US House Redistricting: Nevada

[Progressive Pessimist]

In the RGV, the thesis was that low propensity to vote Hispanics are more Pub than high propensity ones, and thus the surge in turnout in the RGV in 2020 also moved the numbers to the Pubs.

That's certainly what I hope happened rather than some kind of backlash. I don't know if the results of the TX-34 special disprove that notion or not though.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Las Vegas had a big problem with covid restrictions due to the nature of its economy. And of course the workers who were affected the most, who tended to be Hispanic, had a problem with those restrictions. That might explain the trend towards the Republicans in 2020.

The pandemic itself definitely made the 2020 election a little murky when it comes to what we can, or cannot, discern from its results in some parts of the country.