US House Redistricting: Florida (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: Florida (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Florida  (Read 64306 times)
nclib
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« on: June 01, 2011, 05:33:55 PM »

Since some forum Republicans have said that Florida is naturally gerrymandered for the GOP with Democratic votes already concentrated (I doubt this is the only reason since the GOP CD bias is stronger in FL than just about everywhere else), can someone draw a map where Obama would win at least 15/27 CD's, but looks ungerrymandered on paper?
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nclib
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2012, 06:40:51 PM »

Does anyone have what district numbers the old districts match up to?
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nclib
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« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2012, 06:57:38 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2012, 08:44:56 PM by nclib »

DKE has a nice breakdown of the new districts (they also did one for California):

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/02/10/1063407/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Florida-cheat-sheet

I don't understand why Mica is running in FL-07, when FL-06 is mostly from his old district and it's more Republican.

Also, Crist won three of the districts in 2010, FL-13 (Bill Young), FL-21 (Ted Deutch), and FL-23 (Debbie Wasserman Schultz). Edit: four, actually, he won FL-14 (Kathy Castor) by a hair.

Comparing Obama/McCain results for the old and new districts:

Old: 10 Obama - 15 McCain

New: 10 Obama - 17 McCain

All six Dem-held CDs (Brown, Castor, Wilson, Deutch, DWS, Hastings) all heavily Obama before and after.

Bill Young's CD stays at 51-47 Obama.

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's CD goes from 51-49 Obama to 51-49 McCain.

Daniel Webster's CD (Alan Grayson's old CD) is currently 53-47 Obama, and will be split into a (likely) Grayson CD at 60-39 Obama and a Webster CD at 52-47 McCain.

Allen West's old CD is 52-48 Obama and Tom Rooney's is 52-47 McCain. West will be running in Rooney's old CD at 51-48 Obama. The successor to Allen West's old CD is 57-43 Obama.

BTW, can someone explain the headings in the Fla. (and Calif.) expanded spreadsheet?
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