DS0816
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,140
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« on: December 18, 2010, 03:54:21 AM » |
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Thomas D,
It's more difficult now for a landslide, but I figure: prevailing nationally by a minimum of 10% over one's chief opponent plus a 2-to-1 spread in the Electoral College (say, 360).
We have a good amount of states, lately, that are strongly partisan (above 10 points even for the party that loses by roughly 5% nationally).
Just monitoring overperformances and underperformances, in [core] states' pollings, was enough to tell -- early on (first three months) -- that Election 2008 would be a pickup in the White House for the Democrats.
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