Official US 2010 Census Results

[jimrtex]

Does anyone happen to know whether the Census Bureau has/will update past yearly estimates based on the new 2010 census?
Thanks,
Dave

2000-2010 Intercensal Population and Housing Unit Estimates

[nclib]

113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

[muon2]

113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

Those are both cross tabs from race, hispanic and age. The easy stats don't list them, just the main categories. This is also only from the 1-year sample so the statistics get weaker as one tries to cross tabulate different questions.

[jimrtex]

113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

Those are both cross tabs from race, hispanic and age. The easy stats don't list them, just the main categories. This is also only from the 1-year sample so the statistics get weaker as one tries to cross tabulate different questions.

The Census Bureau releases ACS data based on areas as of January 1 of the last year of the collection period.   The 1-year 2011 data was released in September 2012, and the 3-year data was released in the following months.

Presumably the 2012 release will have data for the congressional districts for the 113rd Congress.  The raw ACS data has street addresses and block numbers, so tabulation should be
"trivial".  The minimum sampling rate (one year) is 1.5%, so the estimates for CD-sized objects entities should be pretty good.

[krazen1211]

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323375204578270053387770718.html

The fertility rate is the number of children an average woman bears over the course of her life. The replacement rate is 2.1. If the average woman has more children than that, population grows. Fewer, and it contracts. Today, America's total fertility rate is 1.93, according to the latest figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; it hasn't been above the replacement rate in a sustained way since the early 1970s.




The 2020 census might show an even smaller growth figure than the historically low 2010 census.

[memphis]

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323375204578270053387770718.html

The fertility rate is the number of children an average woman bears over the course of her life. The replacement rate is 2.1. If the average woman has more children than that, population grows. Fewer, and it contracts. Today, America's total fertility rate is 1.93, according to the latest figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; it hasn't been above the replacement rate in a sustained way since the early 1970s.

The 2020 census might show an even smaller growth figure than the historically low 2010 census.

You've forgotten to take immigration or increased life spans into account. Americans can have zero children but still see increased population.

[nclib]

113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

Those are both cross tabs from race, hispanic and age. The easy stats don't list them, just the main categories. This is also only from the 1-year sample so the statistics get weaker as one tries to cross tabulate different questions.

The Census Bureau releases ACS data based on areas as of January 1 of the last year of the collection period.   The 1-year 2011 data was released in September 2012, and the 3-year data was released in the following months.

Presumably the 2012 release will have data for the congressional districts for the 113rd Congress.  The raw ACS data has street addresses and block numbers, so tabulation should be
"trivial".  The minimum sampling rate (one year) is 1.5%, so the estimates for CD-sized objects entities should be pretty good.

I.E., that data isn't available yet? When is it expected to come? Interesting since some states had NHW and VAP data available before the districts took effect.

[Brittain33]

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323375204578270053387770718.html

The fertility rate is the number of children an average woman bears over the course of her life. The replacement rate is 2.1. If the average woman has more children than that, population grows. Fewer, and it contracts. Today, America's total fertility rate is 1.93, according to the latest figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; it hasn't been above the replacement rate in a sustained way since the early 1970s.

The 2020 census might show an even smaller growth figure than the historically low 2010 census.

You've forgotten to take immigration or increased life spans into account. Americans can have zero children but still see increased population.

True... but we do also know that immigration was high in the first two-thirds of the last decade, and has been much slower since about 2008, with no sign of it increasing. That would reinforce the declining birth rate trend.

[jimrtex]

113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

Those are both cross tabs from race, hispanic and age. The easy stats don't list them, just the main categories. This is also only from the 1-year sample so the statistics get weaker as one tries to cross tabulate different questions.

The Census Bureau releases ACS data based on areas as of January 1 of the last year of the collection period.   The 1-year 2011 data was released in September 2012, and the 3-year data was released in the following months.

Presumably the 2012 release will have data for the congressional districts for the 113rd Congress.  The raw ACS data has street addresses and block numbers, so tabulation should be
"trivial".  The minimum sampling rate (one year) is 1.5%, so the estimates for CD-sized objects entities should be pretty good.

I.E., that data isn't available yet? When is it expected to come? Interesting since some states had NHW and VAP data available before the districts took effect.

