US House Redistricting: Washington

[they don't love you like i love you]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

[ottermax]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

route 20 is only open in the summer....

[Seattle]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

route 20 is only open in the summer....

While true, the communities it connects are basically ski/summer homes of the Seattle wealthy. They are forced to take US-2 in the winter and drive up north, but in the summer/fall, N. Cascades is way faster. So... I guess in that sense they are "communities of interest", but I doubt that makes up for 2 county splits.

The average length its open is April 20-Nov 26

[Verily]

A more interesting use of WA-20, if you were going to do that crossing, would probably be to remove Lynden and other heavily Republican areas in the north from western Washington, which could help solve the problems further south and still have only one crossing of the Cascades.

[bgwah]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

route 20 is only open in the summer....

While true, the communities it connects are basically ski/summer homes of the Seattle wealthy. They are forced to take US-2 in the winter and drive up north, but in the summer/fall, N. Cascades is way faster. So... I guess in that sense they are "communities of interest", but I doubt that makes up for 2 county splits.

The average length its open is April 20-Nov 26

If they're just summer/ski homes of people who normally live in Seattle, then surely those folks would be registered in the Seattle area, too? Seems like kind of a flimsy reason to put what would be some genuine Eastern Washingtonians in a Western district.

[Seattle]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

route 20 is only open in the summer....

While true, the communities it connects are basically ski/summer homes of the Seattle wealthy. They are forced to take US-2 in the winter and drive up north, but in the summer/fall, N. Cascades is way faster. So... I guess in that sense they are "communities of interest", but I doubt that makes up for 2 county splits.

The average length its open is April 20-Nov 26

If they're just summer/ski homes of people who normally live in Seattle, then surely those folks would be registered in the Seattle area, too? Seems like kind of a flimsy reason to put what would be some genuine Eastern Washingtonians in a Western district.

I agree, it is a flimsy reason and not very likely. Especially if you are only going to take the Democrat part of the counties, causing county splits.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newhalem,_Washington

route 20 is only open in the summer....

While true, the communities it connects are basically ski/summer homes of the Seattle wealthy. They are forced to take US-2 in the winter and drive up north, but in the summer/fall, N. Cascades is way faster. So... I guess in that sense they are "communities of interest", but I doubt that makes up for 2 county splits.

The average length its open is April 20-Nov 26

If they're just summer/ski homes of people who normally live in Seattle, then surely those folks would be registered in the Seattle area, too? Seems like kind of a flimsy reason to put what would be some genuine Eastern Washingtonians in a Western district.

lol  I just felt like saving those poor souls from being part of the fifth. 

[Jackson]

Has anyone tried a rabidly partisan gerrymander?

[Jackson]

Here is a 8-2 Gerrymander.

[RI]

Has anyone tried a rabidly partisan gerrymander?

I think bgwah did a 9-1 (maybe 10-0) gerrymander once by splicing up Seattle into every district.

[bgwah]

Here it is, though it was before election data was added, so I'm just assuming it's 9-1.

[Jackson]

I still think my 3rd district is a work of art.

[bgwah]

I'm working on a Republican gerrymander now... A 9-1 Rossi map might be possible, however, it would be more like one >80% Murray districts (Seattle, duh) and nine 50-51% Rossi districts, which is more like 1 D, 9 swing. So I'm working on an 8-2 map instead.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Ftw.

[minionofmidas]

I still think my 3rd district is a work of art.

Words cannot express the extent of my disgust.

[bgwah]

Here is an 8-2 Republican map of Washington. The cyan district is 70% Murray and the yellow district is 74% Murray. The other eight are all 52-53% Rossi.

If Republicans were actually trying to gerrymander WA, they might feel a bit safer with 7-3, as this could easily be a 10-0 Obama map...

[Jackson]

We have had nearly every seat go for the Democrats within living memory.

[jimrtex]

I believe Skykomish is the northernmost pass where a road crosses the Cascades at all, so your WA-02 is clearly impermissible.

Can't you go through Canada and then take a raft down the Columbia?

[BigSkyBob]

We have had nearly every seat go for the Democrats within living memory.

As nearly even Washington seat has went to a Republican in living memory.

[Verily]

I believe Skykomish is the northernmost pass where a road crosses the Cascades at all, so your WA-02 is clearly impermissible.

Can't you go through Canada and then take a raft down the Columbia?

Well, of course. You wouldn't need a raft; you could do that by road. But we're assuming not using international contiguity, otherwise you could connect Detroit to the UP in one district.

[Jackson]

We have had nearly every seat go for the Democrats within living memory.

As nearly even Washington seat has went to a Republican in living memory.

Within two elections of each other, too!

[Kevinstat]

We have had nearly every seat go for the Democrats within living memory.

As nearly even Washington seat has went to a Republican in living memory.

Within two elections of each other, too!

Only one election apart, actually, if we're talking about the 8-1 D result in 1992 followed by the 7-2 R result in 1994.

[Jackson]

In this map, I moved Herrera into a safe Republican seat, removed some heavily Republican precincts from the 8th, and created a Democratic-leaning 10th District. The 6th and 2nd Districts have been made somewhat more Republican, but the incumbents should be able to hold both districts.

 The 8th District, with several exurban Pierce County precincts removed, becomes more swingy. A stronger Democrat (non-Burner/DelBene clone) would likely be able to beat Reichert in the Districts new configuration.

 The 4th and 5th Districts have had several counties and precincts moved around to compensate for population loss.



In the North Sound, the 1st District loses northern Kitsap County to the 6th District in exchange for a greater share of suburban Snohomish County and portions of Seattle.

The 7th District loses Vashon Island to the 6th in exchange for Mercer Island. The 2nd loses most of Island County to the 6th.

[Seattle]

I doubt that they're going to make the 8th more democrat - if anything, they'll try to take Bellevue out, shoring up the 9th or putting it in the 1st. and there probably wouldn't be a weird split in Island county.

What are the murray/rossi percentages for the 6th, 2nd, and 8th?

[jimrtex]

Well, of course. You wouldn't need a raft; you could do that by road. But we're assuming not using international contiguity, otherwise you could connect Detroit to the UP in one district.

Ohio. Indiana, Illinois, and Wisconsin are not foreign countries.