Mexico Population Census Results released

[Tender Branson]

The Census Day was June 12 and the results are:

2010 Census: 112.322.757

2000 Census:   97.483.412

Annual growth: +1.43%

http://www.inegi.org.mx/inegi/contenidos/espanol/prensa/comunicados/rpcpyv10.asp

[Tender Branson]

The biggest state is México with 15.174 Mio. people, followed by the Distrito Federal with 8.873 Mio.

México is up by about 2 Mio. from 2000 and Distrito Federal by about 300.000

http://www.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/TabuladosBasicos/preliminares2010.aspx

[opebo]

Like everywhere else, growth slowing quite rapidly..

[Tender Branson]

Like everywhere else, growth slowing quite rapidly..

Only percentage-wise, not numerically.

2000-2010: +14.8 Mio.
1990-2000: +16.2 Mio.
1980-1990: +14.4 Mio.
1970-1980: +18.6 Mio.
1960-1970: +13.3 Mio.

[ag]

Like everywhere else, growth slowing quite rapidly..

Only percentage-wise, not numerically.

2000-2010: +14.8 Mio.
1990-2000: +16.2 Mio.
1980-1990: +14.4 Mio.
1970-1980: +18.6 Mio.
1960-1970: +13.3 Mio.

Well, yes. You have the largest generation barely entering the reproductive age. The birth rates are barely above 2, but the are a lot of people who are going to be giving birth.

[ag]

Actually, you could also compare w/ the semi-census of 2005.

[angus]

The biggest state is México with 15.174 Mio. people, followed by the Distrito Federal with 8.873 Mio.

México is up by about 2 Mio. from 2000 and Distrito Federal by about 300.000

http://www.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/TabuladosBasicos/preliminares2010.aspx

Quintana Roo, although small, has a much more higher fractional growth.  Its population was 874,963 in 2000 and 1,324,257 in the current census.  That's a 51% gain, or something like that. 

I'm always astounded by the development there.  We spent three weeks in QR in August, and I was unable to find places I'd visited on previous trips.  Often there'd be a high-rise condominium on a sandy lot where I'd parked my car only a few years before. 

[ag]

An interesting detail. I've been comparing results municipio by municipio, and, for instance, in rural districts in Michoacan (one of the high-migration states) in many places one sees the following. Between 2000 and 2005 there is a major population decline almost accross the board (this is just rural areas), but by 2010 it is either partially or fully reversed (the net change between 2000 and 2010 may be either positive or negative).  I have a feeling this might be reflecting a major return waive from the US due to the crisis. Quite interesting, actually.

[angus]

certainly that's been reported, by TIME and WaPo, for example.  It is interesting to see INEGI data confirming this.  We have seen a similar trend in the upper midwest.  Over a many-decade period, there was a drain of the younger population (once it came of age) from the largely agrarian great plains to places like California.  Following the Credit Crunch of 2008, we saw a net stabilization of Iowa's younger population, for example.  Not soon enough to stem the loss of one congressional seat, but palpable.

You might also look at internal migration to explain the differences.  I was last in Michoacan in 2001, and at the time noted little internals.  But in travels to other parts of Mexico since then--I have visited 22 of Mexico's 31 estados over the past 20 years, some multiple times and some for extended periods--and I have observed, anecdotally, a similar definite pattern of internal migration (of erstwhile mescal chuckers, for example) to touristy areas.  Particularly to QR and BCS.  The data bear this out.