What's your criteria for the term 'Landslide'? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 11:01:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  What's your criteria for the term 'Landslide'? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What's your criteria for the term 'Landslide'?  (Read 8805 times)
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« on: January 04, 2011, 12:20:54 AM »


And I think it's where the problem lays. What you erroneously call a landslide is a "realigning election" (indeed 1980 was). But a landslide isn't necessarily a realigning election, it just means a very big win.

Though I think this is completely subjective, I think I agree most with this sentiment. And using that definition, I think a landslide is any presidential election where a candidate wins by about 8 points or more. When a candidate wins by that sort of a margin, they're going to take at least 350 or more electoral college votes, more often than not. Plus, to me, it just looks right on paper. 53-47%, with a 305-230 electoral college result just doesn't look like a landslide to me. But take for example Clinton in '96, where he defeated Dole 49.2-40.7, with 379-159 electoral votes. In my personal opinion, that looks like a landslide to me. As well as 1952, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, and 1996 - only considering races post-FDR.

I view 1988 and 2008 as the cut-offs. 1988 gets called a landslide because Bush won by +7.72 points, but most importantly, he somehow managed a 426 electoral college rut, to Dukakis' 111. That's pretty significant to me. Obama's pop vote was just slightly smaller than Bush's, +7.27 points, while Obama's electoral college margin was a bit smaller, 365-173.

Again, completely subjective, that's just how I see it.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.