Official US 2010 Census Results

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It hasn't been released yet. I think the first batches of data will come out in mid-December.

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The numbers for the first 4 states are out, but, of course they released the data in some horrible format I couldn't figure out how to use, so I'm looking here: http://twitter.com/Redistrict for important news. Some interesting stuff so far.

2010 Census News

If you click on a news release for a state, it includes links to thematic maps for population and population change per county, and an Excel file with some highlight data, including top 20 counties and cities.

Thanks, I was stuck with those FTP's.

Lakewood really sticks out, all the other 20 biggest cities and townships grow between -8% to +8% while Lakewood grew 53.8%.

Lakewood is an Orthodox Jewish stronghold.

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The numbers for the first 4 states are out, but, of course they released the data in some horrible format I couldn't figure out how to use, so I'm looking here: http://twitter.com/Redistrict for important news. Some interesting stuff so far.

2010 Census News

If you click on a news release for a state, it includes links to thematic maps for population and population change per county, and an Excel file with some highlight data, including top 20 counties and cities.

Thanks, I was stuck with those FTP's.

Lakewood really sticks out, all the other 20 biggest cities and townships grow between -8% to +8% while Lakewood grew 53.8%.

Lakewood is an Orthodox Jewish stronghold.

The Star-Ledger credits a lot of the growth to new senior communities, plus the Hispanic population has increased a great deal. Natural increase among Hasidic Jews may be part of it but no population reproduces that quickly from such a high base.

The Star-Ledger is just wrong. (Maybe there is substantial Hispanic growth, too; that I could see, although not accounting for more than 10% of overall growth.) It's not just (or even primarily) reproduction; older Orthodox communities in NYC are leaving for the lower prices in Lakewood. Over half the population, and nearly all of the growth, is Orthodox Jewish.

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Maps of New Jersey:
 http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/02/04/nyregion/20100204-jersey.html?ref=nyregion

Wish that map were interactive :/

The universal declines in the Shore towns are striking. Is that Hoboken or Jersey City with the big increase in white population in Hudson County? It's hard to tell. Either way, Jersey City has to be indisputably the most diverse city in the country now.

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Walpack township, New Jersey...

1970   384      54.8%
1980   150      −60.9%
1990   67      −55.3%
2000   41      −38.8%
Est. 2006   40      −2.4%
2010         16

Okay, this requires an explanation. The wiki article doesn't even begin to give one. It grew until 1970. Mining?
Meanwhile, some magazine named it the 18th best place to live in NJ in 2008. Seems the residents don't agree.

Not mining, It looks like It's the Army Corps of Engineers fault. They wanted to turn the place into a lake so they forced a bunch of people out and afterwards abandoned the project was critical of how they kicked people out of their homes.

There are a few things on that page that make me think it's a hoax. Lake the size of Lake Michigan? Made national news by appearing in Playboy magazine? Uh...

The real reason seems to be that it is entirely within the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area. Residents at the time of designation were grandfathered in, but no one is allowed to move there (the federal government gets first option to buy any land that comes up for sale), so the population is in steady decline (and will probably reach zero in a decade or so).

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Sucks to be Iowa, really. Looks like the only places that grew were the Des Moines, Iowa City, and Cedar Rapids areas.

Dubuque grew a little bit, too. As did Council Bluffs.

But, yeah, looking at the historical data for the rural Iowa counties... It's been a long ride down.

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The data released so far doesn't match the sometimes trumpeted theme that people are moving away from the suburbs back into the cities.  Many of the cities we've seen that have grown thus far are those that include areas that very suburban to begin with, like Indianapolis and Oklahoma City, smaller towns, or exurban edge cities like Aurora, Illinois.  Old, dense cities like Chicago and Baltimore continue to lose population.  And suburban growth continues, especially in exurban areas further flung from the central city.

Of course, there will be exceptions to this (Washington D.C., for sure, likely New York City, too) - but it is a trend we should continue to watch.

The problem with this assumption was always that the trend is limited to a fairly small area of cities, the yuppie urban core. In DC and New York, that area is quite large, but most elsewhere (save the West Coast cities) it is still fairly small. Somewhere like Chicago, the yuppie core probably did see a lot of growth, but it was offset by continued black middle class migration to the suburbs and dying off of the elderly working class whites. (Both of those are mitigated somewhat by Hispanic and Asian immigration, but those tend to be a little bit slower than the factors causing decline. Not always, though.)

Still, a few cities really turned it around this cycle. Newark saw population growth (even while Essex County as a whole declined).

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You can see how in Chicago the population changed in this map.
Basically central Chicago grew while most of the rest lost population.

Pretty much exactly what I predicted, then. Except that Hispanic growth seems to have halted (and that seems to be the main difference in terms of trends from 2000); I wonder why that is? Anyone from the Chicago area know?

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That majority black MO-01 may be possible after all. The 2005-2009 ACS estimate for Bellefontaine Neighbors was 50.3% black, 48.4% white, so I guess the ACS did not pick up on white flight in North STL County very well. Had Riverview Village as 59.5% black, too (although was much closer for Spanish Lake, estimating 73.9% black).

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Lexington was majority Hispanic in 2000, too. What's the percentage now?

Also, with Douglas and Sarpy Counties both growing faster than the state, what will they do with NE-02?

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Alpine lost population? It has only 1200 people... and that's after some reasonably robust growth in the last few decades. It also has utterly bizarre demographics - it's, like, half Mormon and quarter Peyotist. With no other established place of worship existing in the county (any practicing mainstream Christians probably drive elsewhere.)

Reasonably robust growth? Alpine grew by at most a few dozen people 1980-2000.

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True, it exploded in population in 1970. No idea why, but maybe you know.

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Is Forest County, PA a typo or did the population really double while every county around it lost population?

I don't think it's a typo.  Four words: Marcellus Natural Gas Shale.  It might have been where the most drilling interest was last April.  That, plus the fact that it was the smallest county in the state with a population of less than 5,000 makes it easy for a small number of new residents to cause a big swing that isn't quite as big in real numbers.

I seem to remember something about a big prison complex opening in Forest County. Estimates have had it growing rapidly since at least 2007 (when I made a map of growth estimates by county, and I remember Forest County being estimated to be growing anomalously fast then, too).

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On those numbers, I don't think it will be possible to draw two 50% black VAP seats. The legislature may want to try to pack Democrats in anyway, of course, but enough of those blacks are in 80-90% white areas (or, as in Pontiac and Flint, too remote from other blacks) to make two majority seats impossible.

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My jaw dropped. WOW. 25%?!

Nearly as much as New Orleans, without a hurricane.

Also, Wayne County in 2010 has fewer people than Detroit had in 1950.

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New York state's Hispanic Black population rose by 44%, to almost 300k. Almost a quarter of the national Hispanic Black population is in New York state.

Are Haitians considered Hispanics?

No, but black Dominicans are. They're the main Hispanic black group.

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Try the San Gabriel Valley near LA, too.

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Weird that there is no black-plurality tract in Rhode Island. I see there are three in Pawtucket that come close, however.