pennsylvania was close!!! (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  pennsylvania was close!!! (search mode)
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Author Topic: pennsylvania was close!!!  (Read 8521 times)
elcorazon
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« on: November 19, 2004, 11:22:08 AM »

I do think the answer lies in the exit polls, rather than structural bias by the network itself.  I can't figure out why, but it is clear that the exit poll results leaned way more to Kerry than the actual results did.  Hence states that looked like easy Kerry victories were closer than expected and states that looked close turned out to be fairly easy Bush victories.

2000 was a bit similar, but not nearly as dramatic in the gap between the exit polls and the actual returns.
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