Any State under the imposition of Section 5 of the VRA will be expected to include that information with their submissions to the USDOJ in Washington, DC.

The redistricting data released in Spring of 2011 included population counts by race, hispanicity, and for over 18 to the census block level.  Since any software would be working at the block level, it would be easy to tabulate.

The Census Bureau has released the 113rd Congress to block number equivalency files, so you could calculate VAP by race and hispanicity.

The 2010 Census did not ask a citizenship question, but the Texas Legislative Council was able to generate CVAP from the ACS data, and they also produce election results by proposed district (they have to allocate precinct election results as necessary to do so).

The Census Bureau will also do a custom tabulation for a fee (minimum price $3000).  The Census Bureau has to switch the ACS over from the 2000 Census Geography to the 2010 Census Geography (block definitions and numbers are not identical).  To conduct the 2010 Census they must have had to conform their master list of addresses to the 2010 census geography, and must have an ongoing program to make corrections.

[nclib]

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bz_uFI8VY7xLQWlodGI1T1FiSUk/edit?pli=1

appears to include NHW VAP, but doesn't match up with DailyKos's numbers.

[muon2]

City and town estimates for July 1, 2012 were just released by the Census. The press release highlights the growth in TX.

[danny]

City and town estimates for July 1, 2012 were just released by the Census. The press release highlights the growth in TX.

I don't think of San Marcos as a large city.

[Benj]

Some interesting figures in there.

NJ's Gold Coast is booming. Hoboken, Jersey City and West New York all grew well above the national growth rate and made it onto the >2.5% growth rate list (4.1% in Hoboken, 3.5% in WNY and 2.8% in JC, to 1.7% nationally--though that's actually a considerable slowdown in Hoboken compared to 2000-2010, but JC has already added more people than it did 2000-2010). Presumably Weehawken would also be on there if it had more than 50,000 people.

Some of the very-fast-percent-growers are interesting, too. Irvine, California is near the top despite being pretty heavily built up already. Rapid growth in the city proper of Denver is a bit surprising, too. And San Francisco made it onto the percentage growth list.

Nearly every large city is growing somewhat, even "sick man" cities like Philadelphia, Chicago, Baltimore and Newark that have seen declines within the past few decades. There are only six declining cities with a population >200,000 that I see (Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Toledo and Rochester).

[Miles]

City and town estimates for July 1, 2012 were just released by the Census. The press release highlights the growth in TX.

Charlotte is #8

[cinyc]

The North Dakota oil boom town of Williston was the fastest-growing city of 10,000 or more in the past year, followed by Saratoga Springs, UT (west of Provo) and Prosper, TX (north of Dallas).

[Linus Van Pelt]

A note of caution about these: the Census Bureau doesn't actually calculate births, deaths and migration for municipalities as it does for counties and states. Rather, the subcounty estimates are developed by distributing the county growth based on the number of housing units in each jurisdiction. For this reason they can run into trouble in areas where population change doesn't involve construction or demolition of housing. In particular in 2010 the local estimates appeared to underestimate population decline in some poor inner-city areas where vacancy rates increased significantly.

[hopper]

Some interesting figures in there.

NJ's Gold Coast is booming. Hoboken, Jersey City and West New York all grew well above the national growth rate and made it onto the >2.5% growth rate list (4.1% in Hoboken, 3.5% in WNY and 2.8% in JC, to 1.7% nationally--though that's actually a considerable slowdown in Hoboken compared to 2000-2010, but JC has already added more people than it did 2000-2010). Presumably Weehawken would also be on there if it had more than 50,000 people.

Some of the very-fast-percent-growers are interesting, too. Irvine, California is near the top despite being pretty heavily built up already. Rapid growth in the city proper of Denver is a bit surprising, too. And San Francisco made it onto the percentage growth list.

Nearly every large city is growing somewhat, even "sick man" cities like Philadelphia, Chicago, Baltimore and Newark that have seen declines within the past few decades. There are only six declining cities with a population >200,000 that I see (Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Toledo and Rochester).

Yeah Baltimore grew by about 1,000 people (620K to 621K) people from 2010-2012. Newark did grow in the 2010  Census by around 4.000 people(273K to 277K) by the way so Newark stopped losing population with the 2000 Census release. However, Newark could come close to losing 1st place with being NJ's largest city by decades end. It will be close with Jersey City growing rapidly as you said. Newark only grew by about 600 people from 2010-2012 while Jersey City added 7,000 in the same time period. It will be a long time till Newark even reaches its 1980 Population of 381K. Its high was 442K people in 1930. In 1950 Newark had 438K people.

