Official US 2010 Census Results

[memphis]

This isn't wikileaks. They don't just dump their data. Enjoy the suspense.

[memphis]

First time ever California didn't gain.

[memphis]

Memo to census guy: alaska wasn't a state in 1910.

[memphis]

FYI, Memphis had a sizeable annexation back in 2003, which masks what would have been a larger decline. We've been playing this game for decades. In 1910, Memphis was 18 sq mi. We're now at 314 sq mi, which is larger than the combined dry land parts of New York City. Without annexations, we'd have a longterm population decline comparable to or even worse than St. Louis.

[memphis]

One other note on the Atlanta area, from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

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In other words, there is white flight from the closer-in suburbs to both Atlanta and the more far-flung counties of the metro.

Same thing going on here. Pretty much all the suburban areas that were white middle class neighborhoods a few decades ago are now heavily black with a small white minority that is "stuck" living there. Most whites there have moved further out. Wealthy white inner city neighborhoods are still white and wealthy with no signs that's going to change. Some have gotten even fancier with teardowns and McMansions popping up.  Plus there's all the new condos downtown. 

[memphis]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

[memphis]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

The old MI-13 and 14 were each about 60% black. Not saying that two majority black districts will or should be the result of redistricting. Just seeing that I've seen some creative sh!t before. Wouldn't count it out.

[memphis]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

Not surprising. Blacks with the means have been fleeing urban ghettos all over the country.

[memphis]

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323375204578270053387770718.html

The fertility rate is the number of children an average woman bears over the course of her life. The replacement rate is 2.1. If the average woman has more children than that, population grows. Fewer, and it contracts. Today, America's total fertility rate is 1.93, according to the latest figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; it hasn't been above the replacement rate in a sustained way since the early 1970s.

The 2020 census might show an even smaller growth figure than the historically low 2010 census.

You've forgotten to take immigration or increased life spans into account. Americans can have zero children but still see increased population.