What percentage of Nader voters in 2000 would have voted for Bush....

[Phony Moderate]

5-10%

[tpfkaw]

10-25%.

30-40% would have voted for Bush, some other third party candidate, or not voted at all if he did not run.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

9% for Bush
22% would not have voted
4% some other nobody
65% Gore

[phk]

30%

[Bo]

10-25

[Antonio the Sixth]

Less than 10%.

[albaleman]

Maybe 5%, maybe not even that many.

[Stranger in a strange land]

I would estimate:

8% would have voted for Bush
42% would have voted for Gore
50% would have stayed home or voted for other 3rd parties

[phk]

Maybe 5%, maybe not even that many.

Most Muslim Nader supporters would have gone for Bush over Gore.

[albaleman]

Maybe 5%, maybe not even that many.

Most Muslim Nader supporters would have gone for Bush over Gore.

Nader was to the left of Gore, so I don't see how very many of his voters would have voted for Bush had Nader not been on the ballot. Quite a few might have voted Green party anyway though.

[phk]

Maybe 5%, maybe not even that many.

Most Muslim Nader supporters would have gone for Bush over Gore.

Nader was to the left of Gore, so I don't see how very many of his voters would have voted for Bush had Nader not been on the ballot. Quite a few might have voted Green party anyway though.

Remember Lieberman is a Jew.

[Mr. Taft Republican]

0-5%, really, I don't think anyone voting for Nader would ever vote for Bush, so I'd say closer to 0

[feeblepizza]

No Nader voter is even close to a Bush voter. I'd say around 3% would vote for Bush, 50% would vote for Gore, and the remaining 47% would've stayed home or voted for another third-party candidate.

[phk]

No Nader voter is even close to a Bush voter. I'd say around 3% would vote for Bush, 50% would vote for Gore, and the remaining 47% would've stayed home or voted for another third-party candidate.

I'v met plenty of people whose preferences were Nader > Bush > Gore and Bush > Nader > Gore.

[Torie]

There was an actual poll on this which Nader himself "endorsed." It was along the lines of 40% Gore, 20% Bush, and 40% neither. So while Nader did indeed swing the election to Bush, the only state he swung to Bush was well, Florida.

[GeorgiaSenator]

No Nader voter is even close to a Bush voter. I'd say around 3% would vote for Bush, 50% would vote for Gore, and the remaining 47% would've stayed home or voted for another third-party candidate.

In my opinion the above is most accurate. Most Nader voters hated Republicans.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

in 2000, I was undecided between voting for Bush or Nader. I was for Bush mostly on domestic policy, but Nader mostly on foreign policy (I didn't see any real difference between Bush and Gore on foreign policy). i might have voted for Buchanan, but I didn't trust him to not be a bigot. in the end i was busy with schoolwork so I couldn't travel home to vote and had neglected to get an absentee ballot in time.

[phk]

There was an actual poll on this which Nader himself "endorsed." It was along the lines of 40% Gore, 20% Bush, and 40% neither. So while Nader did indeed swing the election to Bush, the only state he swung to Bush was well, Florida.

NH?

[Torie]

There was an actual poll on this which Nader himself "endorsed." It was along the lines of 40% Gore, 20% Bush, and 40% neither. So while Nader did indeed swing the election to Bush, the only state he swung to Bush was well, Florida.

NH?

Nope. 20% of Nader's 3.9% vote share in NH (the margin of Gore over Bush among Nader voters if Nader had not been on the ballot), is 78 basis points, and Bush won over Gore by 127 basis points, so it is extremely unlikely Nader swung NH to Bush in 2000.

I assume you know what "basis points" means, given your knowledge and interest in economics and finance.

[phk]

There was an actual poll on this which Nader himself "endorsed." It was along the lines of 40% Gore, 20% Bush, and 40% neither. So while Nader did indeed swing the election to Bush, the only state he swung to Bush was well, Florida.

NH?

Nope. 20% of Nader's 3.9% vote share in NH (the margin of Gore over Bush among Nader voters if Nader had not been on the ballot), is 78 basis points, and Bush won over Gore by 127 basis points, so it is extremely unlikely Nader swung NH to Bush in 2000.

I assume you know what "basis points" means, given your knowledge and interest in economics and finance.

Thing is that I understand the 20 basis point difference. But I'm not sure if its worthwhile to extrapolate that national poll to NH, I'd like to see what types of people were the ones with preferences Nader > Bush.

[Torie]

There was an actual poll on this which Nader himself "endorsed." It was along the lines of 40% Gore, 20% Bush, and 40% neither. So while Nader did indeed swing the election to Bush, the only state he swung to Bush was well, Florida.

NH?

Nope. 20% of Nader's 3.9% vote share in NH (the margin of Gore over Bush among Nader voters if Nader had not been on the ballot), is 78 basis points, and Bush won over Gore by 127 basis points, so it is extremely unlikely Nader swung NH to Bush in 2000.

I assume you know what "basis points" means, given your knowledge and interest in economics and finance.

Thing is that I understand the 20 basis point difference. But I'm not sure if its worthwhile to extrapolate that national poll to NH, I'd like to see what types of people were the ones with preferences Nader > Bush.

Fair enough, it was a national poll, and maybe more NH voters had Gore as their second choice than nationally. I don't know. But Gore would have to have had more like a 40% margin over Bush rather than a 20% margin to make it happen with Nader voters in NH given the size of the Bush pad. That strikes me as unlikely.