2012 Senate Incumbent Primary Question
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  2012 Senate Incumbent Primary Question
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Poll
Question: Who is more likely to be "teabagged" in 2012?
#1
Dick Lugar
 
#2
Orrin Hatch
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 28

Author Topic: 2012 Senate Incumbent Primary Question  (Read 1148 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« on: November 27, 2010, 07:59:08 PM »

Utah has that stupid convention system that doomed Bennett in 2010, whereas Indiana is just a regular primary.


However, Hatch does have a lifteime 90 ACU score I beleive while Lugar has some very unpopular positions, with the base, on a lot more issues.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2010, 08:10:22 PM »

Hatch.

Indiana could get interesting, but it all depends on who runs for the Senate race. I personally think the real battle will be for Governor, where I see both Pence and Skillman vying for that.

As for Senate, State Senator Mike Delph appears to be gearing up a run, and State Treasurer Richard Mourdock is going to run for something, I'm just not sure what. Lugar is a household name in Indiana, and unless Delph could get major name recognition, he'll have a hard time unseating Lugar.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2010, 08:23:21 PM »

Hatch
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2010, 08:30:16 PM »

Indiana has an open primary, if I remember correctly, so Lugar will be hard to beat.

Hatch is as good as gone. Jason Chaffetz has been running for his seat from the moment he won election to the House.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #4 on: November 27, 2010, 09:12:44 PM »

Hatch is done for.  Of course, in the optimum case, both would lose.
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RIP Robert H Bork
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« Reply #5 on: November 27, 2010, 10:15:54 PM »

Hatch
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Mjh
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« Reply #6 on: November 28, 2010, 06:50:56 AM »

I agree with the sentiments expressed here. Lugar will be much more difficult to defeat, given the Open Primary. That is a good thing for the GOP too, since the seat will be safe with Lugar on the ticket.

In Utah it really doesn't matter, since the GOP will win regardless of who they nominate.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #7 on: November 28, 2010, 09:59:47 AM »

Hatch is done.
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ag
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« Reply #8 on: November 28, 2010, 07:14:19 PM »

Given this year's experience in Alaska, what are Utah laws on write-ins/3rd party candidates?
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redcommander
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« Reply #9 on: November 28, 2010, 07:14:56 PM »

Hatch. Chaffetz could even break 70 if Mitt Romney is at the top of the Republican ticket.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2010, 07:32:56 PM »

Given this year's experience in Alaska, what are Utah laws on write-ins/3rd party candidates?

Went over this during the Bennett thing -- a write-in bid is the only option for a convention/primary loser. The filing deadline for independents/minor parties is the same as for major party candidates. There's also a sore loser law in Utah.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2010, 08:36:26 PM »

Hatch is fried, even if he runs a write-in campaign after his inevitable destruction in the primary. Utahans don't vote for familiar names, they vote with ones with an R attached to them. Matheson is the only technical exception, but he's about as much a Democrat as Mike Castle is a Republican.
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