Official US 2010 Census Results

[Lunar]

There's a 28% Asian tract in Southeast Iowa that has almost 13,000% growth over 2000

[The Head Beagle]

What's with a 70% Asian tract in Lafayette Indiana?

Purdue - Cinyc mentioned this earlier.

These single Asian census tracts on otherwise white campuses in the middle of the country are grad student housing - no midwestern state university has anything even close to an Asian-plurality undergraduate student body, but graduate housing is often very Asian since there are a lot of international students from Asia in the more technical programs who live in university housing since they don't know the local rental scene while the other grad students mostly live off-campus.

There's a 28% Asian tract in Southeast Iowa that has almost 13,000% growth over 2000

This is Maharishi Vedic City, actual name of an actual municipality that incorporated in 2001. Check it out on Wikipedia - it's super weird.

[Bacon King]

In Georgia, there are >40% Asian tracts in the northeast Atlanta suburbs.

That surprised me. While looking at that, I also saw one in Athens.

Gwinnett County has pretty sizable Vietnamese, Korean, and Hmong communities. The Athens tract is right by UGA so it's probably students.

[The Head Beagle]

The City of Portland no longer has any tracts that aren't white-plurality. The four adjacent Black tracts from 2000 in northeast Portland have undergone major gentrification and are now 53-27, 56-25, 52-27 and 56-26 white.

[Verily]

Weird that there is no black-plurality tract in Rhode Island. I see there are three in Pawtucket that come close, however.

[Lunar]

Check out those Hispanics in Providence and Central Falls RI though.  They're going to be a very significant political force in Rhode Island soon enough

[Smash255]

Can anyone find high (over 40%) Asian tracts outside the West Coast and the urban areas? I find one 54% outside Philly and several over 40%, up to 49%, in MontCo, MD.

Morrisville, NC has one tract which is 40% Asian, a few of the surrounding ones are 30%.  Depending on what you mean by urban, you have a 42% in southwest Charlotte (while its in the city, the area looks suburban)

Also have a 40% tracts in western Nassau (Herricks with a few surrounding tracts at 39%, and others in the 30% + range (with some more over 40% ones over the Queens border

Morrisville is due to the proximity to Research Triangle Park. Not sure about the Charlotte one.

Figured that with Morrisville.  The Charlotte one was in an area with growth of more than 170% (slightly under 700 to 1,824) with the Asian population going from approx 43 to approx 766.  I have actually driven through that area (well technically a passenger) going back and forth from the Charlotte airport and my parents home (the Billy Graham Parkway is on the northern edge of the tract)

[Torie]

What's with a 70% Asian tract in Lafayette Indiana?

Purdue University.

[jimrtex]

Here's some really diverse tracts I've found, jfern-

tract 6729, west Houston, TX:
28% Black
25% Hispanic
25% White
20% Asian

I'd probably call it Katy, but its pretty big with 28,000 people so parts are near Sugar Land.  And I think some of it is in the Lamar Consolidated ISD (Richmond-Rosenberg) and with a Richmond zip code.

So maybe just Fort Bend.   It will be a little less diverse once it is divided up.  On its west side is the Grand Parkway which gives access to either I-10 (Katy Freeway) or US 59 Southwest Freeway.  And on the north is the Westpark Tollroad which gives access into the Galleria area and also connects with US 59 much closer to the city.

An interesting contrast is census tract 6737 just to the west with a 0% Asian population.

This is the TC Jester unit of the state prison system (which figures in the true life story on which the movie Sugarland Express (sic) is based.  Many of the Texas prisons are in the Brazos bottoms, and were at one time self sufficient, growing food and cotton for prison clothing.  Forced labor is now frowned upon, and a lot of the farm lands around the prisons proper, especially in the Houston area have been sold to developers, including some of the land in 6729 (though most of the development is further north along the Westpark Tollroad/Westheimer/FM-1093.

[The Head Beagle]

I guess I never knew this part of the background to this whole Lou Barletta thing, but Hazleton PA had an incredibly high influx of Hispanics over the decade, way more than the other ex-coal towns in the region - the % Hispanic for the city went from 5% in 2000 to 37% in 2010 and on the NY Times map the Hispanic increases for all the tracts within the city are 858%, 1,347%, 1,779%, 1,062%, 374%, 685%, 344% and 1043%. Does anyone know why this is?

[Sibboleth]

Presumably something to do with the local economy; IIRC Hazleton has a lot of the sort of low-paid manual jobs that tend to attract Hispanic immigrants (consumer manufacturing and something to do with warehousing if I remember right... and I almost certainly don't). Combine that with the state of the town, and, yeah.

[cinyc]

I guess I never knew this part of the background to this whole Lou Barletta thing, but Hazleton PA had an incredibly high influx of Hispanics over the decade, way more than the other ex-coal towns in the region - the % Hispanic for the city went from 5% in 2000 to 37% in 2010 and on the NY Times map the Hispanic increases for all the tracts within the city are 858%, 1,347%, 1,779%, 1,062%, 374%, 685%, 344% and 1043%. Does anyone know why this is?

