pennsylvania was close!!!

[Lunar]

To be fair, you're comparing many states that were expected to be close (but didn't turn out to be) to states that weren't.

For example, there was a poll out close to the election that said Arkansas was tied.  Bush did better than expected in many of these Arkansas-type states, and thus comparing them to California and Illinois and whatnot is silly.

The exception is New Jersey.  Shrug.