[Sbane]

Some interesting figures in there.

NJ's Gold Coast is booming. Hoboken, Jersey City and West New York all grew well above the national growth rate and made it onto the >2.5% growth rate list (4.1% in Hoboken, 3.5% in WNY and 2.8% in JC, to 1.7% nationally--though that's actually a considerable slowdown in Hoboken compared to 2000-2010, but JC has already added more people than it did 2000-2010). Presumably Weehawken would also be on there if it had more than 50,000 people.

Some of the very-fast-percent-growers are interesting, too. Irvine, California is near the top despite being pretty heavily built up already. Rapid growth in the city proper of Denver is a bit surprising, too. And San Francisco made it onto the percentage growth list.

Nearly every large city is growing somewhat, even "sick man" cities like Philadelphia, Chicago, Baltimore and Newark that have seen declines within the past few decades. There are only six declining cities with a population >200,000 that I see (Detroit, Cleveland, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Toledo and Rochester).

Ok, I know this post is from many months ago....but in any case..Irvine actually has a good chunk of land to grow on. There are a lot of strawberry fields on the east side of town and the north edge of town next to the mountains has some space as well. I would not be surprised if Irvine kept growing for another decade or more. Also, townhomes and courtyard style homes are becoming more popular, as the city is very expensive to live in due to excellent schools. This will cause an increase in population density.

[hopper]

New Jersey Northeast Counties are growing:

Hudson County grew by 25,300 people in the decade ending 2010 Census but has grown by a whopping 18,000 people in the 2012 Census Estimate.

Bergen County grew by 21,000 people in the decade ending 2010 Census but has grown by 13,700 people in the 2012 Census Estimate .

Union County grew by 14,000 people in the decade ending 2010 Census but has grown by 7,500 people in the 2012 Census Estimate.

Morris County grew by 22,000 people in the decade ending 2010 Census and continues to grow by 5,700 people in the 2012 Census.

Essex County actually declined by 10,300 people in the decade ending 2010 Census but has came back up by 3,800 people in the 2012 Census. The county has experienced a population decline in each census except for 2000 since the 1970 Census when the county had 932.5K people. The county now has 787.7K people to give you an idea of the counties population drop. In the 2000 Census the population went up from 778.2K(1990 Census Figures) to 793.6K people in the county.

Middlesex County(a Central Eastern County of NJ) grew by 39,700 people in the decade ending 2010 Census and continues to grow by 13,300 people in the 2012 Census so it population growth is up there with Bergen County.

Conclusion: I guess people like their train ride to NYC or being close to NYC!

[hopper]

Morris County will pass Camden County as the 9th largest populated New Jersey County by the end of this decade.

[hopper]

I have done the math too Jersey City will just miss passing Newark as NJ's largest city population wise by decades end if both cities continue to grow the way they are the rest of this decade.

2020 Census:

Newark 279K
Jersey City 278K

[hopper]

I am doing average race/ethnicity by Census US average and the average state where that ethnic group lives. For example the average US white population is 72.4% and the average white person lives in Oklahoma since Oklahoma is 72.2% white. I will do the same for other ethnicities.

US Hispanic Average Population: 16.3%, Illinois: 15.8%.
US Black Population Average: 12.6%, Ohio: 12.2%.
US Asian Population Average: 4.8%, Illinois: 4.8%.

Now I will do the same for population growth in the 2010 Census by race ethnicity. The average US Growth of the White Population was 5.7% and the average growth state wise of the white population was in  Delaware where the white population grew by 5.8%. I will do the same for other race/ethnicity US growth average vs state average.

Black Population Growth US Average: 12.3%, Pennsylvania: 12.5%
Asian Population Growth US Average: 43.3%, Kansas: 44.8%
Hispanic Population US Average: 43.0%, Texas 41.8%

[Nhoj]

They just came out with a new explorer tool.
http://www.census.gov/censusexplorer/censusexplorer.html

[Nhoj]

County and metro estimates are out tomorrow.

[Gass3268]

County and metro estimates are out tomorrow.

Eeeek