Probably because that's where the low-paying jobs and cheap housing are.  Hazleton is at the crossroads of I-81 and I-80.  As a result, the area has a number of distribution centers and some manufacturing.  The Hispanic population also increased in other Northeastern Pennsylvania cities.

Of course, Barletta wasn't acting in a vacuum when he tried to attack his city's illegal immigration problem.

[nclib]

These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

[Dgov]

These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

Interesting mix of rural and urban Black-majority districts.  If those figures are right, the only black-majority districts that didn't lose population are NY-10, VA-3, NC-1, FL-17, FL-23, SC-6, GA-4, GA-5, and MD-4, and much of that gain is from non-black population growth.

[Padfoot]

These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

Interesting mix of rural and urban Black-majority districts.  If those figures are right, the only black-majority districts that didn't lose population are NY-10, VA-3, NC-1, FL-17, FL-23, SC-6, GA-4, GA-5, and MD-4, and much of that gain is from non-black population growth.

That adds more credence to the discussion of a new Great Migration in which black Americans are returning to the rising cities of the New South.

[Dgov]

These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

Interesting mix of rural and urban Black-majority districts.  If those figures are right, the only black-majority districts that didn't lose population are NY-10, VA-3, NC-1, FL-17, FL-23, SC-6, GA-4, GA-5, and MD-4, and much of that gain is from non-black population growth.

That adds more credence to the discussion of a new Great Migration in which black Americans are returning to the rising cities of the New South.

Or (more likely i think) that Blacks are following whites to the Suburbs.  None of those districts that gained are very Urban (except NY-10 in central Brooklyn, though i don't think its pop gain was from blacks), and most like GA-4, MD-4, and FL-17 are more Suburban and Middle class than urban.

Also, this data is just for which districts LOST population, not which ones lost Blacks.  I assume the Black population of the surrounding areas and districts picked up Blacks as a result as well.

[Lunar]

(except NY-10 in central Brooklyn, though i don't think its pop gain was from blacks),

I doubt that as well, NYC and Brooklyn had a very distinct increase in their white population overall and many key black areas showed a loss in population.

[Bacon King]

GA-5 is urban. But yeah, most of Atlanta's black growth has been in the suburbs.

[nclib]

Growth for non-Hispanic whites:



Blue = above average growth
Gray = below average growth
Red = population decline

Growth for minorities:



Blue = above average
Red = below average (DC was the only negative)

[Dave Leip]

Does anyone happen to know whether the Census Bureau has/will update past yearly estimates based on the new 2010 census?
Thanks,
Dave

[Vasall des Midas]

Does anyone happen to know whether the Census Bureau has/will update past yearly estimates based on the new 2010 census?
Thanks,
Dave

Pretty sure they don't do that.

[jimrtex]

Does anyone happen to know whether the Census Bureau has/will update past yearly estimates based on the new 2010 census?

They have issued 2010 estimates based on the 2000 census.

When they issue a new estimate they update previous estimates.  For example, when the 2008 estimate is issued, they also include annual estimates for previous years, 2007, 2006, etc.  The 2008 vintage estimate for 2007, is not necessarily the same as the 2007 vintage estimate for 2007.  So there is some sort of retrospective correction.  I don't know what the source of the correction is.

I don't think that they ever go backwards.  While they will eventually issue a July 2010 estimate based on the 2010 census, they won't issue a 2009 estimate.  They probably compare the two internally as part of an error analysis,

The estimates are based on a demographic model, including births, deaths, and migration, so they are probably accumulating error throughout the decade.  But there annual changes are probably somewhat accurate in capturing changes in migration, birth and death rates.  So you might be able to fit the 2010, 2009, 2008, estimate series to the 2000 and 2010 census date, and use that to produce a new estimate for an earlier year.

What are you trying to do?

[hopper]

These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

I'm surprised CA-47 lost population since it is mostly a Hispanic and Asian district.

Why did Ohio's Republican Congressional Districts lose so much population? Was it because of the loss of manufacturing jobs?

[TJ in Wisco]

Why did Ohio's Republican Congressional Districts lose so much population? Was it because of the loss of manufacturing jobs?

OH-1 is based around inner-city Cincinnati and most of the loss was people moving further and further out into the suburbs. This is an ancestral Republican seat that has become more Democratic due to the Republicans fleeing the city and was swingy by the end of the decade.

OH-6 is a formerly coal mining area along the Ohio River with a few rust belt towns that continue to bleed jobs. This is an ancestrally Democratic seat, originally drawn as a Democratic pack in 2002, that the Republicans just took over after the 2010 wave.

OH-5 is the scenario you're talking about more than anything else. It consists of a mix between farmland and heavily industrial towns across Northwest Ohio, neither of which are growing.

[jimrtex]

These CD's have lost population:

CA 31, 47, 33

I'm surprised CA-47 lost population since it is mostly a Hispanic and Asian district.

Not all that unusual.  These areas were developed 50 and 60 years ago, and there is no empty land left.  As family sizes decline, the population declines.