poll, so the Republicans would probably do about 5 points better than this in an actual election

Well, that didn't take long.
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« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2010, 10:39:54 am »
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Tester iss a good man and he is polling better than expected... If 2012 numbers for obama in MT aren't THAT bad, I can see him getting reelected easily Wink
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E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
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